Category: Knesset


In the Israeli election cycle public campaign funding is important. The new Likud Beitenu faction will have about double the campaign funding compared to the next three challengers on the list (Shas, Labor and Yesh Atid) together. Likud Beitenu will also enjoy the same ratio of commercial advertisements on national television (Channel 1,2 and 10). The numbers below were reported in Yediot Ahronot on October 28, 2012.

Likud Beitenu 54.6 million shekel
Shas 14.3 million shekel
Labor 10.4 million shekel
Yesh Atid 4 million shekel

Likud 91 min
Shas 29 min
Labor 23 min
Yesh Atid 7 min

Panels Pollitics Polling conducted the first poll following the dramatic Netanyahu – Liberman unity deal and asked 305 people on Oct 25 2012. The results were presented on Channel 2 shortly after midnight.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets].

33 [42] Likud Beitenu (Likud and Yisrael Beitenu)
27 [08] Labor
18 [—] Yesh Atid
13 [07] National Union – Jewish Home
09 [11] Shas
05 [05] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
05 [03] Meretz
04 [04] Hadash
03 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al
03 [03] Balad
00 [28] Kadima
00 [05] Independence

60 [65] Right
60 [55] Center-Left

Knesset Jeremy Weekly Average #2 (week of Oct 14-20) of 4 polls (Walla, Arutz Sheva, Haaretz and Globes):

Current Knesset seats in [brackets], Week 1 average in (brackets)

28 (29) [27] Likud
19.7 (19.6) [08] Labor
13.2 (14.1) [15] Yisrael Beitenu
12.7 (13.3) [—] Yesh Atid
10.5 (10.3) [11] Shas
06 (5.3) [05] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 (5.8) [28] Kadima
04.5 (4.1) [03] Jewish Home
04 (3.8) [04] Hadash
04 (3.5) [04] Ra’am-Ta’al
04 (3.8) [03] Meretz
03.5 (3.1) [04] National Union
03 (3.1) [03] Balad
0.7 (0.6) [05] Independence

66 (66.1) [65] Right
54 (53.8) [55] Center-Left

Smith poll published by Globes on Oct 18 2012. There are two additional scenario polls listed below.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets].

27 [27] Likud
18 [08] Labor
15 [15] Yisrael Beitenu
14 [—] Yesh Atid
11 [11] Shas
06 [05] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
05 [03] Jewish Home
04 [04] National Union
04 [04] Hadash
04 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al
04 [03] Meretz 03
03 [28] Kadima
03 [03] Balad
02 [05] Independence

68 [65] Right
52 [55] Center-Left

Scenario #1: New party with Tzippi Livni at head, another party with Olmert at the head and Deri at head of Shas.

25 [27] Likud
13 [08] Labor
13 [15] Yisrael Beitenu
13 [11] Shas
06 [—] Yesh Atid
06 [05] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
05 [03] Jewish Home
04 [04] National Union
04 [04] Hadash
04 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al
03 [03] Meretz
03 [03] Balad
02 [28] Kadima
00 [05] Independence
07 [—] Olmert and Kadima breakoffs
12 [—] New Livni party

66 [65] Right
54 [55] Center-Left

Scenario 2: Olmert led party with Livni as his #2 along with Kadima breakaways. This scenario also has Shas with Deri at the helm.

25 [27] Likud
16 [08] Labor
14 [15] Yisrael Beitenu
13 [11] Shas
08 [—] Yesh Atid
06 [05] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
05 [03] Jewish Home
04 [04] National Union
04 [04] Hadash
04 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al
04 [03] Meretz
03 [03] Balad
02 [28] Kadima
00 [05] Independence
12 [—] Olmert #1, Livni #2, Kadima breakoffs

67 [65] Right
53 [55] Center-Left

A Dialogue poll was published in Haaertz Oct 18 2012. Two additional scenario polls were taken.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets].

29 [27] Likud
20 [08] Labor
13 [15] Yisrael Beitenu
11 [–] Yesh Atid
11 [11] Shas
09 [28] Kadima
06 [07] National Union and Jewish Home
06 [05] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
04 [04] Hadash
04 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al
04 [03] Meretz
03 [03] Balad
00 [05] Independence

65 [65] Right
55 [55] Center-Left

Scenario #1: Livni joins Labor as #2

27 [27] Likud
24 [08] Labor
13 [15] Yisrael Beitenu
11 [11] Shas
10 [–] Yesh Atid
07 [28] Kadima
06 [07] National Union and Jewish Home
06 [05] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
05 [03] Meretz
04 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al
04 [04] Hadash
03 [03] Balad
00 [05] Independence

63 [65] Right
57 [55] Center-Left

Scenario #2: Olmert, Livni and Lapid create super party and Deri leads Shas

25 [28] Super Kadima with Olmert, Livni and Lapid
24 [27] Likud
17 [08] Labor
14 [11] Shas
13 [15] Yisrael Beitenu
06 [07] National Union and Jewish Home
06 [05] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
04 [03] Meretz
04 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al
04 [04] Hadash
03 [03] Balad
00 [05] Independence

63 [65] Right
57 [55] Center-Left