Panels conducted a poll on July 25 2013 that was broadcast by Knesset Channel 99.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
22 [31] Likud Beitenu
19 [12] Bayit Yehudi
16 [19] Yesh Atid
15 [15] Labor
12 [06] Mertez
04 [11] Shas
04 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
03 [06] Movement
00 [02] Kadima (under threshold)
25 [11] Other parties
49 [61] Right-Religious
46 [59] Center-Left-Arab
25 [11] Other parties
Knesset Jeremy Analysis: I’m waiting for a clear division of the other 25 seats. It would be assumed at least 10 seats go to Hadash, Ra’am-Ta’al and Balad.
I will update when I get the rest of the results.
First release of poll – link: http://www.israelnationalnews.com/News/News.aspx/170273#.UfFphr7fpdh
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There must be something wrong with how this poll was conducted. Why would Shas suddenly drop to 4 seats and UTJ down to 4? Shas and UTJ level of support is fairly inelastic due to their let’s say less than diverse demographics. Heck, a Shas leader could be sent to jail for bribery and corruption and then be forcibly reappointed as party head and it probably wouldn’t change the number of seats Shas received… oh wait, that’s already happened with Deri. Shas peaked with 17 seats in 1999 but 10-12 seats is their range and UTJ falls in the 5-7 range. You can almost pencil those numbers in automatically. If you do that then the right/religious have 58-60 seats which is consistent with the other recent polls.
That is what margin of error is for.
We need a new poll pronto. The release of over 100 murderous savages in order to jump start piece talks in unprecedented in the history of the world. I think we would all like to know what Israelis are thinking.
I was polled yesterday so I would think the results of at least one poll should be made public as we approach the weekend.