The telephone poll was carried out on 4-5 March 2012 for Haaretz by Dialogue of a representative sample of 497 Israelis, with a statistical error of +/- 4.5 percentage points. Partial results were published in Haaretz on 8 March 2012 and the rest were published the next day. The big winner is the national camp which scores between 71 to 74 seats. The big loser is Livni who has a poor showing a few weeks before her primary. I will have an analysis piece on the Jewish Press and will put up the link here when they put it up.

Poll #1

If elections were held today who would you vote for?

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

35 [27] Likud
15 [15] Yisrael Beitenu
14 [08] Labor
12 [28] Kadima led by Mofaz
09 [11] Shas
08 [—] Yair Lapid Party
07 [05] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
05 [07] National Union and Jewish Home
05 [03] Meretz
05 [04] Hadash
05 [07] Ra’am-Ta’al and Balad
00 [05] Independence

Poll #2

37 [27] Likud
16 [15] Yisrael Beitenu
14 [08] Labor
10 [28] Kadima led by Livni
09 [11] Shas
07 [—] Yair Lapid Party
07 [05] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
05 [07] National Union and Jewish Home
05 [03] Meretz
05 [04] Hadash
05 [07] Ra’am-Ta’al and Balad
00 [05] Independence

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