A Jerusalem Post poll published on September 30th took a look at the Knesset if only Jews voted in the next election. Jews compose about 75% of Israel’s population.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
32 [27] Likud
26 [08] Labor
18 [28] Kadima
10 [15] Yisrael Beitenu
09 [11] Shas
06 [03] Meretz
05 [03] Jewish Home/NRP
04 [04] National Union
04 [05] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
04 [–] Social Justice/Tent Party
01 [–] Green Party
01 [–] Youth Party
00 [05] Independence
A Channel 10 poll was conducted by Maagar with a telephone poll on 26September 2011 with a maximum sampling error of 4.5%.
If elections held today (expressed in Knesset seats)
Current Knesset seats in [brackets], left column indicates seats if Mofaz led Kadima, middle column indicates seats if Livniled Kadima.
28 27 [27] Likud
21 19 [08] Labor
17 17 [15] Yisrael Beitenu
— 17 [28] Kadima headed by Livni
13 — [28] Kadima headed by Mofaz
09 09 [11] Shas
06 06 [05] Yahadut Hatorah/U.T.J.
05 04 [03] Meretz
04 04 [04] National Union
03 03 [03] Jewish Home/NRP
02 02.[—] Yair Lapid Party
1.5 1.5[05]Ehud Barak Independence Party
1.5 1.5[–] Party lead by Aryeh Deri
09 09 [11] Arab parties
The poll was carried out Monday 25 September 2011 by Dialogue for Haaretz of a representativesample of 495 Israelis with a statistical error of +/-4.5 percentage points. The poll was published in Haaretz the following day.
If elections held today (expressed in Knesset seats)
Current Knesset seats in [brackets].
26 [27] Likud
22 [08] Labor
18 [15] Yisrael Beitenu
18 [28] Kadima
09 [11] Shas
07 [07] Jewish Home and National Union
06 [05] Yahadut Hatorah
05 [03] Meretz
09 [11] Arab parties
00 [05] Independence
A Knesset Channel 99 poll carried out Wednesday September 21 2011 by Panels Polling Company after the Labor Party primaries.
If elections held today (expressed in Knesset seats)
Current Knesset seats in [brackets].
A poll carried out by Dialogue the day after the Labor chairmanship vote (Monday 13 September 2011) and published the following day shows that Israel’s two largest parties (Kadima and Likud) are losing strength. If MK Yacimovich leads Labor in the next elections Likud would win with 25 seats and a 64-seat right wing coalition; Kadima and Labor would have 22 seats each. If MK Peretz leads Labor in the next elections, Likud would win with 24 seats and own a 65-seat right wing coalition, with Kadima edging out Labor 24 to 18. It would appear that Likud and Shas are losing 3-4 seats to the other right leaning parties, while Kadima is losing seats to Labor and Meretz on the left. The poll has a representative sample of 482 likely voting Israeli adults, and the statistical error is about 4.5 percentage points.
If elections held today (expressed in Knesset seats)
Current Knesset seats in [brackets].
22 24 [28] Kadima
25 24 [27] Likud
22 — [08] Labor headed by Shelly Yacimovich
— 18 [08] Labor headed by Amir Peretz
15 16 [15] Yisrael Beitenu
09 10 [11] Shas
09 09 [07] Merger of Jewish Home and National Union
06 06 [05] Yahadut Hatorah/U.T.J.
04 05 [03] Meretz
00 00 [05] Ehud Barak Independence Party
08 08 [11] Hadash, Ra’am-Ta’al and Balad combined.
