Tag Archive: knesset


In the Israeli election cycle public campaign funding is important. The new Likud Beitenu faction will have about double the campaign funding compared to the next three challengers on the list (Shas, Labor and Yesh Atid) together. Likud Beitenu will also enjoy the same ratio of commercial advertisements on national television (Channel 1,2 and 10). The numbers below were reported in Yediot Ahronot on October 28, 2012.

Likud Beitenu 54.6 million shekel
Shas 14.3 million shekel
Labor 10.4 million shekel
Yesh Atid 4 million shekel

Likud 91 min
Shas 29 min
Labor 23 min
Yesh Atid 7 min

Panels Pollitics Polling conducted the first poll following the dramatic Netanyahu – Liberman unity deal and asked 305 people on Oct 25 2012. The results were presented on Channel 2 shortly after midnight.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets].

33 [42] Likud Beitenu (Likud and Yisrael Beitenu)
27 [08] Labor
18 [—] Yesh Atid
13 [07] National Union – Jewish Home
09 [11] Shas
05 [05] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
05 [03] Meretz
04 [04] Hadash
03 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al
03 [03] Balad
00 [28] Kadima
00 [05] Independence

60 [65] Right
60 [55] Center-Left

Knesset Jeremy Weekly Average #2 (week of Oct 14-20) of 4 polls (Walla, Arutz Sheva, Haaretz and Globes):

Current Knesset seats in [brackets], Week 1 average in (brackets)

28 (29) [27] Likud
19.7 (19.6) [08] Labor
13.2 (14.1) [15] Yisrael Beitenu
12.7 (13.3) [—] Yesh Atid
10.5 (10.3) [11] Shas
06 (5.3) [05] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 (5.8) [28] Kadima
04.5 (4.1) [03] Jewish Home
04 (3.8) [04] Hadash
04 (3.5) [04] Ra’am-Ta’al
04 (3.8) [03] Meretz
03.5 (3.1) [04] National Union
03 (3.1) [03] Balad
0.7 (0.6) [05] Independence

66 (66.1) [65] Right
54 (53.8) [55] Center-Left

Smith poll published by Globes on Oct 18 2012. There are two additional scenario polls listed below.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets].

27 [27] Likud
18 [08] Labor
15 [15] Yisrael Beitenu
14 [—] Yesh Atid
11 [11] Shas
06 [05] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
05 [03] Jewish Home
04 [04] National Union
04 [04] Hadash
04 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al
04 [03] Meretz 03
03 [28] Kadima
03 [03] Balad
02 [05] Independence

68 [65] Right
52 [55] Center-Left

Scenario #1: New party with Tzippi Livni at head, another party with Olmert at the head and Deri at head of Shas.

25 [27] Likud
13 [08] Labor
13 [15] Yisrael Beitenu
13 [11] Shas
06 [—] Yesh Atid
06 [05] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
05 [03] Jewish Home
04 [04] National Union
04 [04] Hadash
04 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al
03 [03] Meretz
03 [03] Balad
02 [28] Kadima
00 [05] Independence
07 [—] Olmert and Kadima breakoffs
12 [—] New Livni party

66 [65] Right
54 [55] Center-Left

Scenario 2: Olmert led party with Livni as his #2 along with Kadima breakaways. This scenario also has Shas with Deri at the helm.

25 [27] Likud
16 [08] Labor
14 [15] Yisrael Beitenu
13 [11] Shas
08 [—] Yesh Atid
06 [05] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
05 [03] Jewish Home
04 [04] National Union
04 [04] Hadash
04 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al
04 [03] Meretz
03 [03] Balad
02 [28] Kadima
00 [05] Independence
12 [—] Olmert #1, Livni #2, Kadima breakoffs

67 [65] Right
53 [55] Center-Left

For the last few years Knesset Jeremy has been your only source on the Knesset’s plenum sessions and the best source on Knesset polls. Now, as we make our transition into election mode Knesset Jeremy will be offering a weekly average of all scientific polls published or broadcast in Israel, with the exception of scenario polls. My methodology is simple, average each of the polls and give you the number. I will publish each poll as I receive it and publish the Knesset Jeremy Weekly Average every Sunday.

Knesset Jeremy Weekly Average #1 (week of Oct 7-13) of 6 polls (Maariv, Haaretz, Jerusalem Post, Makor Rishon, Panels and Yisrael Hayom):

Current Knesset seats in [brackets].

29.0 [27] Likud
19.6 [08] Labor
14.1 [15] Yisrael Beitenu
13.3 [–] Yesh Atid
10.3 [11] Shas
05.8 [28] Kadima
05.3 [05] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
04.1 [03] Jewish Home
03.8 [03] Meretz
03.8 [04] Hadash
03.5 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al
03.1 [04] National Union
03.1 [03] Balad
0.66 [05] Independence

66.1 [65] Right
53.8 [55] Center-Left