Jeremy's Knesset Insider

Dialog conducted a poll for 756 people for Channel 10 that was broadcast on Jan 16 2013

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

32 [42] Likud Beitenu (Likud and Yisrael Beitenu)
16 [08] Labor
14 [05] Bayit Yehudi (Jewish Home-National Union)
11 [10] Shas
11 [—] Yesh Atid
09 [07] Movement
06 [05] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [03] Meretz
04 [04] Hadash
04 [03] Balad
03 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al
02 [21] Kadima
02 [02] Strong Israel
01 [01] Am Shalem (1.1%)
00 [05] Independence (not running)

Green Leaf 1 (1.4%), Eretz Hadasha 1 (1.3%),

65 [65] Right-Religious
55 [55] Center-Left-Arab

6% are lost on 8 seats that don’t pass the threshold

Teleseker conducted a poll for 500 people for Walla that was published Jan 16 2013

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

34 [42] Likud Beitenu (Likud and Yisrael Beitenu)
18 [08] Labor
15 [05] Bayit Yehudi (Jewish Home-National Union)
11 [—] Yesh Atid
10 [10] Shas
06 [07] Movement
06 [05] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
05 [03] Meretz
04 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al
03 [21] Kadima
03 [04] Hadash
03 [03] Balad
02 [01] Am Shalem
00 [02] Strong Israel
00 [05] Independence (not running)

67 [65] Right-Religious
53 [55] Center-Left-Arab

Mano Geva poll conducted for Channel 1 that was broadcast on Jan 15 2013

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

33 [42] Likud Beitenu (Likud and Yisrael Beitenu)
17 [08] Labor
14 [05] Bayit Yehudi (Jewish Home-National Union)
12 [—] Yesh Atid
11 [10] Shas
09 [07] Movement
06 [05] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
05 [03] Meretz
04 [04] Hadash
04 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al
04 [03] Balad
02 [21] Kadima
02 [02] Strong Israel
00 [01] Am Shalem
00 [05] Independence (not running)

66 (64 without Strong Israel) [65] Right-Religious
57 (55 without Kadima) [55] Center-Left-Arab
(Poll come out to 123 seats)

Panels conducted a poll of 504 people with a 4.3% error rate for Knesset Channel that was broadcast Jan 15 2013

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

35 [42] Likud Beitenu (Likud and Yisrael Beitenu)
17 [08] Labor
14 [05] Bayit Yehudi (Jewish Home-National Union)
11 [—] Yesh Atid
09 [10] Shas
08 [07] Movement
05 [05] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
05 [03] Meretz
04 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al
03 [21] Kadima
03 [04] Hadash
03 [03] Balad
03 [02] Strong Israel
00 [01] Am Shalem
00 [05] Independence (not running)

66 [65] Right-Religious
54 [55] Center-Left-Arab

All 34 parties were polled. Green Party, Green Leaf, Eretz Hadasha and Koach Lahaspia all recieved a number of votes but did not recieve enough to pass the threshold.

Midgam poll that was broadcast on Channel 1 on Jan 12 2013.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

33 [42] Likud Beitenu (Likud and Yisrael Beitenu)
16 [08] Labor
15 [05] Bayit Yehudi (Jewish Home-National Union)
10 [10] Shas
10 [—] Yesh Atid
09 [07] Movement
06 [03] Meretz
05 [05] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
04 [04] Hadash
04 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al
03 [03] Balad
03 [02] Strong Israel
02 [21] Kadima
00 [01] Am Shalem
00 [05] Independence (not running)

66 [65] Right-Religious
54 [55] Center-Left-Arab

Knesset Jeremy – The Israeli Poll of Polls

Knesset Jeremy Weekly Average #14 (week of Jan 6-12 2013) of 13 polls (Two Channel 2, Yediot Achronot, Channel 10, Channel 1, Knesset Channel, Maariv, Yisrael Hayom, Walla, Reshet Bet, Jerusalem Post/Globes, Yisrael Post/Sof Shavua, Times of Israel)

Current Knesset seats in [brackets], Week 13 average in (brackets):

34.0 (34.0) [42] Likud Beitenu
17.3 (17.1) [08] Labor
14.2 (14.5) [05] Bayit Yehudi (Jewish Home/National Union)
10.3 (10.5) [10] Shas
10.3 (9.4) [—] Yesh Atid
7.8 (9.5) [07] Movement (Livni)
6.0 (5.7) [05] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
4.8 (4.4) [03] Meretz
3.7 (4.0) [04] Hadash
3.6 (3.8) [04] Ra’am-Ta’al
3.3 (3.3) [03] Balad
1.4 (1.1) [21] Kadima
1.2 (1.6) [02] Strong Israel
1.0 (0.6) [01] Am Shalem
— (0.0) [05] Independence (No longer running)

67.07 (67.1) [65] Right-Religious
52.92 (52.8) [55] Center-Left-Arab

Changes from week 13 to week 14:
Yesh Atid passes Movement for 5th place.
Kadima passes Strong Israel for 12th place.

Largest Gains: Yesh Atid gained 0.9 of a seat, Meretz and Am Shalem both gained 0.4 of a seat each.
Biggest Losses: Movement lost 1.7 seats and Strong Israel lost 0.4 of a seat.

Yisrael Post/Sof Hashavua poll that was published on Jan 11 2013.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

34 [42] Likud Beitenu (Likud and Yisrael Beitenu)
17 [08] Labor
14 [05] Bayit Yehudi (Jewish Home-National Union)
11 [—] Yesh Atid
09 [10] Shas
09 [07] The Movement
06 [05] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
05 [03] Meretz
04 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al
03 [04] Hadash
03 [03] Balad
03 [02] Strong Israel
02 [21] Kadima
00 [01] Am Shalem
00 [05] Independence (not running)

66 [65] Right-Religious
54 [55] Center-Left-Arab

Smith poll of 870 people with an error rate of +/- 3% conducted for Jerusalem Post that was published on Jan 11 2013.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

34 [42] Likud Beitenu (Likud and Yisrael Beitenu)
18 [08] Labor
14 [05] Bayit Yehudi (Jewish Home-National Union)
10 [10] Shas
10 [—] Yesh Atid
08 [07] The Movement
06 [05] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
04 [04] Hadash
04 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al
04 [03] Meretz
03 [03] Balad
03 [01] Am Shalem
02 [21] Kadima
00 [02] Strong Israel
00 [05] Independence (not running)

67 [65] Right-Religious
53 [55] Center-Left-Arab

Strong Israel under 2%, Eretz Hadasha (1.7%) Koah Lehashpia (1.5%)

Dahaf poll of 1000 people with an error rate of +/- 0.8 to 3 seats conducted for Yediot Achronot that was published on Jan 11 2013.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

33 [42] Likud Beitenu (Likud and Yisrael Beitenu)
18 [08] Labor
14 [05] Bayit Yehudi (Jewish Home-National Union)
11 [—] Yesh Atid
10 [10] Shas
08 [07] The Movement
06 [03] Meretz
05 [05] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
04 [04] Hadash
04 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al
03 [03] Balad
02 [21] Kadima
02 [02] Strong Israel
00 [01] Am Shalem
00 [05] Independence (not running)

64 [65] Right-Religious
56 [55] Center-Left-Arab

New Wave poll conducted for Yisrael Hayom that was published on Jan 11 2013.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

35 [42] Likud Beitenu (Likud and Yisrael Beitenu)
17 [08] Labor
14 [05] Bayit Yehudi (Jewish Home-National Union)
11 [10] Shas
11 [—] Yesh Atid
09 [07] The Movement
06 [05] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
04 [04] Hadash
04 [03] Balad
04 [03] Meretz
03 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al
02 [21] Kadima
00 [02] Strong Israel
00 [01] Am Shalem
00 [05] Independence (not running)

66 [65] Right-Religious
54 [55] Center-Left-Arab