Panels conducted a poll on July 17 2013 that was broadcast by Channel 99 on July 18 2013.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
29 [31] Likud Beitenu
17 [15] Labor
15 [19] Yesh Atid
15 [12] Bayit Yehudi
11 [06] Mertez
09 [11] Shas
07 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
04 [04] Hadash
03 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al
03 [03] Balad
03 [06] Movement
02 [02] Kadima
02 [00] Strong Israel
62 [61] Right-Religious
58 [59] Center-Left-Arab
Knesset Jeremy Analysis: The Right gains 4 seats since last months poll to gain a majority while Yesh Atid’s tailspin continues placing Lapid in a tie for third largest party with his “brother” Bennett’s Bayit Yehudi.
Jeremy's Knesset Insider 
I really hope they don’t raise the threshold. I think it’s best right where it is.
I think most people feel that the threshold should be raised from 2% to 3 seats. A 2 seat party like Kadima does not seem to contribute much.
As I understand the new law, the threshold will go from 2% to 3% in the next election and then up to 4% in the election after that. So if it is at 3% that is more than just 3 seats. That would be about 120,000 votes. So in the most recent elections, Kadima, Balad, Hadash, (obviously Otzma and AmShallem) wouldn’t get seats but Ra’am Ta’al would. I don’t know how those extra seats get distributed but that would be at least 10 seats spread among the other parties. I think a 2nd choice option on the ballot would be better that’s not going to happen.
The new law will go through changes before the final draft is passed.
There are 120 seats. 2% is 2.4 seats, 3% is 3.6 seats and 4% is 4.8 seats.
Most parties (even small ones) agree that a 2 seat party is not serious.
Even the small parties agree on raising threshold from 2.4 seats to 3 seats.
Example from last elections:
Ra’am-Ta’al 3.65% (4 seats).
Hadash 2.99% (4 seats)
Balad 2.56% (3 seats)
Kadima 2.09% (2 seats)
Strong Israel 1.76% (enough for 2 seats but didn’t pass 2% threshold)
If threshold was at 3 seats Kadima wouldn’t have passed threshold.
If threshold was at 3% Balad and Hadash also wouldn’t have passed.
The situation where both Kadima and Strong Israel had enough for 2 seats but one is disqualified because it doesn’t reach the 2.4 seat ratio is another case against Kadima and the 2 seat party.
The interesting thing is, would people vote for Bayit Yehudi instead of Strong Israel just because it probably would not pass the threshold or ?