The three telephone polls were conducted by Ma’agar for Channel 10 Television on July 10 2012. The sampling size was 511 Israelis and the margin of error was 4.5%. In all three polls the nationalistic camp retains their 65 seats and there is no clear alternative to Prime Minister Netanyahu.
If elections were held today who would you vote for?
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
29 [27] Likud
17 [08] Labor
15 [15] Yisrael Beitenu
10 [—] Yesh Atid
10 [28] Kadima
09 [11] Shas
06 [05] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
04 [03] Meretz
03 [04] National Union
03 [03] Jewish Home
02 [05] Independence
10 [11] Hadash, Ra’am-Ta’al and Balad
Scenario Poll: Olmert joins Lapid in Yesh Atid
29 [27] Likud
17 [08] Labor
15 [15] Yisrael Beitenu
13 [—] Yesh Atid (Lapid and Olmert)
09 [11] Shas
07 [28] Kadima
06 [05] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
04 [03] Meretz
03 [04] National Union
03 [03] Jewish Home
02 [05] Independence
10 [11] Hadash, Ra’am-Ta’al and Balad
Result: Yesh Atid takes away 3 seats from Kadima.
Scenario Poll: Livni joins Lapid in Yesh Atid
29 [27] Likud
16 [08] Labor
15 [15] Yisrael Beitenu
15 [—] Yesh Atid (Lapid and Livni)
09 [11] Shas
06 [28] Kadima
06 [05] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
04 [03] Meretz
03 [04] National Union
03 [03] Jewish Home
02 [05] Independence
10 [11] Hadash, Ra’am-Ta’al and Balad
Result: Yesh Atid takes away 4 seats from Kadima and 1 seat from Labor.
Jeremy's Knesset Insider 
This is the first “stable” poll I have seen in a while. The smaller parties are not affected here by the big ones. Interesting that Livni still is worth the same two extra seats she was worth to Kadima.
Still wish someone would create a poll with a decent sample size.
WordPress is fixed; they do not delete your comment when they make you log in their way.
I am beginning to think that the Independence Party might actually make it into the next Knesset. This is a few times they’ve shown up in the polls as making it, now.
http://www.jpost.com/DiplomacyAndPolitics/Article.aspx?id=277363&R=R9