New Wave conducted a poll of 820 people with an arror rate of 3.4% for Yisrael Hayom that was published 3 Jan 2013.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
34 [42] Likud Beitenu (Likud and Yisrael Beitenu)
16 [08] Labor
14 [05] Bayit Yehudi (Jewish Home-National Union)
11 [10] Shas
11 [—] Yesh Atid
10 [07] The Movement (Livni Party)
05 [05] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
04 [03] Meretz
04 [04] Hadash
04 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al
03 [03] Balad
02 [21] Kadima
02 [01] Am Shalem
00 [02] Strong Israel
00 [05] Independence (not running)
66 [65] Right-Religious
54 [55] Center-Left-Arab
Finally something with a better sample size. I wish someone would commission just one poll with a error rate below the 2% cutoff, or better yet within a seat. I notice that this poll has UTJ at 5 instead of 6. From my own ground-level view, I think there is a certain section of UTJ voters who are thinking of voting for Bennet, and Netanyahu’s latest attacks might sway them to do so.
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