Archive for November, 2012


Haaretz poll of 514 people was conducted on 27 November 2012 and was published the next day. The margain of error was +/- 4.2%.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets].

39 [42] Likud Beitenu (Likud and Yisrael Beitenu)
18 [08] Labor
11 [10] Shas
08 [05] Jewish Home and National Union
08 [---] Yesh Atid
07 [---] The Movement (Livni Party)
06 [05] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
05 [03] Meretz
04 [04] Hadash
04 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al
03 [03] Balad
03 [01] Am Shalem
02 [28] Kadima
02 [02] Strong Israel
00 [05] Independence

69 [65] Right
51 [55] Center-Left

Labor Top 25 Knesset List

1) Shelly (reserved)
2) Herzog (21,837)
3) Peretz (19,047)
4) Cabel (15,991)
5) Michaeli (11,712) jumped up for woman slot
6) Ben-Eliezer (15,954)
7) Bar (reserved)
8) Bar-Lev (15,406)
9) Shafir (9,649) jumped up for woman slot
10) Braverman (14,478)
11) Margalit (14,345)
12) Shmuli (13,365)
13) Rozental (11,405)
14) Biran (8,822) jumped up for woman slot
15) Shai (11,057)
16) Mizrahi (10,767)
17) Atar (9,577)
18) Madgaleh (7,677) jumped up for non-Jew slot
19) Chilo (7,636) jumped up for woman slot
20) Absedeza (5,466) jumped up for immigrant slot
21) Yonah (9,365)
22) Ben-Simon (8,941)
23) Corenfeld (8,204)
24) Tropper (7,993)
25) Prital (3,180) jumped up

Notables:

Openhimer (7,953)
Kriv (6,037)
Shalit (3,517)
Schwartz (3,409)

Dahaf poll of 700 people conducted for Yediot Achronot newspaper on 28-29 November and published November 30 2012.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets].

37 [42] Likud Beitenu (Likud and Yisrael Beitenu)
19 [08] Labor
11 [10] Shas
10 [05] Jewish Home-Tekuma
09 [---] Yesh Atid
09 [---] The Movement (Livni Party)
05 [05] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
05 [03] Meretz
04 [04] Hadash
04 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al
03 [03] Balad
02 [02] Strong Israel
02 [01] Am Shalem
00 [28] Kadima
00 [05] Independence
00 [--] Green Movement

67 [65] Right
53 [55] Center-Left

Note: Green Movement would have enough for 1 seat but do not pass threshold

New Wave poll of 620 people conducted for Yisrael Hayom newspaper and published November 30 2012

Current Knesset seats in [brackets].

39 [42] Likud Beitenu (Likud and Yisrael Beitenu)
20 [08] Labor
11 [10] Shas
10 [05] Jewish Home-Tekuma
10 [---] Yesh Atid
07 [---] The Movement (Livni Party)
05 [05] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
04 [04] Hadash
04 [03] Meretz
03 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al
03 [03] Balad
02 [28] Kadima
02 [01] Am Shalem
00 [05] Independence
00 [02] Strong Israel

67 [65] Right
53 [55] Center-Left

Maagar Mohot conducted a poll for Channel 2 that was broadcast on November 29 2012

Current Knesset seats in [brackets].

38 [42] Likud Beitenu (Likud and Yisrael Beitenu)
18 [08] Labor
14 [10] Shas
09 [05] Jewish Home-Tekuma
09 [---] The Movement (Livni Party)
06 [05] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
05 [---] Yesh Atid
04 [04] Hadash
04 [01] Am Shalem
03 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al
03 [03] Meretz
03 [03] Balad
02 [28] Kadima
02 [02] Strong Israel
00 [05] Independence

73 [65] Right
47 [55] Center-Left

Knesset List Top 15:

Number 1: Naftali Bennett
Number 2: Uri Ariel
Number 3: Nissan S.
Number 4: Rabbi Eli Ben-Dahan
Number 5: Ayelet Shaked
Number 6: Uri Orbach
Number 7: Zeuvlun Kalfa
Number 8: Avi Vortzman
Number 9: Motti Yogev
Number 10: Orit Struck
Number 11: Yoni Shetbon
Number 12: Shuli Muaalam
Number 13: Hillel Horovitz
Number 14: Jeremy Gimpel
Number 15: Nachi Ayal

Panels poll of 498 people with a +/- 4.3% error sample was conducted for Knesset Channel that was broadcast on November 29 2012.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets].

39 [42] Likud Beitenu (Likud and Yisrael Beitenu)
18 [08] Labor
10 [10] Shas
10 [05] Jewish Home and National Union
09 [---] Yesh Atid
06 [---] The Movement (Livni Party)
05 [05] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
05 [03] Meretz
04 [04] Hadash
04 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al
04 [01] Am Shalem
03 [03] Balad
03 [02] Strong Israel
00 [28] Kadima
00 [05] Independence

71 [65] Right
49 [55] Center-Left

Smith conducted a poll of 500 people for Globes and the Jerusalem Post that was published on November 29 2012.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets].

37 [42] Likud Beitenu (Likud and Yisrael Beitenu)
20 [08] Labor
11 [10] Shas
11 [05] Jewish Home and National Union
10 [---] Yesh Atid
06 [05] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [---] The Movement (Livni Party)
05 [03] Meretz
04 [04] Hadash
04 [03] Balad
03 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al
03 [01] Am Shalem
00 [28] Kadima
00 [05] Independence
00 [02] Strong Israel
00 [---] Green Movement

68 [65] Right
52 [55] Center-Left

Note: Poll indicated that Kadima, Strong Israel and Green Movement are close to threshold.

Maagar Mochot poll broadcast on Channel 10 on November 27 2012

Current Knesset seats in [brackets].

37 [42] Likud Beitenu (Likud and Yisrael Beitenu)
20 [08] Labor
14 [10] Shas
09 [05] Jewish Home and National Union
09 [---] The Movement (Livni Party)
06 [05] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
05 [---] Yesh Atid
04 [04] Hadash
04 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al
04 [01] Am Shalem
03 [03] Meretz
03 [03] Balad
02 [28] Kadima
00 [05] Independence
00 [02] Strong Israel

70 [65] Right
50 [55] Center-Left

Scenario Poll: Livni as number 2 in Labor

Current Knesset seats in [brackets].

38 [42] Likud Beitenu (Likud and Yisrael Beitenu)
25 [08] Labor with Livni as #2
14 [10] Shas
09 [05] Jewish Home and National Union
08 [---] Yesh Atid
06 [05] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
04 [04] Hadash
04 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al
04 [01] Am Shalem
03 [03] Meretz
03 [03] Balad
02 [28] Kadima
00 [05] Independence
00 [02] Strong Israel

71 [65] Right
49 [55] Center-Left

Only 9% of Likud voters are bothered by a right wing Likud list.

Netanyahu, Sa’ar and Erdan were the top 3 in 2009 and will be Likud’s top 3 again for 2012.
Shalom jumps from 7th to 4th, Y. Katz jumps from 11th to 5th, Danon made the largest jump from 24th to 6th, Rivlin dropped from 4th to 7th, Ya’alon kept his 8th position, Elkin jumped from 20th to 9th, Hotovely jumped from 18th to 10th, Levin jumped from 21st to 11th, Edelstein kept his 12th position, H. Katz jumped up one spot from 14th to 13th, Regev jumped from 27th to 14th, Feiglin (who was not an MK) jumped from the 36th to the 15th spot, Shtinetz dropped from 9th to 16th, Hanegbi who was elected as a top 5 Kadima MK in 2009 was selected to the 17th position, Livnat dropped from 13th to 18th, Akunis jumped from 26th to 19th, Gamliel dropped a spot from 19th to 20th and Shama jumped from 25th to 21st.

Biggest losers:

Begin 36, Dichter 37, Ness 38, Aryeh Bibi 39, Pinyan 40, Meridor 41, Eitan 42, Avital 43, Shuval 44

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