Smith conducted two polls on March 8 2017 with 500 people that had a 4.5% margin of error that was broadcast by Reshet Bet on March 10. The second poll includes a Yaalon party.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
26 [30] Likud
22 [11] Yesh Atid
13 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
13 [08] Bayit Yehudi
12 [24] Zionist Union
07 [10] Kulanu
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
07 [07] Shas
07 [06] Yisrael Beitenu
06 [05] Meretz
00 [–] Yachad

67 [67] Current Right-Religious Coalition
53 [53] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

*5% Refused to answer. 12% say their decision is not final (higher among 2015 Zionist Union and Kulanu voters). Yachad was polled and didn’t pass the threshold.

Scenario Poll #1: With Yaalon Party

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

25 [30] Likud
20 [11] Yesh Atid
13 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
13 [08] Bayit Yehudi
11 [24] Zionist Union
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
07 [07] Shas
07 [06] Yisrael Beitenu
06 [10] Kulanu
06 [–] New Yaalon Party
05 [05] Meretz

71 [67] Current Right-Religious Coalition + Yaalon Party
49 [53] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

*Yaalon Party gets about 2 seats from Yesh Atid, Zionist Union and Meretz, and about a seat from Likud and Kulanu. Yaalon entering the race causes shifts among other party voters.

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