Poll conducted by Maagar Mochot for Channel 2 and broadcast on November 22 2012.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets].
38 [42] Likud Beitenu (Likud and Yisrael Beitenu)
19 [08] Labor
13 [10] Shas
09 [05] Jewish Home and National Union
09 [–] New Livni Party
06 [05] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
04 [04] Hadash
04 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al
04 [03] Balad
04 [01] Am Shalem
04 [–] Yesh Atid
03 [05] Independence
03 [03] Meretz
00 [02] Strong Israel
00 [28] Kadima
70 [65] Right
50 [55] Center-Left


I’m a little surprised that the Livni Party would apparently take so much from Yesh Atid, but this is only one poll and the party itself hasn’t even been formed yet. Not surprised it puts the final nail in the coffin of Kadima. I really wonder what Kadima might have become were it not for the untimely collapse of Ariel Sharon.
I predict the members of Strong Israel will re-join the NU/JH party before the final bell – they are just being foolish and prideful right now. Amazing to me that the two major right wing secular parties could get together but the center left is split five ways (Labor/Livni/YA/Independence/Kadima). I don’t see any way Netanyahu looses under such a circumstance.