A Jerusalem Post poll published on September 30th took a look at the Knesset if only Jews voted in the next election. Jews compose about 75% of Israel’s population.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
32 [27] Likud
26 [08] Labor
18 [28] Kadima
10 [15] Yisrael Beitenu
09 [11] Shas
06 [03] Meretz
05 [03] Jewish Home/NRP
04 [04] National Union
04 [05] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
04 [–] Social Justice/Tent Party
01 [–] Green Party
01 [–] Youth Party
00 [05] Independence
A Channel 10 poll was conducted by Maagar with a telephone poll on 26September 2011 with a maximum sampling error of 4.5%.
If elections held today (expressed in Knesset seats)
Current Knesset seats in [brackets], left column indicates seats if Mofaz led Kadima, middle column indicates seats if Livniled Kadima.
28 27 [27] Likud
21 19 [08] Labor
17 17 [15] Yisrael Beitenu
— 17 [28] Kadima headed by Livni
13 — [28] Kadima headed by Mofaz
09 09 [11] Shas
06 06 [05] Yahadut Hatorah/U.T.J.
05 04 [03] Meretz
04 04 [04] National Union
03 03 [03] Jewish Home/NRP
02 02.[—] Yair Lapid Party
1.5 1.5[05]Ehud Barak Independence Party
1.5 1.5[–] Party lead by Aryeh Deri
09 09 [11] Arab parties
The poll was carried out Monday 25 September 2011 by Dialogue for Haaretz of a representativesample of 495 Israelis with a statistical error of +/-4.5 percentage points. The poll was published in Haaretz the following day.
If elections held today (expressed in Knesset seats)
Current Knesset seats in [brackets].
26 [27] Likud
22 [08] Labor
18 [15] Yisrael Beitenu
18 [28] Kadima
09 [11] Shas
07 [07] Jewish Home and National Union
06 [05] Yahadut Hatorah
05 [03] Meretz
09 [11] Arab parties
00 [05] Independence
Jeremy's Knesset Insider 