Archive for December, 2012


Knesset Jeremy Weekly Average #12 (week of Dec 23-29 of 9 polls (Channel 2, Channel 1, Knesset Channel, Maariv, Yediot Achronot, Haaretz, Walla, Israel Radio, Jerusalem Post/Globes)

Current Knesset seats in [brackets], Week 11 average in (brackets):

34.8 (36.3) [42] Likud Beitenu
17.1 (19.0) [08] Labor
13.5 (11.8) [05] Bayit Yehudi (Jewish Home/National Union)
11.2 (10.8) [10] Shas
9.5 (9.0) [--] Yesh Atid
9.2 (9.1) [07] Movement (Livni)
6.1 (5.6) [05] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
4.3 (3.8) [03] Meretz
4.1 (3.8) [04] Ra’am-Ta’al
4.0 (3.8) [04] Hadash
2.6 (3.0) [03] Balad
1.4 (1.5) [02] Strong Israel
1.0 (1.6) [01] Am Shalem
0.4 (0.5) [21] Kadima
—- (0.0) [05] Independence (No longer running)

68.1 (67.5) [65] Right-Religious
51.8 (52.4) [55] Center-Left-Arab

Changes from week 11 to week 12:
Yesh Atid passes Movement for 5th place.
Meretz passes Ra’am Ta’al for 8th place
Strong Israel passes Am Shalem for 12th place

Largest Gains: Bayit Yehudi gained 1.7 seats
Biggest Losses: Labor lost 1.9 seats and Likud Beitenu lost 1.5 seats.

Maagar Mohot conducted a poll of 1,950 people with an error rate of 4.5% for Maariv that was published on 28 December.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

37 [42] Likud Beitenu (Likud and Yisrael Beitenu)
18 [08] Labor
13 [05] Bayit Yehudi (Jewish Home-National Union)
11 [10] Shas
09 [07] The Movement (Livni Party)
08 [---] Yesh Atid
06 [05] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
05 [04] Hadash
04 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al
04 [03] Meretz
02 [21] Kadima
01 [03] Balad
01 [02] Strong Israel
01 [01] Am Shalem
00 [05] Independence (not running)

69 [65] Right-Religious
51 [55] Center-Left-Arab

Dahaf conducted a poll of 1,250 people with an error rate of 0.8-3 Knesset seats for Yediot Achronot that was published on 28 December.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

33 [42] Likud Beitenu (Likud and Yisrael Beitenu)
17 [08] Labor
12 [05] Bayit Yehudi (Jewish Home-National Union)
11 [10] Shas
11 [07] The Movement (Livni Party)
11 [---] Yesh Atid
06 [05] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
04 [04] Hadash
04 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al
04 [03] Meretz
03 [03] Balad
02 [02] Strong Israel
02 [01] Am Shalem
00 [21] Kadima
00 [05] Independence (not running)

66 [65] Right-Religious
54 [55] Center-Left-Arab

Smith conducted a poll of 500 people with an error rate of 4.5% for Jerusalem Post and Globes on 25-26 December 2012 that was published on 27 December.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

34 [42] Likud Beitenu (Likud and Yisrael Beitenu)
18 [08] Labor
14 [05] Bayit Yehudi (Jewish Home-National Union)
11 [10] Shas
10 [---] Yesh Atid
10 [07] The Movement (Livni Party)
06 [05] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
04 [04] Hadash
04 [03] Balad
04 [03] Meretz
03 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al
02 [01] Am Shalem
00 [02] Strong Israel
00 [21] Kadima
00 [05] Independence (not running)

67 [65] Right-Religious
53 [55] Center-Left-Arab

The latest Knesset Channel poll of 700 people with an error rate 3.4% broadcast 27 Dec 2012

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

34 [42] Likud Beitenu (Likud and Yisrael Beitenu)
18 [08] Labor
14 [05] Bayit Yehudi (Jewish Home-National Union)
10 [10] Shas
10 [---] Yesh Atid
08 [07] The Movement (Livni Party)
06 [05] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
05 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al
04 [04] Hadash
04 [03] Meretz
03 [02] Strong Israel
02 [03] Balad
02 [01] Am Shalem
00 [21] Kadima
00 [05] Independence (not running)

69 [65] Right-Religious
51 [55] Center-Left-Arab

Midgam/Mano Geva poll conducted a poll that was broadcast by Israel Radio on 27 December 2012

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

34 [42] Likud Beitenu (Likud and Yisrael Beitenu)
16 [08] Labor
15 [05] Bayit Yehudi (Jewish Home-National Union)
13 [10] Shas
11 [07] The Movement (Livni Party)
09 [---] Yesh Atid
06 [05] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
05 [03] Meretz
04 [04] Hadash
04 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al
03 [03] Balad
00 [21] Kadima
00 [02] Strong Israel
00 [01] Am Shalem
00 [05] Independence (not running)

68 [65] Right-Religious
52 [55] Center-Left-Arab

Teleseker poll of 500 people with an error rate of +/- 2% was conducted for Walla and published on 26 December 2012

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

35 [42] Likud Beitenu (Likud and Yisrael Beitenu)
18 [08] Labor
15 [05] Bayit Yehudi (Jewish Home-National Union)
11 [07] The Movement (Livni Party)
10 [10] Shas
10 [---] Yesh Atid
06 [05] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
04 [04] Hadash
04 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al
04 [03] Meretz
03 [03] Balad
00 [21] Kadima
00 [02] Strong Israel
00 [01] Am Shalem
00 [05] Independence (not running)

66 [65] Right
54 [55] Center-Left

Geocartography poll circulated on 25 December 2012

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

36 [42] Likud Beitenu (Likud and Yisrael Beitenu)
14 [08] Labor
12.5 [05] Bayit Yehudi (Jewish Home-National Union)
12 [10] Shas
10 [---] Yesh Atid
07 [05] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [03] Meretz
4.5 [07] The Movement (Livni Party)
04 [04] Hadash
04 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al
04 [02] Strong Israel
03 [03] Balad
03 [--] Green Leaf (Aleh Yarok)
00 [21] Kadima
00 [01] Am Shalem
00 [05] Independence (not running)

71.5 [65] Right
48.5 [55] Center-Left

Dialogue Poll of 491 people with an error rate of 4.3% was conducted for Haaretz 23-24 Decemeber 2012 and published the following day.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

35 [42] Likud Beitenu (Likud and Yisrael Beitenu)
17 [08] Labor
13 [05] Bayit Yehudi (Jewish Home-National Union)
13 [10] Shas
10 [07] The Movement (Livni Party)
09 [---] Yesh Atid
06 [05] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
04 [04] Hadash
04 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al
04 [03] Meretz
03 [03] Balad
02 [21] Kadima
00 [02] Strong Israel
00 [01] Am Shalem
00 [05] Independence (not running)

67 [65] Right
53 [55] Center-Left

Who would you like to have a beer with?

Netanyahu 20%, Lapid 14%, Bennett 11%, Deri 8%, Livni 8%, Liberman 7%, Shelly 5%

Mako/Channel 2 poll of 718 people was conducted by Panels was published and expected to be broadcast on 24 December 2012. It was conducted the previous day.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

36 [42] Likud Beitenu (Likud and Yisrael Beitenu)
18 [08] Labor
13 [05] Bayit Yehudi (Jewish Home-National Union)
10 [10] Shas
09 [07] The Movement (Livni Party)
09 [---] Yesh Atid
06 [05] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
05 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al
04 [03] Meretz
03 [04] Hadash
03 [02] Strong Israel
02 [03] Balad
02 [01] Am Shalem
00 [21] Kadima
00 [05] Independence (not running)

Green Leaf, Eretz Hadasha, Pensioners, Green-Youth Party all polled at 0

70 [65] Right
50 [55] Center-Left

42% of general public believe Bennett’s side of events over Netanyahu.

45% of Likud Beitenu voters believe Netanyahu’s side of events.
41% of Likud Beitenu voters feel Netanyahu shouldn’t have attacked Bennett.
38% of Likud Beitenu voters feel that attacking Bennett was a mistake.

92% of Bayit Yehudi voters believe Bennett’s side of events.
54% of Bayit Yehudi voters feel stronger about voting for Bennett
85% of Bayit Yehudi voters feel that Netanyahu made a mistake with his version of events.

50% of the general public said that their opinion of Bennett hasn’t changed.
23% of the general public said that their opinion of Bennett has been lowered.
17% of the general public said their opinion of Bennett has increased.
10% of the general public doesn’t know or doesn’t have an opinion.

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