Jeremy's Knesset Insider

Panels conducted a poll that was broadcast by Knesset Channel 99 on Jan 23 2014.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

34 [31] Likud Beitenu

17 [15] Labor

14 [19] Yesh Atid

12 [12] Bayit Yehudi

10 [06] Meretz

08 [11] Shas

06 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

06 [06] Movement

04 [04] Hadash

04 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al

03 [03] Balad

02 [02] Kadima

60 [61] Right-Religious

60 [59] Center-Left-Arab

Knesset Jeremy Analysis: This poll is obviously very different than the polls from the last few days. Key is to note the 60-60 tie between the blocks.

Panels conducted a poll that was broadcast by Knesset Channel 99 on Jan 16 2014.

Additionally, Panels conducted a scenario poll with a Kachalon Party.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

34 [31] Likud Beitenu

19 [15] Labor

15 [19] Yesh Atid

12 [12] Bayit Yehudi

09 [11] Shas

08 [06] Meretz

07 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

05 [06] Movement

04 [04] Hadash

04 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al

03 [03] Balad

00 [02] Kadima

62 [61] Right-Religious

58 [59] Center-Left-Arab

Knesset Jeremy Analysis: Center-Left bloc gains 2 seats and reduces the gap from 8 seats to 4 seats. Likud Beitenu remains stable. Labor and Yesh Atid get a bump and Meretz’s slump continues. Bayit Yehudi drops 2 seats from last week.

Scenario Poll: With Kachalon Party

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

31 [31] Likud Beitenu

15 [15] Labor

13 [19] Yesh Atid

12 [12] Bayit Yehudi

12 [–] Kachalon Party

08 [11] Shas

07 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

06 [06] Meretz

05 [06] Movement

04 [04] Hadash

04 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al

03 [03] Balad

00 [02] Kadima

70 [61] Right-Religious-Kachalon

50 [59] Center-Left-Arab

Knesset Jeremy Analysis: If you place Kachalon in the right block you are looking at 70 seats. The 8 seats (of 12) Kachalon takes are: 4 from Labor, 2 from Yesh Atid, 2 from Meretz. The 4 seats from the right are 3 from Likud Beitenu and 1 from Shas.

Additional Questions:

Do you believe Prime Minister Netanyahu when he says that the government that he heads is trying to reach peace with the Palestinians?

48% No, 32% Yes. (The left doesn’t believe Netanyahu, the right does)

Do you think Secretary Kerry is operating in the right direction in regards to the diplomatic negotiations?

53% Wrong direction, 27% Right direction.

How should Prime Minister Netanyahu act towards Defense Minister Yaalon following Yaalon’s remarks on Kerry?

34% Don’t do anything, 27% distance himself from the words publicly, 18% to deal with him privately, 11% fire him.

Do you think the Israelis and Palestinians are close to signing an interim-agreement?

53% Far from agreement 27% No chance for agreement 11% Close to agreement.

Who has the most blame as to why there is no significant breakthrough in the diplomatic negotiations?

63% Palestinians 15% Israelis

Panels conducted a poll that was broadcast by Knesset Channel 99 on Jan 9 2014.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

34 [31] Likud Beitenu

17 [15] Labor

14 [12] Bayit Yehudi

13 [19] Yesh Atid

10 [06] Meretz

09 [11] Shas

07 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

05 [06] Movement

04 [04] Hadash

04 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al

03 [03] Balad

00 [02] Kadima

64 [61] Right-Religious

56 [59] Center-Left-Arab

Knesset Jeremy Analysis: Likud Beitenu remains stable, as does Labor. Bayit Yehudi and Yesh Atid continue to battle over third and fourth place. Meretz has been dropping recently, losing supporters who are returning to Yesh Aid.

Additional Questions:

Is the Untied States a fair mediator towards Israel in the negotiations between Israel and the Palestinians?

Not fair 53%, Fair 34%

Based on what you know, should Israel accept the American offer for an agreement between Israel and the Palestinians?

Don’t accept 48%, Don’t know 30%, Accept 22%

Do you support the African asylum seekers protest?

Do not support 74%, Support 18%

What policy should Israel take in dealing with African citizens living in Israel illegally?

Whoever is recognized as a refugee can stay, others need to go 55% Send all of them out of Israel 39% Keep them in Israel 5%

Should Israel define “price tag” actions as terrorist attacks with all of the consequences that it mean?

Yes 55%, No 38% (Within Jewish population Yes 49%, No 42%)

Midgam conducted a poll of 500 people that was broadcast by Channel 2 on Jan 5 2014.
Additionally, a scenario poll was taken showing a new Moshe Kachalon led party.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

33 [31] Likud Beitenu

16 [15] Labor

14 [19] Yesh Atid

11 [12] Bayit Yehudi

10 [11] Shas

07 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

07 [06] Meretz

07 [06] Movement

04 [04] Hadash

04 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al

03 [03] Balad

02 [02] Kadima

02 [–] Strong Israel

63 [61] Right-Religious

57 [59] Center-Left-Arab

Knesset Jeremy Analysis: The poll found that a party led by Moshe Kachlon would win 10 seats and twice as many Shas voters prefer Yishai over Deri as party leader. Likud Beitenu remains in lead, Labor still a distant second place.

Other questions:

Are you satisfied with current government? No 65%, Yes 27%
Who is most fit to serve as Prime Minister? Netanyahu 30%, Herzog 11%, Livni 7%, Bennett 6%, Liberman 6%, Lapid 5%
Among Shas voters, who should lead Shas? Yishai 50%, Deri 25%

Scenario Poll Results: Results were only shown of top six parties, it is unclear how it effects block situation.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

30 [31] Likud Beitenu

16 [15] Labor

12 [19] Yesh Atid

10 [12] Bayit Yehudi

10 [–] New Kachalon Party

09 [11] Shas