In the table below I measure the gap between the Knesset Jeremy Average (4 days before election), the exit polls of Channels 11,12,13&14 and the final election results. Party Election Results Knesset Jeremy AVG Gap Likud 32 31 1 Yesh Atid 24 25 -1 Religious Zionist 14 14 0 National Unity 12 11 1 Shas […]
The last average compares three different polling averages. Last week’s average is compared to an average of the 15 polls released during the Monday-Friday period of October 24 – October 28. The most recent average is a 7 poll average consisting of the last seven polls released during the last two days before the polling […]
Below are the last four polls that were released yesterday, before the deadline for publishing or broadcasting polls. The next post will compare a 7-Poll Average from the polls released during the last two days of polling to a 15-Poll Average of the polls released throughout the week to last week’s average. Poll 1: Panels […]
Polls must be published or broadcast by midnight Israeli time between Friday and Saturday. I will publish the last polls and polling average on Saturday evening. Below are the 11 polls that were published or broadcast over the last four days from Monday October 24 – Thursday October 27. Poll 1: Kantar conducted a poll […]
Smotrich made the most significant gain with a 0.6 jump. Liberman’s Yisrael Beitenu went up for the second straight week, this time by 0.3. Likud dropped for the second consecutive week, this time by 0.5. Gantz also went down this week, this time by 0.3. Lapid’s Yesh Atid also lost 0.1. Overall, we remain stuck […]
Kantar conducted a poll of 651 people with a 3.8% margin of error that was broadcast by Channel 11 on October 18 2022. Current Knesset seats in [brackets] 31 [29] Likud (Netanyahu) 25 [17] Yesh Atid (Lapid) 14 [07] Religious Zionist (Smotrich) 11 [16] National Unity (Gantz) 08 [09] Shas (Deri) 07 [07] United Torah […]
Yesh Atid makes largest gain of 0.9 and Likud takes biggest drop of 0.7 – narrowing the gap between the two bloc leaders to 7.7 seats. Inside the Netanyahu camp, in addition to the Likud’s drop, Shas dropped slightly with a 0.1 loss. The Anti-Netanyahu Bloc continued to see fluctuation as Gantz made gains of […]
Midgam conducted a poll of 500 people with a 4.4% margin of error that was broadcast by Channel 12 on October 11 2022. Current Knesset seats in [brackets] 31 [29] Likud (Netanyahu) 24 [17] Yesh Atid (Lapid) 13 [07] Religious Zionist (Smotrich) 12 [16] National Unity (Gantz) 08 [09] Shas (Deri) 07 [07] United Torah […]
This week Gantz’s party dropped 1.2 seats, this is the largest drop of any party on a week to week basis since the candidate lists were submitted. Yesh Atid also took a beating, dropping 0.6 since the last average. Yisrael Beitenu took a slight loss of 0.1. Not everything was negative for the anti-Netanyahu bloc […]
Maagar Mochot conducted a poll of 511 people with a 4.4% margin of error that was published by Yisrael Hayom on October 6 2022. Current Knesset seats in [brackets] 32 [29] Likud (Netanyahu) 24 [17] Yesh Atid (Lapid) 13 [07] Religious Zionist (Smotrich) 11 [16] National Unity (Gantz) 08 [09] Shas (Deri) 07 [07] United […]