Archive for October, 2016


Midgam conducted a poll for the Knesset Channel that was broadcast on Oct 27 2016.

Did the Iraqi Military takeover of Mosul advance the destruction of the ISIS State?

44% Yes, 36% No, 19% Don’t know

Did the Iraqi Military takeover of Mosul weaken the opposition to Assad in Syria?

45% No, 30% Don’t know, 25% Yes

In the long term will the dream of Islamic extremists to create an Islamic State according to the laws of the Koran disappear or remain?

66% Remain, 22% Disappear, 12% Don’t know

What will happen to the Islamic State of ISIS as a result of the coalition efforts to destroy it through the help of the Iraqi and Kurdish armies?

40% Weaken, 20% Won’t change, 19% Don’t know, 12% Destroy, 9% Strengthen

Is the fight between Shiites and Sunnis in Islamic states utilized enough by Israeli Hasbara?

47% Not at all, 23% Utilized a little but enough, 22% Don’t know, 7% Utilized enough

Are the Muslim refugees that are going from Syria and ISIS to Jordan endangering the stability of the Jordanian Government?

57% Yes, 22% No, 21% Don’t know

Are the United States and the other western states doing enough to strengthen the moderate Muslims in Egypt, Jordan, Saudi Arabia and the Gulf States?

51% Not enough, 24% Not at all, 17% don’t know, 8% Enough

 

Midgam conducted a poll of 512 Haredim for Mishpacha (Family) Magazine that was published on Oct 12 2016.

Which Party will you vote for in the next elections?

62% UTJ, 13.6% Shas, 9.8% Don’t know, 6.4% Different Haredi party, 4.7% Don’t vote, 3.5% Non-Haredi party

Among Haredi Ashkenazim: 82.8% of Lithuanians (Degel HaTorah) will vote UTJ compared to 74.5% of Hasidim (Agudat Yisrael). Overall 2.5% of Haredi Ashkenazim will vote Shas.

Among Haredi Sephardim: 52.8% Shas, 17% Undecided, 10.2% A Haredi Party that is not Shas or UTJ, 10% UTJ and 10% won’t vote or will vote for a non-Haredi party.

Which Haredi politician are you most satisfied with?

28.2% Litzman, 20.8% Gafni, 7.1% Parush, 6.9% Deri

 

Additional Note #1: Degel HaTorah is close to 60% of UTJ voters compared to a little over 40% for Agudat Yisrael.

Additional Note #2: Agudat Yisrael breakdown: 13.7% Shlomi Emunim Faction (Deputy Minister Porush), 11% Central Faction (Minister Litzman), 5.7% Belz (MK Eichler), 2.4% Vizhnitz (MK Moses).

Maagar Mochot conducted a poll of 503 people on October 19-20 2016 with a 4.5% margin of error for Radio Tel Aviv that was published by the Jerusalem Post on Oct 24 2016.

 

Which of the candidates for President of the United States of America does the Israeli media cover more favorably?

34% Clinton, 24% Don’t know, 21% Both candidates equally, 21% Trump

Among those with an opinion: 45% Clinton, 28% Equally, 27% Trump

Jews: 40% Clinton, 30% Equally, 30% Trump

Arabs: 66% Clinton, 19% Equally, 15% Trump

 

Which of the candidates for President of the United States of America will better serve the State of Israel’s interests: Clinton or Trump?

37% Don’t know, 34% Trump, 29% Clinton

Among those with an opinion: 54% Trump, 46% Clinton

Jews: 51% Trump, 49% Clinton

Arabs: 74% Trump, 26% Clinton

HaMidgam/former Dialog conducted a poll of 646 people that was published by Walla on Oct 2 2016.

How would you grade living in Israel?

56% Good, 40% Average, 3% Bad, 1% Very bad

Have you ever thought about leaving Israel?

77% No, 23% Yes

Note: Only 13% of Arabs said yes.

When do you think Israel will reach a peace deal with the Palestinians?

64% Never, 24% Not in next five years, 8% Don’t know, 4% Within the next five years

Israel’s biggest issue is?

36% Cost of living, 24% Security situation, 17% Corruption in public sector, 13% Housing, 9% Religion and State Issues

Do the following figures do their job well from a scale of 1-10 with 10 being highest and 1 being lowest?

Top 10: 6.71 Health Minister Litzman, 6.7 IDF COS Eizenkott, 6.2 President Rivlin, 5.9 Justice Minister Shaked, 5.8 Police Commish Alsheikh, 5.7 Education Minister Bennett, 5.4 Finance Minister Kahlon, 5.3 Culture and Sport Minister Regev, 5.3 Prime Minister Netanyahu, 5.2 Defense Minister Liberman

Note: Among Arabs: 7.7 Tibi and 7.1 Odeh

Panels conducted a poll of 523 people with a 4.3% margin of error that was published by Maariv on Oct 2 2016. The poll was conducted from Sep 24-26.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

27 [11] Yesh Atid

22 [30] Likud

14 [08] Bayit Yehudi

13 [13] The Joint (Arab) List

10 [24] Zionist Union

09 [06] Yisrael Beitenu

07 [07] Shas

07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

06 [10] Kulanu

05 [05] Meretz

 

65 [67] Current Right-Religious Coalition

55 [53] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

 

Scenario Poll: With a new Liberal Likud with Yaalon, Kahlon, Saar and “maybe” Gantz or Ashkenazi.

21 [30] Likud

20 [11] Yesh Atid

19 [10] Liberal Likud with Yaalon, Kahlon, Saar and “maybe” Gantz or Ashkenazi

14 [08] Bayit Yehudi

13 [13] The Joint (Arab) List

09 [06] Yisrael Beitenu

07 [24] Zionist Union

07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

06 [07] Shas

04 [05] Meretz

 

76 [67] Current Right-Religious Coalition +New Likud

44 [53] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

 

Additional Questions

Between the two which do you want to lead Israel into the coming years (7 head-to-head matchups)?

38% Netanyahu, 33% Saar, 30% Don’t know

39% Netanyahu, 24% Bennett, 37% Don’t know

44% Netanyahu, 34% Lapid, 21% Don’t know

44% Netanyahu, 27% Ashkenazi, 29% Don’t know

44% Netanyahu, 23% Kahlon, 33% Don’t know

46% Netanyahu, 24% Yaalon, 30% Don’t know

55% Netanyahu, 19% Herzog, 27% Don’t know

To what extent are you satisfied with the conduct of Benjamin Netanyahu as Prime Minister?

59% Not satisfied, 33% Satisfied, 8% Don’t know

To what extent are you satisfied with the conduct of Avigdor Liberman as Defense Minister?

48% Not satisfied, 34% Satisfied, 18% Don’t know

To what extent are you satisfied with the conduct of Miri Regev as Culture and Sport Minister?

49% Not satisfied, 46% Satisfied, 5% Don’t know

Note: 79% of right is satisfied, only 32% of center voters and 90% of left voters are not satisfied.

What is your opinion on the action of Elor Azaria?

46% Justified, 41% Not Justified, 13% Don’t know

Do you think the public storm influences the conduct of the case?

72% Yes, 15% No, 10% Don’t know

Who do you think is the most influential Israeli Arab leader?

Among Jews: 46% Tibi, 23% Don’t know, 12% None, 10% Odeh, 7% Zoabi, 3% Zachalka

Among Arabs: 40% None, 23% Don’t know, 24% Tibi, 9% Zoabi, 9% Odeh, 1% Zachalka