Archive for November, 2012


Maagar Poll: Likud Beitenu 39, Labor 22, Shas 15, Yesh Atid 10

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November 9, 2012

Maagar Poll carried out on 5-6 November 2012 with a representative sample of 509 Israeli voters. Statistical error is +/- 4.5%.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets].

39 [42] Likud Beitenu (Likud and Yisrael Beitenu)
22 [08] Labor
15 [10] Shas
10 [–] Yesh Atid
07 [07] Jewish Home and National Union
06 [05] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
04 [28] Kadima
04 [01] Am Shalem
03 [04] Hadash
03 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al
03 [03] Balad
02 [03] Meretz
02 [05] Independence

71 [65] Right
49 [55] Center-Left

Scenario Poll: Olmert leads Kadima, Mofaz #2

Current Knesset seats in [brackets].

40 [42] Likud Beitenu (Likud and Yisrael Beitenu)
18 [08] Labor
15 [10] Shas
12 [28] Kadima
07 [07] Jewish Home and National Union
07 [–] Yesh Atid
06 [05] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
03 [03] Balad
03 [04] Hadash
03 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al
02 [01] Am Shalem
02 [03] Meretz
02 [05] Independence

70 [65] Right
50 [55] Center-Left

Scenario Poll #2: Olmert leads Kadima, Livni #2, Mofaz #3

Current Knesset seats in [brackets].

39 [42] Likud Beitenu (Likud and Yisrael Beitenu)
20 [08] Labor
15 [10] Shas
13 [28] Kadima
08 [07] Jewish Home and National Union
06 [05] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
03 [03] Meretz
03 [03] Balad
03 [04] Hadash
03 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al
03 [–] Yesh Atid
02 [01] Am Shalem
02 [05] Independence

70 [65] Right
50 [55] Center-Left

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Panels Poll: Likud Beitenu 36, Labor 23, JH/NU 13, YA 13, Shas 10

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November 8, 2012

Panels Poll broadcast on Knesset Channel November 8 2012 following Naftali Bennett’s victory.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets].

36 [42] Likud Beitenu (Likud and Yisrael Beitenu)
23 [08] Labor
13 [–] Yesh Atid
13 [07] Jewish Home and National Union
10 [10] Shas
05 [05] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
05 [03] Meretz
04 [01] Am Shalem
04 [04] Hadash
04 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al
03 [03] Balad
00 [28] Kadima
00 [05] Independence

68 [65] Right
52 [55] Center-Left

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Knesset Jeremy Weekly Average #4: Likud Beitenu 38, Labor 22.1, Yesh Atid 14.7, Shas 11.7, NU+JH 9.1

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November 4, 2012

Knesset Jeremy Weekly Average #4 (week of Oct 29-Nov 4) of 7 polls (Teleseker, two Panels, Dahaf, Geocartography, Smith, Dahaf):

Current Knesset seats in [brackets], Week 3 average in (brackets)

38 (36.6) [42] Likud Beitenu
22.1 (24.3) [08] Labor
14.7 (13.3) [—] Yesh Atid
11.7 (12) [10] Shas
9.1 (09) [07] National Union-Jewish Home
5.8 (5.3) [05] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
4.2 (05) [03] Meretz
4.0 (04) [04] Hadash
3.7 (3.3) [04] Ra’am-Ta’al
3.1 (03) [03] Balad
1.7 (2.6) [28] Kadima
0.5 (01) [05] Independence

03 [01] Am Shalem (based on 2 of 7 polls)

1.5 in one poll for Pensioners and Green Party each

66.3 (63) [65] Right
53.6 (57) [55] Center-Left

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Yediot Poll: Likud Beitenu 35, Labor 24, Yesh Atid 15, Shas 13

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November 2, 2012

Dahaf Poll of 505 people conducted for Yediot Ahronot and published on 2 Nov 2012 with an error of +/- 3.8%.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets].

35 [42] Likud Beitenu (Likud and Yisrael Beitenu)
24 [08] Labor
15 [–] Yesh Atid
13 [10] Shas
07 [07] Jewish Home and National Union/Tekuma (5) Eldad/Ben Ari (2)
06 [05] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
04 [03] Meretz
04 [04] Hadash
04 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al
03 [03] Balad
03 [28] Kadima
02 [05] Independence
1.5 [–] Greens
1.5 [–] Pensioners

61 [65] Right
59 [55] Center-Left

Scenario Poll: With new Kahalon party

Current Knesset seats in [brackets].

30 [42] Likud Beitenu (Likud and Yisrael Beitenu)
22 [08] Labor
13 [–] New Kahalon Party
13 [10] Shas
12 [–] Yesh Atid
09 [07] Jewish Home and National Union
06 [05] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
04 [04] Hadash
04 [03] Meretz
04 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al
03 [03] Balad
00 [28] Kadima
02 [05] Independence

71 [65] Right
49 [55] Center-Left

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JPost/Globes Poll: Likud Beitenu 37, Labor 22, Yesh Atid 13, Shas 12, JH/NU 9

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Smith Poll of 500 people conducted for JPost/Globes on 29-30 October 2012 with an error of +/- 4/5%.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets].

37 [42] Likud Beitenu (Likud and Yisrael Beitenu)
22 [08] Labor
13 [–] Yesh Atid
12 [10] Shas
09 [07] Jewish Home and National Union
06 [05] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
05 [03] Meretz
04 [04] Hadash
04 [03] Balad
03 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al
03 [28] Kadima
02 [05] Independence

64 [65] Right
56 [55] Center-Left

Additional scenario poll with a new Livni Party shows that “Right Block” would gain a seat and her party would splinter the “Center-Left Block” votes.

Scenario Poll: With new Livni party

Current Knesset seats in [brackets].

36 [42] Likud Beitenu (Likud and Yisrael Beitenu)
20 [08] Labor
12 [10] Shas
10 [–] Yesh Atid
09 [07] Jewish Home and National Union
08 [–] New Livni Party with additional unknown Kadima MKs
06 [05] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
04 [04] Hadash
04 [03] Meretz
04 [03] Balad
03 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al
02 [28] Kadima led by Mofaz
02 [05] Independence

63 [65] Right
57 [55] Center-Left

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Additional Smith Poll conducted on October 30 for Reshet Bet Radio. 400 people were asked with an error of +/- 4.9%.

Fun tidbits from poll that didn’t check seats:

* 67% of 2009 Likud voters support Likud Beitenu and 73% of Yisrael Beitenu voters support Likud Beitenu.
* 45% of Israelis would vote for Romney and 29% for Obama.

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