This week two polls carried out on the same day by different companies projected very different results. In the Magar Mohot (MM) poll the Likud displayed a seven seat lead over Kadima. The Haaretz Dialog (HD) Poll puts the gap between the two biggest parties at only one seat. Liberman’s Yisrael Beiteinu would jump to 21 seats in the MM poll, while the HD poll has Liberman’s party losing strength and grabbing just 13 seats. As usual the Haaretz poll gave Meretz more seats than any competing poll with 5, compared to just 2 in the MM poll.

32 (33) [27] Likud
31 (26 )[28] Kadima
13 (21 )[15] Yisrael Beiteinu
08 (09 )[13] Labor
10 (09 )[11] Shas
06 (05) [05] Yahadut Hatorah
06 (05) [07] Jewish Home/NRP combined with result for Nat’l Union but
running separately
05 (02) [03] Meretz
09 (10) [11] Arab parties

If elections held today (expressed in Knesset seats) based on the 69% that named a party. Current Knesset seats in [brackets] (For comparison – Telephone poll of a representative sample of 562 adult Israelis (including Israeli Arabs) carried out by Maagar Mohot Survey Institute (headed by Professor Yitzchak Katz for Israel Radio’s Hakol Diburim (It’s All Talk) program on 5-6 October and broadcast on 7 October in “( )”.)

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Are you satisfied with the performance of:
PM Netanyahu: Yes 40% No 47%
DM Barak: Yes 27% No 62%
FM Liberman: Yes 34% No 54%

Who can best manage the negotiations with the Palestinians?

Netanyahu 37% Livni 25% Liberman 9% Barak 8%

Who can best take care of Israel’s security interests?

Netanyahu 32% Livni 16% Liberman 16% Barak 14%

Should Netanyahu accept the US proposal to extend the freeze in exchange for security and diplomatic benefits? Yes 50% No 42%

How have the things that former PM Olmert wrote impacted how you feel about DM Barak?
No change 50% Worsened 23% Improved 6%

Did the Liberman address at the UN strengthen or weaken your support for him?

Strengthened 33% Weakened 45%

Did his remarks strengthen or weaken Israel standing in the world?

Strengthened 19% Weakened 63%

Should Netanyahu fire him in the wake of the address? Yes 33% No 57%

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Haaretz-Dialog survey of 514 Israelis (including Israeli Arabs) 6 October as published in Haaretz on 8 October 2010. Survey error +/- 4.3 percentage points.

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