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Tonight I am releasing the results in the top 10 populated cities. The 2019 results are being compared to results in 2015 and 2013 to provide context.

In the next post I will release the results of the cities that are rated 11-20 in terms of population.

Top 10 Cities
CityTel AvivTel AvivTel Aviv
Party/Year201920152013
Overall Votes268,795261,344244,901
Likud19.28%18.19%18%(2013 w/YB)
Blue & White45.69%11.55%21%(Yesh Atid)
Shas3.20%3.90%6%
UTJ0.90%1.07%1%
Hadash-Taal1.63%3.18%3%(Joint List)
Labor8.52%34.27%24%(Zionist Union)
Yisrael Beitenu1.38%2.09%w/Likud
Bayit Yehudi1.08%3.36%4%
Meretz8.98%13.02%14%
Kulanu2.42%6.88%
Raam-Balad0.68%3.18%3%(Joint List)
HaYamin HeHadash1.96%3.36%4%(Bayit Yehudi)
Zehut2.01%n/an/a
Gesher1.78%n/an/a
CityJerusalemJerusalemJerusalem
Party/Year201920152013
Overall Votes262,103255,286241,139
Likud24.76%24.24%21%(2013 w/YB)
Blue & White11.76%4.21%7%(Yesh Atid)
Shas13.76%11.95%16%
UTJ23.32%21.13%22%
Hadash-Taal0.67%1.23%1%(Joint List)
Labor2.99%9.67%9%(Zionist Union)
Yisrael Beitenu1.56%2.36%w/Likud
Bayit Yehudi6.79%8.33%12%
Meretz3.24%3.98%4%
Kulanu2.00%4.68%
Raam-Balad0.16%1.23%1%(Joint List)
HaYamin HeHadash4.46%8.33%12%(Bayit Yehudi)
Zehut2.67%n/an/a
Gesher1.51%n/an/a
CityHaifaHaifaHaifa
Party/Year201920152013
Overall Votes145,606149,560139,363
Likud23.67%20.74%26%(2013 w/YB)
Blue & White32.69%11.25%18%(Yesh Atid)
Shas2.03%2.23%3%
UTJ3.60%3.27%3%
Hadash-Taal5.06%8.27%7%(Joint List)
Labor5.62%25.28%22%(Zionist Union)
Yisrael Beitenu7.30%8.03%w/Likud
Bayit Yehudi2.09%5.37%6%
Meretz4.70%4.54%5%
Kulanu5.06%8.49%
Raam-Balad1.01%8.27%7%(Joint List)
HaYamin HeHadash2.30%5.37%6%(Bayit Yehudi)
Zehut2.31%n/an/a
Gesher1.64%n/an/a
CityRishon L’TzionRishonRishon
Party/Year201920152013
Overall Votes138,817137,810125,345
Likud34.58%29.98%31%(2013 w/YB)
Blue & White35.27%14.40%23%(Yesh Atid)
Shas2.78%2.97%5%
UTJ0.83%0.67%1%
Hadash-Taal0.05%0.06%<1%(Joint List)
Labor4.12%22.85%21%(Zionist Union)
Yisrael Beitenu5.67%6.92%w/Likud
Bayit Yehudi1.59%5.25%7%
Meretz1.49%2.13%2%
Kulanu5.24%11.44%
Raam-Balad0.02%0.06%<1%(Joint List)
HaYamin HeHadash2.45%5.25%7%(Bayit Yehudi)
Zehut2.84%n/an/a
Gesher2.39%n/an/a
CityPetah TikvaPetah TikvaPetah Tikva
Party/Year201920152013
Overall Votes131,617124,400111,194
Likud31.66%28.15%29%(2013 w/YB)
Blue & White27.14%11.69%18%(Yesh Atid)
Shas6.03%5.58%7%
UTJ4.34%3.87%4%
Hadash-Taal0.05%0.07%<1%(Joint List)
Labor3.31%17.81%16%(Zionist Union)
Yisrael Beitenu5.68%6.72%w/Likud
Bayit Yehudi6.03%10.71%13%
Meretz1.31%2.00%2%
Kulanu4.23%9.52%
Raam-Balad0.02%0.07%<1%(Joint List)
HaYamin HeHadash4.74%10.71%13%(Bayit Yehudi)
Zehut2.94%n/an/a
Gesher1.85%n/an/a
CityAshdodAshdodAshdod
Party/Year201920152013
Overall Votes117,488113,203103,274
Likud33.94%31.49%36%(2013 w/YB)
Blue & White16.45%7.78%10%(Yesh Atid)
Shas11.40%10.53%17%
UTJ11.69%9.83%10%
Hadash-Taal0.04%0.03%<1%(Joint List)
Labor1.51%8.56%10%(Zionist Union)
Yisrael Beitenu12.38%13.36%w/Likud
Bayit Yehudi1.61%4.83%7%
Meretz0.52%0.75%1%
Kulanu3.66%7.61%
Raam-Balad0.02%0.03%<1%(Joint List)
HaYamin HeHadash2.18%4.83%7%(Bayit Yehudi)
Zehut2.77%n/an/a
Gesher1.16%n/an/a
CityNetanyaNetanyaNetanya
Party/Year201920152013
Overall Votes109,241105,46892,694
Likud37.85%33.54%34%(2013 w/YB)
Blue & White22.83%10.46%16%(Yesh Atid)
Shas8.73%7.77%11%
UTJ2.94%2.77%2%
Hadash-Taal0.03%0.06%<1%(Joint List)
Labor2.67%13.82%13%(Zionist Union)
Yisrael Beitenu6.76%7.99%w/Likud
Bayit Yehudi3.35%6.43%11%
Meretz1.05%1.46%2%
Kulanu5.29%11.18%
Raam-Balad0.02%0.06%<1%(Joint List)
HaYamin HeHadash3.10%6.43%11%(Bayit Yehudi)
Zehut3.04%n/an/a
Gesher1.64%n/an/a
CityHolonHolonHolon
Party/Year201920152013
Overall Votes101,653102,06493,248
Likud37.51%31.19%31%(2013 w/YB)
Blue & White28.98%12.50%20%(Yesh Atid)
Shas7.28%7.88%11%
UTJ1.02%0.62%<1%
Hadash-Taal0.06%0.09%<1%(Joint List)
Labor4.13%20.12%19%(Zionist Union)
Yisrael Beitenu4.26%5.49%w/Likud
Bayit Yehudi1.59%4.86%6%
Meretz1.49%2.13%3%
Kulanu5.64%11.98%
Raam-Balad0.02%0.09%<1%(Joint List)
HaYamin HeHadash2.15%4.86%6%(Bayit Yehudi)
Zehut2.68%n/an/a
Gesher2.49%n/an/a
CityBeer ShevaBeer ShevaBeer Sheva
Party/Year201920152013
Overall Votes98,99397,15385,611
Likud43.01%37.69%38%(2013 w/YB)
Blue & White17.49%7.53%11%(Yesh Atid)
Shas6.03%6.36%13%
UTJ1.30%0.70%1%
Hadash-Taal0.29%0.55%<1%(Joint List)
Labor2.69%12.24%13%(Zionist Union)
Yisrael Beitenu9.50%12.06%w/Likud
Bayit Yehudi2.83%6.98%12%
Meretz1.27%1.40%2%
Kulanu3.93%8.80%
Raam-Balad0.15%0.55%<1%(Joint List)
HaYamin HeHadash4.58%6.98%12%(Bayit Yehudi)
Zehut4.32%n/an/a
Gesher1.78%n/an/a
CityRamat GanRamat GanRamat Gan
Party/Year201920152013
Overall Votes87,12685,12680,182
Likud24.80%22.96%23%(2013 w/YB)
Blue & White42.91%14.28%23%(Yesh Atid)
Shas2.70%3.13%4%
UTJ0.99%0.98%1%
Hadash-Taal0.22%0.23%<1%(Joint List)
Labor7.38%31.15%24%(Zionist Union)
Yisrael Beitenu1.58%2.55%w/Likud
Bayit Yehudi2.19%6.03%7%
Meretz4.37%6.15%7%
Kulanu4.28%9.74%
Raam-Balad0.04%0.23%<1%(Joint List)
HaYamin HeHadash2.85%6.03%7%(Bayit Yehudi)
Zehut2.70%n/an/a
Gesher2.43%n/an/a

Notes: 2013 Likud results include Yisrael Beitenu. Blue & White is being compared to Yesh Atid in 2015 & 2013. Both Hadash-Taal & Raam-Balad are being compared to The Joint List in 2015 & a combo of the four parties in 2013. Labor is being compared to the Zionist Union in 2015 and Labor + The Livni party in 2013. Yisrael Beltenu ran in 2013 with the Likud. Kulanu did not run in the 2013 elections. HaYamin HeHadash’s results are being compared to 2015 & 2013 Bayit Yehudi results.

Five lists arrived at the President’s Residence today for “Day 1”. Six lists arrived today for “Day 2”.

On Day 2, Netanyahu was nominated by Yisrael Beitenu, URP & Kulanu. Gantz was nominated by Labor & Meretz. Raam-Balad chose not to nominate anyone.

Yesterday, on Day 1, Netanyahu was nominated by Likud, Shas & UTJ. Gantz was nominated by Blue & White. Hadash-Taal chose not to nominate anyone.

The final Phase 2 results are Netanyahu 65, Gantz 45 and neither 10.

Tomorrow Central Elections Committee Chairman Justice Meltzer will submit the certified results of Phase 1 to President Rivlin. Rivlin, who has already conducted the Phase 2 consultations, is expected to formally ask Prime Minister Netanyahu to form his fifth government. Once given the mandate Netanyahu will have 42 days until May 29th 2019.

The 21st Knesset will be sworn in April 30th and the new government is expected to be sworn in during the first week of June.

President Rivlin received special permission from the Central Elections Committee Chairman to begin consultations with the delegations of the lists elected to Knesset prior to the official certified results that will be released on Wednesday. The Jewish Holiday of Passover starts Friday night.

Five lists arrived at the President’s Residence today for “Day 1”. Six will arrive tomorrow for “Day 2”.

Netanyahu was nominated by Likud, Shas & UTJ for a combined 51 nominations. Gantz was nominated by Blue & White. Hadash-Taal chose not to nominate anyone.

Going into Day 2 tomorrow – the interim results are Netanyahu 51, Gantz 35 and neither 6.

“The final results of the elections for the 21st Knesset will be published in Reshumot by Wednesday, April 17, 2019. By this date, the results may be revised due to the various control and examination processes that the committee conducts on the election results.” Source: Israeli Central Committtee Elections Website: https://votes21.bechirot.gov.il/cityresults?cityID=99999

Note: The official results will be certified by Central Election Committee Justice Meltzer on Wednesday. There are a number of polling stations that will be looked at again such as the ones in Bat Ayin, Gevaot Bar & Itamar. The magic number for HaYamin HeHadash to get in is 1,461 votes. I will post again on Wednesday an updated bracket of the final percentage points.

Vote PercentageKnesset SeatsOutgoing seatsPartyLeader/s
26.45%36[29] Likud (Netanyahu)
26.11%35[11] Blue & White(Gantz, Lapid, Yaalon & Ashkenazi)
5.99%8[07] Shas (Deri)
5.77%7[06] United Torah Judaism (Litzman)
4.49%6[05] Hadash-Taal (Odeh & Tibi)
4.44%6[18]Labor (Gabbai)
4.02%5[05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
3.70%5[05] United Right List (Peretz, Smotrich & Ben Gvir)
3.63%4[05] Meretz (Zandberg)
3.54%4[10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
3.34%4[08] Raam-Balad (Abbas)
Under 3.25% electoral threshold:
3.22%0[03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
2.73%0[–-] Zehut (Feiglin)
1.73%0[01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
0.74%0[01] All other parties Oren Hazan, Gal Hirsch & Others
65[66] Current Right-Religious BlocNetanyahu
55[54] Current Center-Left-Arab BlocGantz

Meltzer Decision that was sent to the parties and published a few minutes before midnight between Thursday night and Friday morning. The translation to English is my own:

Re: Election results for the 21st Knesset

Further to my announcement today, at 19:30, I submit to you the results of the elections for the 21st Knesset, as prepared by the Central Elections Committee for the Knesset, as of this time. I would like to emphasize that these results are published after many control procedures carried out by the Central Elections Committee. However, these are not the official results to be published on April 17 2019, in accordance with Article 11 of the Basic Law: The Knesset, and shall be submitted to the President of the State. We reserve the right to examine the results in various other control tools that the committee operates, in order to reflect accurate results, in a manner that is beneficial and in accordance with the Knesset Elections Law [Consolidated Version], 1969, and therefore these results are still subject to changes and adjustments. Before these results were published, I was presented with a request from the United Torah Judaism faction, which was submitted to me in writing, as well as a telephone call from Minister Ayelet Shaked to the Legal Advisor to the Committee, Adv. Dan Livneh, who requested to delay this publication, since the results set to be published are not final. After examination of the request and the appeal I found that there is no room to accept it because of course this is the publication of “interim” results, which are still subject to change. And I believe that it has an inherent advantage, since it increases the transparency of the results to the public, and enables the public and the parties to examine the results of the publication of the results. I would like to mention that in previous election campaigns, the results of the elections were published in a similar format, which were later modified and adjusted – on the Election Committee website, and I was not given any clear reason to deviate from this practice. Therefore, soon after the letters are sent to members of the Central Elections Committee and to the lists of candidates, the results will be posted on the committee’s website.


Exit polls 2019:

PlacePartyLeaderChannel 11Channel 12Channel 13Channel 20i24 newsYnetExit Poll AVGExit Poll Seats
1stBlue & WhiteGantz37373633333334.936
2ndLikudNetanyahu3633362727273133
3rdLaborGabbai8679897.99
4thUnited Torah JudaismLitzman7777756.77
5thShasDeri7676576.37
6thHadash-TaalOdeh6675776.37
7thUnited Right ListPeretz5546745.26
8thKulanuKahlon54466556
9thMeretzZandberg5546544.85
10thHaYamin HeHadashBennett0 (2.51%)046763.84
11thRaam-BaladAbbas06044430
12thYisrael BeitenuLiberman4540042.80
13thZehutFeiglin0 (2.42%)005452.30
14thGesherLevy0 (1.73%)0000000
Right-Religious Bloc64606663636363.263
Center-Left-Arab Bloc56605457575756.857

Notes (I’lll update as more methodology is released): Channel 11 was conducted by TNS/Teleseker in 60 polling stations. Channel 12 was conducted by Midgam. Channel 13 was conducted by Dialog. Channel 20 was conducted by Maagar Mochot. I24news was conducted by Sarid with 3,756 people with a 1.8% +/- margin of error. Ynet was conducted by Pardes with over 10,000 people.

Here is the average of the 5 exit polls from 2015:

https://knessetjeremy.com/2015/03/18/average-of-5-exit-polls-likud-26-2-zionist-union-25-6-joint-arab-list-13-yesh-atid-11-8-kulanu-9-6-bayit-yehudi-8-4-shas-7-2/

Takeaway: The average was more accurate than any individual exit poll.

Here is the 2015 exit poll average compared to the 2015 election results.

Takeaway: The average was accurate for most of the parties with a +/-1 seat margin of error.

https://knessetjeremy.com/2015/03/18/comparing-results-after-over-99-of-results-to-exit-polls-and-knesset-jeremy-model/