Archive for November, 2012


Results of 59 people who ran on National List

47,777 Sa’ar
44,875 Erdan
41,957 Shalom
41,662 Y. Katz
36,881 Danon
35,508 Rivlin
34,458 Ya’alon
31,060 Elkin
29,381 Levin
29,138 Edelstein
29,035 H. Katz
28,133 Hotovely
27,999 Regev
26,472 Feiglin
26,109 Shtinetz
23,561 Hanegbi
23,180 Livnat
22,898 Akunis
21,843 Gamliel
21,830 Shama
21,600 Begin
21,500 Sheetrit
21,455 Dichter
20,079 Ness
15,679 Bibi
14,141 Pinyan
14,080 Barak
14,057 Meridor
12,858 Kara
11,872 Eitan
11,148 Avital
6,605 Negosa
6,004 Shoval
5,730 Afif
4,324 Admaso
3,644 Koren
3,617 Eliezer
2,950 Navon
2,921 Telmi
2,556 Bulstein
2,413 Shamlov Berkovitz
2,229 Ben Zaken
2,199 Rabinowitz
1,969 Simona
1,786 Yarbkan
1,775 Mustafa
1,707 Vider
1,675 Sarel
1,516 Tauber
1,158 Moraeli
1,002 Rajuwan
988 Damati
917 Ben Sasson
820 Tiatcho
780 Gorgi
655 Benny Davis
637 Gordon
617 Salmon
512 Mizrahi

Note: This is a list of vote totals. The Likud system of assigning places is complicated and this will not be the order.

Knesset Jeremy Weekly Average #7 (week of Nov 18-24) of 7 polls (3 Channel 2 polls, Ma’ariv, Ha’aretz, Knesset Channel and ICPT):

Current Knesset seats in [brackets], Week 5 average in (brackets)

38.0 (37.0) [42] Likud Beitenu
21.4 (21.5) [08] Labor
11.8 (11.0) [10] Shas
11.1 (13.0) [–] Yesh Atid
9.5 (11.0) [05] National Union-Jewish Home
5.7 (5.0) [05] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
4.0 (4.5) [03] Meretz
3.8 (3.5) [04] Hadash
3.5 (3.0) [04] Ra’am-Ta’al
3.2 (3.5) [03] Balad
2.7 (2.5) [01] Am Shalem
1.8 (2.5) [05] Independence
1.4 (0.0) [02] Strong Israel
1.0 (2.0) [28] Kadima

69.5 (66.5) [65] Right
50.8 (53.5) [55] Center-Left

Note: I didn’t include Livni Party scenario polls because she has not announced yet the formation of her party. Deadline for all parties to submit their lists is December 6th.

Dahaf poll of 500 people with an error of +/- 4.4% was conducted for Channel 2 and broadcast on November 23 2012. First poll was asked on November 22 and the second poll without Livni party on November 20.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets].

34 [42] Likud Beitenu (Likud and Yisrael Beitenu)
19 [08] Labor
11 [10] Shas
10 [05] Jewish Home and National Union
10 [—] Yesh Atid
10 [—] New Livni Party
05 [05] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
04 [05] Independence
04 [04] Hadash
04 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al
04 [03] Meretz
03 [03] Balad
02 [02] Strong Israel
00 [01] Am Shalem
00 [28] Kadima

62 [65] Right
58 [55] Center-Left

Without Livni Party:

Current Knesset seats in [brackets].

40 [42] Likud Beitenu (Likud and Yisrael Beitenu)
21 [08] Labor
14 [—] Yesh Atid
11 [10] Shas
09 [05] Jewish Home and National Union
06 [05] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
04 [04] Hadash
04 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al
04 [03] Meretz
03 [03] Balad
02 [02] Strong Israel
02 [01] Am Shalem
00 [28] Kadima
00 [05] Independence

68 [65] Right
52 [55] Center-Left

I am not a Likud member but if I was I would vote for these people.

Ofir Akunis, Gabi Avital, Benny Begin, Danny Danon, Yuli Edelstein, Zeev Elkin, Gilad Erdan, David Hermlin, Yariv Levin, Reuven Rivlin, Gideon Sa’ar and Daniel Tauber

Note: I would probably vote for less than 12 people but I know it is required to vote for at least 12.

Maagar Mochot poll conducted for Maariv and published on November 23 2012

Current Knesset seats in [brackets].

37 [42] Likud Beitenu (Likud and Yisrael Beitenu)
22 [08] Labor
14 [10] Shas
09 [05] Jewish Home and National Union
09 [—] Yesh Atid
06 [05] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
04 [05] Independence
04 [04] Hadash
03 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al
03 [03] Meretz
03 [03] Balad
03 [01] Am Shalem
02 [28] Kadima
01 [02] Strong Israel

70 [65] Right
50 [55] Center-Left

Scenario Poll: Livni runs with new party

Current Knesset seats in [brackets].

37 [42] Likud Beitenu (Likud and Yisrael Beitenu)
19 [08] Labor
14 [10] Shas
09 [05] Jewish Home and National Union
08 [—] Livni Party
06 [05] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
05 [—] Yesh Atid
04 [05] Independence
04 [04] Hadash
03 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al
03 [03] Meretz
03 [03] Balad
03 [01] Am Shalem
01 [28] Kadima
01 [02] Strong Israel