Jeremy's Knesset Insider

The poll was carried out Monday 25 September 2011 by Dialogue for Haaretz of a representativesample of 495 Israelis with a statistical error of +/-4.5 percentage points. The poll was published in Haaretz the following day.

If elections held today (expressed in Knesset seats)

Current Knesset seats in [brackets].

26 [27] Likud
22 [08] Labor
18 [15] Yisrael Beitenu
18 [28] Kadima
09 [11] Shas
07 [07] Jewish Home and National Union
06 [05] Yahadut Hatorah
05 [03] Meretz
09 [11] Arab parties
00 [05] Independence

A Knesset Channel 99 poll carried out Wednesday September 21 2011 by Panels Polling Company after the Labor Party primaries.

If elections held today (expressed in Knesset seats)

Current Knesset seats in [brackets].

A poll carried out by Dialogue the day after the Labor chairmanship vote (Monday 13 September 2011) and published the following day shows that Israel’s two largest parties (Kadima and Likud) are losing strength. If MK Yacimovich leads Labor in the next elections Likud would win with 25 seats and a 64-seat right wing coalition; Kadima and Labor would have 22 seats each. If MK Peretz leads Labor in the next elections, Likud would win with 24 seats and own a 65-seat right wing coalition, with Kadima edging out Labor 24 to 18. It would appear that Likud and Shas are losing 3-4 seats to the other right leaning parties, while Kadima is losing seats to Labor and Meretz on the left. The poll has a representative sample of 482 likely voting Israeli adults, and the statistical error is about 4.5 percentage points.

If elections held today (expressed in Knesset seats)

Current Knesset seats in [brackets].
22 24 [28] Kadima
25 24 [27] Likud
22 — [08] Labor headed by Shelly Yacimovich
— 18 [08] Labor headed by Amir Peretz
15 16 [15] Yisrael Beitenu
09 10 [11] Shas
09 09 [07] Merger of Jewish Home and National Union
06 06 [05] Yahadut Hatorah/U.T.J.
04 05 [03] Meretz
00 00 [05] Ehud Barak Independence Party
08 08 [11] Hadash, Ra’am-Ta’al and Balad combined.

The latest poll taken before the social justice weekend rallies show the Likud standing still with the 27 seats it has now and the other conservative parties taking four seats combined from the center and left. According to the poll Kadima drops ten seats, and the Green Party and Ehud Barak’s Independence Party would receive three seats each. Analysts are trying to understand why the large protests are not affecting the coalition parties’ numbers.

An Israel Radio telephone poll with a survey error of 4.4 percentage points that was carried out by Panorama on 31 August and broadcast on 1 September 2011 and later published by Makor Rishon on 2 September.

If elections held today (expressed in Knesset seats)

Current Knesset seats in [brackets].

27 [27] Likud
18 [28] Kadima
16 [15] Yisrael Beitenu
12 [11] Shas
10 [08] Labor
06 [05] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [03] Meretz
04 [04] National Union
04 [03] Jewish Home
03 [05] Ehud Barak Independence Party
03 [—] Green Party
11 [11] Arab parties

Telephone poll of a representative sample of 506 adult Israelis carried out by Maagar Mohot Survey Institute (headed by Professor Yitzchak Katz) the week of August 1, 2011, for Makor Rishon and published on August 5, 2011.