Dialogue Poll of 491 people with an error rate of 4.3% was conducted for Haaretz 23-24 Decemeber 2012 and published the following day.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
35 [42] Likud Beitenu (Likud and Yisrael Beitenu)
17 [08] Labor
13 [05] Bayit Yehudi (Jewish Home-National Union)
13 [10] Shas
10 [07] The Movement (Livni Party)
09 [—] Yesh Atid
06 [05] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
04 [04] Hadash
04 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al
04 [03] Meretz
03 [03] Balad
02 [21] Kadima
00 [02] Strong Israel
00 [01] Am Shalem
00 [05] Independence (not running)
67 [65] Right
53 [55] Center-Left
Who would you like to have a beer with?
Netanyahu 20%, Lapid 14%, Bennett 11%, Deri 8%, Livni 8%, Liberman 7%, Shelly 5%
Can you do what the 538 blog and Nate silver did, and sort of average all the polls together? Would be nice to see.
I have a weekly avg poll that comes out.
Why would anyone want to have a beer with Deri? Does he even drink? I’d probably have chosen Haim Amsalem, though he doesn’t seem to have been listed as an option, but I think he’s be fun to chat with. I don’t guess anyone wanted to share a drink with Yaakov Litzman, though. Can you imagine? Suppose you tossed back a few with Aryeh Eldad, though. Just picture all the crazy things you could get him to say if he got drunk?