Tag Archive: Israel Elections


Knesset Jeremy Weekly Average #4 (week of Oct 29-Nov 4) of 7 polls (Teleseker, two Panels, Dahaf, Geocartography, Smith, Dahaf):

Current Knesset seats in [brackets], Week 3 average in (brackets)

38 (36.6) [42] Likud Beitenu
22.1 (24.3) [08] Labor
14.7 (13.3) [—] Yesh Atid
11.7 (12) [10] Shas
9.1 (09) [07] National Union-Jewish Home
5.8 (5.3) [05] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
4.2 (05) [03] Meretz
4.0 (04) [04] Hadash
3.7 (3.3) [04] Ra’am-Ta’al
3.1 (03) [03] Balad
1.7 (2.6) [28] Kadima
0.5 (01) [05] Independence

03 [01] Am Shalem (based on 2 of 7 polls)

1.5 in one poll for Pensioners and Green Party each

66.3 (63) [65] Right
53.6 (57) [55] Center-Left

Dahaf Poll of 505 people conducted for Yediot Ahronot and published on 2 Nov 2012 with an error of +/- 3.8%.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets].

35 [42] Likud Beitenu (Likud and Yisrael Beitenu)
24 [08] Labor
15 [–] Yesh Atid
13 [10] Shas
07 [07] Jewish Home and National Union/Tekuma (5) Eldad/Ben Ari (2)
06 [05] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
04 [03] Meretz
04 [04] Hadash
04 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al
03 [03] Balad
03 [28] Kadima
02 [05] Independence
1.5 [–] Greens
1.5 [–] Pensioners

61 [65] Right
59 [55] Center-Left

Scenario Poll: With new Kahalon party

Current Knesset seats in [brackets].

30 [42] Likud Beitenu (Likud and Yisrael Beitenu)
22 [08] Labor
13 [–] New Kahalon Party
13 [10] Shas
12 [–] Yesh Atid
09 [07] Jewish Home and National Union
06 [05] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
04 [04] Hadash
04 [03] Meretz
04 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al
03 [03] Balad
00 [28] Kadima
02 [05] Independence

71 [65] Right
49 [55] Center-Left

Smith Poll of 500 people conducted for JPost/Globes on 29-30 October 2012 with an error of +/- 4/5%.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets].

37 [42] Likud Beitenu (Likud and Yisrael Beitenu)
22 [08] Labor
13 [–] Yesh Atid
12 [10] Shas
09 [07] Jewish Home and National Union
06 [05] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
05 [03] Meretz
04 [04] Hadash
04 [03] Balad
03 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al
03 [28] Kadima
02 [05] Independence

64 [65] Right
56 [55] Center-Left

Additional scenario poll with a new Livni Party shows that “Right Block” would gain a seat and her party would splinter the “Center-Left Block” votes.

Scenario Poll: With new Livni party

Current Knesset seats in [brackets].

36 [42] Likud Beitenu (Likud and Yisrael Beitenu)
20 [08] Labor
12 [10] Shas
10 [–] Yesh Atid
09 [07] Jewish Home and National Union
08 [–] New Livni Party with additional unknown Kadima MKs
06 [05] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
04 [04] Hadash
04 [03] Meretz
04 [03] Balad
03 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al
02 [28] Kadima led by Mofaz
02 [05] Independence

63 [65] Right
57 [55] Center-Left

_______________________________________________________________________

Additional Smith Poll conducted on October 30 for Reshet Bet Radio. 400 people were asked with an error of +/- 4.9%.

Fun tidbits from poll that didn’t check seats:

* 67% of 2009 Likud voters support Likud Beitenu and 73% of Yisrael Beitenu voters support Likud Beitenu.
* 45% of Israelis would vote for Romney and 29% for Obama.

Panels Poll broadcast on Knesset Channel 99

Current Knesset seats in [brackets].

35 [42] Likud Beitenu (Likud and Yisrael Beitenu)
24 [08] Labor
15 [–] Yesh Atid
11 [10] Shas
11 [07] Jewish Home and National Union
05 [05] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
05 [03] Meretz
04 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al
04 [04] Hadash
03 [03] Balad
03 [01] Am Shalem
00 [28] Kadima
00 [05] Independence

65 [65] Right
55 [55] Center-Left

Scenario Poll: With new Kahalon party

Current Knesset seats in [brackets].

29 [42] Likud Beitenu (Likud and Yisrael Beitenu)
19 [–] New Kahlon Party
19 [08] Labor
12 [–] Yesh Atid
09 [10] Shas
09 [07] Jewish Home and National Union
05 [05] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
05 [04] Hadash
05 [03] Meretz
04 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al
04 [03] Balad
03 [01] Am Shalem
00 [28] Kadima
00 [05] Independence

74 [65] Right (Including Kahalon and Amsalem)
46 [55] Center-Left

Geocartography Poll published Nov 1, 2012.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets].

44 [42] Likud Beitenu (Likud and Yisrael Beitenu)
19 [08] Labor
14 [–] Yesh Atid
12 [10] Shas
09 [07] Jewish Home (5), National Union (4)
07 [05] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
04 [04] Hadash
04 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al
3.5 [03] Meretz
03 [03] Balad
00 [28] Kadima
00 [05] Independence

72 [65] Right
48 [55] Center-Left

Scenario Poll: Kachlon starts his own party

Current Knesset seats in [brackets].

43 [42] Likud Beitenu (Likud and Yisrael Beitenu)
16 [08] Labor
13 [–] Yesh Atid
10 [–] New Kahalon Party
10 [10] Shas
07 [07] Jewish Home (5), National Union (2)
6.5 [05] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
04 [04] Hadash
04 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al
3.5 [03] Meretz
03 [03] Balad
00 [28] Kadima
00 [05] Independence

76.5 [65] Right
43.5 [55] Center-Left