Keevoon Global Research conducted a poll of 1,140 people on Oct 31-Nov 2 with a 3% margin of error for the iVoteIsrael NGO that was published on Nov 3 2016.
Estimates put the final number of Israeli voters who participated in US election at about 30,000.
Which candidate did you vote for President?
49% Trump, 44% Clinton, 5% Other/abstain, 2% Johnson, 0% Stein
Vote by age: Clinton leads with 18-24, 25-34 and 35-44 brackets. Trump leads with 45-54, 55-64 and 65+ brackets. Clinton best is 25-34 and Trump best is 65+.
Vote by gender:
Males: 59% Trump, 33% Clinton, 8% Other
Females: 52% Clinton, 42% Trump, 6% Other
Vote by religiosity:
Secular: 75% Clinton, 22% Trump, 3% Other
Traditional: 54% Clinton, 40% Trump, 6% Other
Religious: 63% Trump, 27% Clinton, 10% Other
Ultra-orthodox: 85% Trump, 11% Clinton, 4% Other
What is your party affiliation?
33% Democrat, 27% Republican, 22% Don’t remember, 18% Independent or no party
Dem registered voters: 72% Clinton, 25% Trump, 3% Other
GOP registered voters: 83% Trump, 10% Clinton, 7% Other
Independents/not registered with party: 45% Trump, Clinton 44%
Top 10 States Breakdown:
35% New York: Trump 52%, Clinton 39%, Other 9%
10% New Jersey: Trump 62%, Clinton 28%, Other 10%
8% California: Trump 52%, Clinton 41%, Other 7%
6% Maryland: Trump 58%, Clinton 38%, Other 4%
6% Pennsylvania: Clinton 55%, Trump 43%, Other 2%
5% Illinois: Clinton 62%, Trump 29%, Other 9%
5% Florida: Trump 61%, Clinton 39%, Other 0%
4% Ohio: 44% Trump, 44% Clinton, 12% Other
4% Massachusetts: Clinton 63%, Trump 26%, 11% Other
4% Michigan: Clinton 53%, Trump 47%, Other 0%
What is the most important issues that influenced your vote for President?
43% Foreign Policy including Israel, 31% Other, 10% Influence on the Supreme Court, 7% Jobs/Economy, 6% Terrorism/National Security, 2% Healthcare, 1% Illegal Immigration
Foreign Policy voters: 64% Trump, 17% Clinton. Other: Clinton voters 54%.
What was the main quality or reason you considered in your choice for President?
49% Danger of electing other candidate, 11% Experience in government, 10% Leadership, 9% Character, 8% Vision, 6% Experience in business/Political outsider, 6% Other, 0% Endorsements/Campaign advisers
Trump voters: 60% Danger of electing other candidate, 12% Experience in business/Political outsider, 9% Leadership, 9% Vision, 6% Other, 3% Character, 0% Experience in government, 0% Endorsements/Campaign advisers
Clinton voters: 39% Danger of electing other candidate, 25% Experience in government, 14% Character, 11% Leadership, 7% Vision, 3% Other, 1% Experience in business/Political outsider, 0% Endorsements/Campaign advisers
Regardless of who you voted for, do you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of:
Pence: 43% Favorable, 27% Unfavorable, 30% Don’t know (+16)
Clinton: 34% Favorable, 64% Unfavorable, 2% Don’t know (-30)
Trump: 32% Favorable, 65% Unfavorable, 3% Don’t know (-33)
Kaine: 23% Favorable, 36% Unfavorable, 41% Don’t know (-13)
Immigration to the United States was a major campaign issue during this election. Which comes closer to your view? Immigrants today…
40% Strengthen the US through hard work and talents, 29% Represent a threat to US national security, 19% Don’t know, 12% Are a burden to the US by taking jobs, housing and healthcare
When it comes to U.S. foreign policy, what do you think is the most important issue that the new President should focus on?
54% Fighting global terror, 18% Iranian nuclear threat, 9% Other, 8% Military involvement in Ukraine and Syria, 6% Protect the US against cyber-attacks, 3% Palestinian peace process, 2% North Korea nuclear threat
Few Additional findings:
Note #1: 72% of Clinton voters voted the same party as President for Senate/Congress compared to 59% for Trump voters. 1% Only voted for Senate/Congress and not President. 5% don’t remember what they did.
Note #2: The worst on the Favorable/Unfavorable is the outgoing President. A majority found President Barack Obama unfavorable including 51% who found him very unfavorable.
Note #3: A majority opposes the P5+1 Iran Nuclear Deal Framework Agreement including 64% who oppose it strongly. Just 8% don’t know or have a position on the issue.
Note #4: Israelis think that funding for the iron dome missile defense program is more important than preventing Iran from obtaining Nuclear weapons.
Question to 197 respondents who registered but did not vote: What was the main reason you did not vote in this election?
50% Did not get my ballot on time, 21% Didn’t like either presidential candidate, 17% Other, 8% Voting wasn’t worthwhile in my state, 4% Both candidates were equally good/bad
Exit Polls in 2008 and 2012:
2008: 76% McCain, 24% Obama
2012: 85% Romney, 14% Obama
Demographic breakdown:
Gender: 50% Male, 50% Female
Age: 28% 61+, 25% 55-64, 17% 25-34, 14% 45-54, 12% 35-44, 4% 18-24
Are you a: 90% Israeli citizen, 7% Permanent resident, 2% Tourist, 2% Student
How long have you been in Israel: 58% 15+ years, 19% 8-14 years, 15% 4-7 years, 6% 1-3 years, 2% Less than a year
How do you define yourself: 50% Orthodox, 18% Secular, 16% Traditional, 8% Ultra-orthodox, 6% Prefer not to answer, 2% Not jewish
Where do you live: 52% Jerusalem/Mevasseret/Gush Etzion/Beitar/Bet Shemesh/Maale Adumim, 30% Tel Aviv/Modiin/Raanana/Hertzliya/Ariel/Rechovot/Petach Tikva/Netanya, 8% Other, 8% Haifa/Tiberius/North, 2% Beer Sheva/Eilat/South
Jeremy's Knesset Insider 