My Galay Yisrael Radio interview from last night: Harper Visit, Yaa’alon Flap & more:
My Analysis on yesterday’s scenario “Poll: Netanyahu ‘Kadima’-Type Breakaway from Likud is Viable”
http://www.israelnationalnews.com/News/News.aspx/176860#.UukLURCSzZU
Panels conducted a scenario poll that was broadcast by Knesset Channel 99 on Jan 28 2014.
If the Likud prevents Netanyahu from reaching an agreement that involves giving up territory and elections were tomorrow – Who would you vote for?
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
18 [–] New Netanyahu Led Party
17 [20] Likud
16 [15] Labor
16 [12] Bayit Yehudi
11 [06] Meretz
10 [19] Yesh Atid
07 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
05 [11] Yisrael Beitenu
05 [11] Shas
04 [06] Movement
04 [04] Hadash
04 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al
03 [03] Balad
00 [02] Kadima
50 [61] Right-Religious
70 [59] Center-Left-Arab
Knesset Jeremy Analysis: The scenario poll that many KnessetJeremy readers have asked for. The results – a new Netanyahu party would win the election and become the largest party. This scenario would make the block theory completely irrelevant.
Additional Questions:
Where do the Netanyahu party voters come from?
46% Likud Beitenu, undecided 14%, Labor 11%, Yesh Atid 11%, Meretz 9%, Livni/Movement 9%.
What should Netanyahu do if the Likud opposes a proposed peace agreement?
51% Accept the Likud’s decision (77% among Likud Beitenu voters), 25% Create a new party (7% among Likud Beitenu voters), 24% Don’t know (16% among Likud Beitenu voters).
Times Of Israel released a poll on Jan 23 2014. The poll was conducted on December 26-31 with a representative sample of 802 Israelis and an error rate of 3.5%. The poll was conducted by 202 Strategies with Shvakim Panorama.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
46 [31] Likud Beitenu
18 [15] Labor
13 [19] Yesh Atid
11 [11] Shas
07 [12] Bayit Yehudi
06 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [06] Meretz
05 [06] Movement
00 [02] Kadima
08 [11] Hadash, Ra’am-Ta’al and Balad
70 [61] Right-Religious
50 [59] Center-Left-Arab
Knesset Jeremy Analysis: The results are three weeks old but the Times of Israel poll is in line with the results of the Channel 1 and 103 FM polls, as opposed to the Panels poll that came out today. Hadash, Ra’am-Ta’al and Balad drop of three seats seems very strange to me.
Panels conducted a poll that was broadcast by Knesset Channel 99 on Jan 23 2014.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
34 [31] Likud Beitenu
17 [15] Labor
14 [19] Yesh Atid
12 [12] Bayit Yehudi
10 [06] Meretz
08 [11] Shas
06 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [06] Movement
04 [04] Hadash
04 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al
03 [03] Balad
02 [02] Kadima
60 [61] Right-Religious
60 [59] Center-Left-Arab
Knesset Jeremy Analysis: This poll is obviously very different than the polls from the last few days. Key is to note the 60-60 tie between the blocks.
Link to poll that shares my analysis on why the right is increasing:
http://www.israelnationalnews.com/News/News.aspx/176602
Below are links to my last 5 Galai Yisrael Radio interviews.
Each interview is an in-depth look of around 30 minutes.
Kerry Plan, a View Within the Knesset:
Jeremy Man Saltan on the Kerry Plan, a View Within the Knesset
US Spying on Israel and Investing in the Future to Keep the Roads Clear:
US Spying on Israel and Investing in the Future to Keep the Roads Clear
Knesset Update and Hollow Negotiations in the Middle East:
Live show link, Chat, Q&A:
Acquittal of Lieberman and More Sanctions for Iran:
https://knessetjeremy.com/feed/
Jeremy's Knesset Insider 