Tag Archive: politics


Dialogue conducted a poll of 534 people on Feb 24-25, with an error rate of 4.2%, that was published by Haaretz on Feb 28 2014.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

33 [31] Likud Beitenu

16 [15] Labor

14 [19] Yesh Atid

12 [12] Bayit Yehudi

10 [11] Shas

10 [06] Meretz

06 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

05 [06] Movement

05 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al

04 [04] Hadash

03 [03] Balad

02 [02] Kadima

61 [61] Right-Religious

59 [59] Center-Left-Arab

Additional Question:

What are the chances you vote for a party led by Moshe Kachalon?
47% For sure will not vote, 22% Don’t know, 24% Maybe vote, 7% For sure vote

Knesset Jeremy Analysis: Main differences from Panels poll this week is that Labor is lower and Shas is higher.

Panels conducted a poll that was broadcast by Knesset Channel 99 on Feb 27 2014.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

32 [31] Likud Beitenu

21 [15] Labor

13 [19] Yesh Atid

13 [12] Bayit Yehudi

10 [06] Meretz

07 [11] Shas

06 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

04 [06] Movement

04 [04] Hadash

04 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al

03 [03] Balad

03 [–] Strong Israel

00 [02] Kadima

61 [61] Right-Religious

59 [59] Center-Left-Arab

Knesset Jeremy Analysis: Labor gains ground on Likud Beitenu. Bayit Yehudi drops from recent polls and Strong Israel passes the current threshold.

Teleseker conducted a poll for Walla that was published on Feb 11 2014.
They also conducted a scenario poll with Likud and Yisrael Beitenu as separate parties.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

35 [31] Likud Beitenu

15 [19] Yesh Atid

15 [15] Labor

14 [12] Bayit Yehudi

11 [11] Shas

07 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

06 [06] Meretz

06 [06] Movement

04 [04] Hadash

04 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al

03 [03] Balad

00 [02] Kadima

67 [61] Right-Religious

53 [59] Center-Left-Arab

Scenario Poll: Likud and Yisrael Beitenu as different parties

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

28 [20] Likud

15 [15] Labor

14 [19] Yesh Atid

13 [12] Bayit Yehudi

11 [11] Yisrael Beitenu

10 [11] Shas

06 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

06 [06] Meretz

06 [06] Movement

04 [04] Hadash

04 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al

03 [03] Balad

00 [02] Kadima

68 [61] Right-Religious

52 [59] Center-Left-Arab

Knesset Jeremy Analysis: Scenario poll shows that both Netanyahu would gain from running without Yisrael Beitenu by ensuring more Likud MKs and raising the Netanyahu-Liberman block, as well as the right block. In the “regular” poll the tie between Labor and Yesh Atid is quite interesting for second place.

Panels conducted a poll that was broadcast by Knesset Channel 99 on Feb 6 2014.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

32 [31] Likud Beitenu

18 [15] Labor

15 [12] Bayit Yehudi

14 [19] Yesh Atid

11 [06] Meretz

07 [11] Shas

06 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

04 [06] Movement

04 [04] Hadash

04 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al

03 [03] Balad

02 [02] Kadima

60 [61] Right-Religious

60 [59] Center-Left-Arab

Knesset Jeremy Analysis: Likud Beitenu is gaining back some of the ground it lost to Bayit Yehudi.

Panels conducted a poll that was broadcast by Knesset Channel 99 on Feb 3 2014.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

30 [31] Likud Beitenu

19 [15] Labor

16 [12] Bayit Yehudi

13 [19] Yesh Atid

11 [06] Meretz

09 [11] Shas

06 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

05 [06] Movement

04 [04] Hadash

04 [03] Balad

03 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al

00 [02] Kadima

61 [61] Right-Religious

59 [59] Center-Left-Arab

Knesset Jeremy Analysis: Weekend affect: A few changes from Panels poll that was conducted four days earlier.  In this poll Kadima falls under the threshold, UTJ drops a seat and Bayit Yehudi also loses a seat from 17 to 16. Shas gains two seats, Yesh Atid one seat and Livni/Movement one seat as well. 61-59 result between the blocks remains the same.

Additional Questions:

Who do you believe Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu or Minister Naftali Bennett?

37% Bennett (84% of Bayit Yehudi voters), 24% Netanyahu (2% of Bayit Yehudi voters), 39% (14% of Bayit Yehudi voters) Don’t know

Who acted correctly in last week’s brawl?

34% Netanyahu (7% of Bayit Yehudi voters), 33% Bennett (77% of Bayit Yehudi voters), 33% (16% of Bayit Yehudi voters) Don’t know

What grade do you give Minister Naftali Bennett?

37% Bad (3% of Bayit Yehudi voters), 30% Good (75% of Bayit Yehudi voters), 25% Average (20% of Bayit Yehudi voters)

Who is the right person to lead the nationalist camp?

25% Netanyahu, 14% Yaalon, 11% Bennett, 7% Liberman, 30% None of them, 13% Don’t know

Does Bennett’s behavior increase or decrease the chance you will vote for him in the next elections?

53% Doesn’t change, 23% Lower chances, 14% Higher chances

Additional Questions for Bayit Yehudi voters:

Do you regret voting Bayit Yehudi?

80% No, 7% Yes

What made you vote Bayit Yehudi?

55% Views on Defense/Security/Diplomacy, 35% Views on Religion, 10% I don’t know

Which Bayit Yehudi MK best represents you?

24% Naftali Bennett, 17% Uri Orbach, 15% Ayelet Shaked, 5% Orit Struck, 4% Uri Ariel, 2% Nissan Slomiansky. 33% Don’t know or one of the other 6 Bayit Yehudi MKs (Ben-Dahan, Kalfa, Wortzman, Yogev, Chetboun, Muaalam).