Jeremy's Knesset Insider

Panels conducted a poll that was broadcast by the Knesset Channel on March 13 2017.

Where would you position Moshe Yaalon on the spectrum of the political map?

41% Right, 23% Center, 19% Don’t know, 17% Left

Would you recommend to Yaalon that he run in his own party or join another party?

55% Join another party, 34% Don’t know, 11% Run by himself

Question for those who suggest he join another party: Who should he join?

32% Yesh Atid, 23% Kulanu, 18% Likud, 16% Zionist Union, 11% Don’t know

How will the inclusion of Moshe Yaalon on a party list influence your decision to vote for a political party in the next elections?

50% Won’t influence, 19% Don’t know, 16% Won’t want to vote for list, 15% Will want to vote for list

Did the State Comptroller Report harm the security standing of Yaalon?

44% Yes, 31% No, 25% Don’t know

What do you think of Yaalon’s conduct during the Elor Azaria Story?

38% Should not have voiced an opinion, 23% Did right thing in voicing his position, 20% Did right thing but should have moderated his position, 19% Don’t know

Midgam conducted a scenario poll with a new Yaalon-led-party on March 8-9 2017 with 500 people that had a 4.5% margin of error that was broadcast by Channel 1 on March 10.

Yaalon announced a new party last week, but has not yet chosen a party name, register as an official party or list any additional potential candidates.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

26 [11] Yesh Atid
22 [30] Likud
13 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
11 [24] Zionist Union
11 [08] Bayit Yehudi
07 [10] Kulanu
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
07 [06] Yisrael Beitenu
06 [07] Shas
06 [05] Meretz
04 [–] Yaalon Party (3 of 4 seats are from right wing voters)

64 [67] Current Right-Religious Coalition + Yaalon
56 [53] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

Smith conducted two polls on March 8 2017 with 500 people that had a 4.5% margin of error that was broadcast by Reshet Bet on March 10. The second poll includes a Yaalon party.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
26 [30] Likud
22 [11] Yesh Atid
13 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
13 [08] Bayit Yehudi
12 [24] Zionist Union
07 [10] Kulanu
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
07 [07] Shas
07 [06] Yisrael Beitenu
06 [05] Meretz
00 [–] Yachad

67 [67] Current Right-Religious Coalition
53 [53] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

*5% Refused to answer. 12% say their decision is not final (higher among 2015 Zionist Union and Kulanu voters). Yachad was polled and didn’t pass the threshold.

Scenario Poll #1: With Yaalon Party

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

25 [30] Likud
20 [11] Yesh Atid
13 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
13 [08] Bayit Yehudi
11 [24] Zionist Union
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
07 [07] Shas
07 [06] Yisrael Beitenu
06 [10] Kulanu
06 [–] New Yaalon Party
05 [05] Meretz

71 [67] Current Right-Religious Coalition + Yaalon Party
49 [53] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

*Yaalon Party gets about 2 seats from Yesh Atid, Zionist Union and Meretz, and about a seat from Likud and Kulanu. Yaalon entering the race causes shifts among other party voters.