Maagar poll of 491 people with an error rate of +/- 4.5% was conducted on 14 November 2012 for Channel 2.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets].
39 [42] Likud Beitenu (Likud and Yisrael Beitenu)
21 [08] Labor
14 [10] Shas
09 [–] Yesh Atid
08 [07] Jewish Home and National Union
06 [05] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
04 [04] Hadash
04 [01] Am Shalem
04 [05] Independence
03 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al
03 [03] Meretz
03 [03] Balad
02 [28] Kadima
71 [65] Right
49 [55] Center-Left
Jeremy's Knesset Insider 
Depending on how the rest of Operation Pillars of Defense goes, Independence might wind up being one of the big winners. A part of me will find it really funny if they earn more seats than Kadima. Right now, it looks like they are taking votes from YA – I’d rather they came from Labor, actually, because I want to see YA do well also.
Seems to be helping Shas, but those numbers don’t seem to reliable.
Now the election may be postponed, and the primaries likely will be.