A Knesset Channel 99 poll carried out Wednesday September 21 2011 by Panels Polling Company after the Labor Party primaries.
If elections held today (expressed in Knesset seats)
Current Knesset seats in [brackets].
A poll carried out by Dialogue the day after the Labor chairmanship vote (Monday 13 September 2011) and published the following day shows that Israel’s two largest parties (Kadima and Likud) are losing strength. If MK Yacimovich leads Labor in the next elections Likud would win with 25 seats and a 64-seat right wing coalition; Kadima and Labor would have 22 seats each. If MK Peretz leads Labor in the next elections, Likud would win with 24 seats and own a 65-seat right wing coalition, with Kadima edging out Labor 24 to 18. It would appear that Likud and Shas are losing 3-4 seats to the other right leaning parties, while Kadima is losing seats to Labor and Meretz on the left. The poll has a representative sample of 482 likely voting Israeli adults, and the statistical error is about 4.5 percentage points.
If elections held today (expressed in Knesset seats)
Current Knesset seats in [brackets].
22 24 [28] Kadima
25 24 [27] Likud
22 — [08] Labor headed by Shelly Yacimovich
— 18 [08] Labor headed by Amir Peretz
15 16 [15] Yisrael Beitenu
09 10 [11] Shas
09 09 [07] Merger of Jewish Home and National Union
06 06 [05] Yahadut Hatorah/U.T.J.
04 05 [03] Meretz
00 00 [05] Ehud Barak Independence Party
08 08 [11] Hadash, Ra’am-Ta’al and Balad combined.
The latest poll taken before the social justice weekend rallies show the Likud standing still with the 27 seats it has now and the other conservative parties taking four seats combined from the center and left. According to the poll Kadima drops ten seats, and the Green Party and Ehud Barak’s Independence Party would receive three seats each. Analysts are trying to understand why the large protests are not affecting the coalition parties’ numbers.
An Israel Radio telephone poll with a survey error of 4.4 percentage points that was carried out by Panorama on 31 August and broadcast on 1 September 2011 and later published by Makor Rishon on 2 September.
If elections held today (expressed in Knesset seats)
Current Knesset seats in [brackets].
27 [27] Likud
18 [28] Kadima
16 [15] Yisrael Beitenu
12 [11] Shas
10 [08] Labor
06 [05] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [03] Meretz
04 [04] National Union
04 [03] Jewish Home
03 [05] Ehud Barak Independence Party
03 [—] Green Party
11 [11] Arab parties
The latest poll published in Makor Rishon shows that despite the protests in the streets Prime Minister Netanyahu would gain two seats and the Right would gain an overall five. Kadima would drop three seats, and the Left would lose four seats overall. A different poll published by Globes and the Jerusalem Post shows different results.
Telephone poll of a representative sample of 506 adult Israelis carried out by Maagar Mohot Survey Institute (headed by Professor Yitzchak Katz) the week of August 1, 2011, for Makor Rishon and published on August 5, 2011.
If elections held today (expressed in Knesset seats) Current Knesset seats in [brackets].
29 [27] Likud
25 [28] Kadima
16 [15] Yisrael Beitenu
13 [11] Shas
11 [08] Labor (Headed by MK Shelly Yacimovich)
05 [05] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
04 [04] National Union
04 [03] Meretz
03 [03] Jewish Home/NRP
09 [11] Arab parties
01 [05] Independence (Ehud Barak)
Who is most appropriate to be prime minister? Netanyahu, Livni, Liberman or Yacimovich?
Netanyahu 51% Livni 28% Liberman 17% Yacimovich 4%
An interesting scenario poll that asked potential voters which party they would vote for if the leaders of the tent movement formed a party compared to a poll without the tent movement party paints a clear picture of which voters are supporting the housing protest. According to the poll the Tent Party would receive 16 of its 20 seats from the left wing parties, four seats from Likud and none from the other nationalistic parties. The poll presents the Tent Party as the second biggest party in Israel behind Likud and shows Israeli liberals’ frustration with their current parties and leaders. The right maintains a majority whether the fictional party is created or not (63 vs 67).
Telephone poll of 500 adult Israelis carried out by Smith Institute for Globes and The Jerusalem Post on 1 August, 2011 and published 3 August, 2011.
If elections held today (expressed in Knesset seats) Current Knesset seats in [brackets].
25 19 [28] Kadima
26 22 [27] Likud
15 15 [15] Yisrael Beitenu
12 12 [11] Shas
11 07 [08] Labor
06 06 [05] Yahadut Hatorah/ UTJ
05 05 [04] National Union
04 00 [03] Meretz
03 03 [03] Jewish Home/NRP
11 11 [11] Arab parties
02 00 [00] Green party
00 00 [05] Independence (Ehud Barak)
— 20 [—] Social Economic Party led by the current leaders of the housing protests
Will the next election be advanced from its current date of October 22, 2013, due to the protests and the expected United Nations General Assembly vote on a Palestinian state next month?: No 50% Yes 29% No opinion 21%
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