The poll that was carried out a week and a half ago show different numbers than the Walla poll taken after the fire up north. It would appear that after the fire the Likud gained two seats under Netanyahu, Kadima dropped three seats for staying under the radar, and Yisrael Beiteinu gained three seats in the aftermath of Homeland Security Minister Aharonovitch’s operation which put the fire out. Shas dropped two seats due to Interior Minister Yishai being blamed for the fire and United Torah Judaism also dropped two seats under Funds Committee Chairman MK Gafni. The party that lost the most ground between the two polls is Meretz, who dropped four seats.

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Knesset seat breakdown according to a Smith Consulting poll carried out for The Jerusalem Post:

Current Knesset seats in [brackets].

30 [27] Likud
29 [28] Kadima
15 [15] Yisrael Beiteinu
06 [13] Labor
11 [11] Shas
07 [05] Yahadut Hatorah
03 [03] Jewish Home/NRP
06 [03] Meretz
03 [04] National Union
10 [11] Arab parties

The poll of a representative sample of 500 adult Israelis was carried out November 30-December 1 and has a margin of error of 4.5 percentage points.

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