Jeremy's Knesset Insider

Telephone poll of a representative sample of 506 adult Israelis carried out by Maagar Mohot Survey Institute (headed by Professor Yitzchak Katz) the week of August 1, 2011, for Makor Rishon and published on August 5, 2011.

An interesting scenario poll that asked potential voters which party they would vote for if the leaders of the tent movement formed a party compared to a poll without the tent movement party paints a clear picture of which voters are supporting the housing protest. According to the poll the Tent Party would receive 16 of its 20 seats from the left wing parties, four seats from Likud and none from the other nationalistic parties. The poll presents the Tent Party as the second biggest party in Israel behind Likud and shows Israeli liberals’ frustration with their current parties and leaders. The right maintains a majority whether the fictional party is created or not (63 vs 67).

Telephone poll of 500 adult Israelis carried out by Smith Institute for Globes and The Jerusalem Post on 1 August, 2011 and published 3 August, 2011.

If elections held today (expressed in Knesset seats) Current Knesset seats in [brackets].

25 19 [28] Kadima
26 22 [27] Likud
15 15 [15] Yisrael Beitenu
12 12 [11] Shas
11 07 [08] Labor
06 06 [05] Yahadut Hatorah/ UTJ
05 05 [04] National Union
04 00 [03] Meretz
03 03 [03] Jewish Home/NRP
11 11 [11] Arab parties
02 00 [00] Green party
00 00 [05] Independence (Ehud Barak)
— 20 [—] Social Economic Party led by the current leaders of the housing protests

Will the next election be advanced from its current date of October 22, 2013, due to the protests and the expected United Nations General Assembly vote on a Palestinian state next month?: No 50% Yes 29% No opinion 21%

Poll carried out Monday 25 July 2011 by Dialogue of a representative sample of 493 adults Israelis for the Ha’aretz newspaper. Margin of error was not disclosed.

If elections held today (expressed in Knesset seats) Current Knesset seats in [brackets].
27 [27] Likud
27 [28] Kadima
12 [13] Labor
13 [11] Shas

Other parties’ results were not listed.

Do you support the tent protest?: Yes 87% No 9% Don’t know 4%

Do you support the doctors in their struggle to improve their conditions?: Yes 85% No 9% Don’t know 6%

29 [27] Likud
27 [28] Kadima
16 [15] Yisrael Beitenu
10 [11] Shas
09 [08] Labor
06 [05] UTJ
05 [04] National Union
04 [03] Meretz
03 [03] Jewish Home/NRP
11 [11] Arab parties
00 [05] Independence

According to the poll, Labors MK count would be different based on who is elected chairman. Mitzna14, Herzog 13, Yacimovich 12, Peretz and other two candidates 9

The latest Yisrael Hayom poll shows that Israelis haven’t changed their minds too much since their last poll and paints a picture not too different from the current Knesset. Only three parties would have a change of more than one seat from their current allotment: Shas, who would lose two seats; Likud, who would gain five; and Independence, who would lose all of their five seats. Kadima’s four-seat gap from Likud in last month’s poll decreases slightly to three seats. An interesting statistic is that 37% of those surveyed were undecided.

Telephone poll carried out by New Wave for Yisrael Hayom on June 28, 2011, with a
representative sample of 624 adult Israelis, including Israeli Arabs, and
published July 1, 2011. Results of the previous New Wave poll from May 27, 2011, are
shown in the middle column.

If elections held today (expressed in Knesset seats), current Knesset seats in [brackets].

32 32 [27] Likud
29 28 [28] Kadima
14 16 [15] Yisrael Beitenu
09 09 [08] Labor
09 09 [11] Shas
05 05 [05] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
04 04 [04] National Union
04 03 [03] Meretz
03 03 [03] Jewish Home/NRP
11 11 [11] Arab parties
—   — [05] Independence