Panels conducted a poll that was broadcast by Knesset Channel 99 on Aug 5 2013
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
30 [31] Likud Beitenu
17 [15] Labor
17 [12] Bayit Yehudi
13 [19] Yesh Atid
10 [11] Shas
10 [06] Mertez
06 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
04 [06] Movement
04 [04] Hadash
04 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al
03 [03] Balad
02 [02] Kadima
63 [61] Right-Religious
57 [59] Center-Left-Arab
Knesset Jeremy Analysis:
Right-Religious block gains three seats in under a week as Lapid loses more support. Both Meretz and Shas are now within 3 seats of Yesh Atid. Labor and Bayit Yehudi tie for second largest party.
Questions on Lapid:
Do you trust Yair Lapid as Finance Minister?
78% Not Trust 20% Trust
What grade do you give Yair Lapid on choosing the next Bank of Israel Governor?
53% Terrible 33% Mediocre 8% Good 1% Very Good
Is Yair Lapid worthy to be a Prime Minister candidate?
82% Not Worthy 12% Worthy 6% Don’t Know
Was Minister Yuval Stinetz correct when he said Lapid is arrogant and thinks he deserves everything?
62% Correct 28% Not Correct 10% Don’t Know
Question to Yesh Atid voters #1: To what extant do you feel Yair Lapid fulfills his promises to voters?
54% Doesn’t Fulfill 46% Fullfill
Question to Yesh Atid voters #2: If elections were today would you vote Yesh Atid?
43% No 41% Yes 16% Don’t Know
UPDATE: Panels responded to my request. The margin of error for this poll was 4.3%.
Jeremy's Knesset Insider 
Given the answer to that last question, the poll’s figure for Yesh Atid’s seats may be overstated. It seems more like he’s probably going to get 8-11 seats in the next election.
Easy answer is some people who didn’t vote for Yesh Atid seem to have answered they would vote for Yesh Atid this time.
I wonder what the seat breakdown would be assuming that the new 4% threshold is in place. It looks like up to 5 left/Arab parties could be eliminated and those 17 seats redistributed among the 7 remaining parties. I’m not really sure how the redistribution would work. Raising the threshold looks like a potentially big boon for the right. Then again, it’s not hard to imagine Kadima and Movement combining with each other, as well as Hadash and Balad combining with each other if their survival depends on it. Ra’am Taal which is blatantly Islamist (and disliked by secular Hadash and Balad) may be odd man out.
When they change the threshold there will be parties who merge and polls will be updated to meet the new stats.
Your Insider occasional email is interesting. What possibly is even more interesting is how many voting roll call each member misses. Somebody is keeping a *public *record… I think it is the Secretary of the Knesset … I think her name is Yardena but any Knesset Member should be able to get a copy. What is new on the Knesset site is the page that tells you which Knesset Members are at the Knesset
In the US missing a roll call vote is a huge sin and can cost you reelection. In Israel the absolute opposite is true and now with Facebook and other social media they no longer have to spend what used to be at least 300,000 Nis for reelection and up to a million shekels if you stood for the first time as an “unknown”.
Knesset Members are averaging about 42,000 Nis plus huge benefits such as clothing, learning to speak another language…. a long list. At least 5 are more full time students than Knesset Members.
http://www.haaretz.co.il/news/politi/.premium-1.2090238
This tells me Lapid is playing a long game. He’s hoping that he’ll get a boost from being FinMin the way Netanyahu did. Bibi’s reforms were initially unpopular as well, but in the long run he won more people over than not. I don’t know if this will happen for Lapid or not, but I give him props for trying to do the right things even if they are not popular in the moment.
And I still hate, hate, hate the idea of raising the threshold.
Bennett seems to be doing a very good job as Bayit Yehudi:s numbers are all the time going up.