Maagar Mochot conducted a poll of 569 people with a 4.5% error rate for Maariv that was published on Jan 17 2013
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
37 [42] Likud Beitenu (Likud and Yisrael Beitenu)
15 [08] Labor
14 [05] Bayit Yehudi (Jewish Home-National Union)
12 [10] Shas
08 [—] Yesh Atid
07 [03] Meretz
06 [05] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
05 [07] Movement
04 [04] Hadash
03 [21] Kadima
03 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al
03 [03] Balad
02 [02] Strong Israel
01 [01] Am Shalem
00 [05] Independence (not running)
72 [65] Right-Religious
48 [55] Center-Left-Arab
Jeremy's Knesset Insider 
Thank you again for this wonderful service. I will be very glad when the elections are over. I wonder how many people will be refused jobs or apartments because of the hatemongering?
How many seats does the Achuz HaChasimah equal? And where can I get information on the inter-party arangements?
By the way, it would seem to me that a real democratic reform would be to allow people (or parties) that don’t make it to choose a back-up party. (But of course the purpose of all “election reform” is not greater democracy, but elimination of smaller parties.)
This poll continues to be an outlier. A real joke.