Archive for January, 2019


Midgam conducted a poll for Army Radio that was broadcast on Jan 22 2019.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

29 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
13 [17] Yesh Atid (Lapid) + Livni Party
13 [-–] Israel Resilience (Gantz)
09 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
07 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
06 [12] The Joint (Arab) List
06 [07] Shas (Deri)
06 [01] Taal (Tibi)
05 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
05 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
05 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
05 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
04 [05] Bayit Yehudi
00 [–-] Yachad (Eli Yishai), Telem (Yaalon), Zehut (Feiglin), Green Leaf, Eretz Chadasha (Eldad Yaniv), Otzma (Marzel) and Ofek Chadash (as other) under 3.25% threshold

63 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
57 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B.

Scenario Poll: After Netanyahu is indicted

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

25 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
14 [17] Yesh Atid (Lapid) + Livni Party
14 [-–] Israel Resilience (Gantz)
09 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
07 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
06 [12] The Joint (Arab) List
06 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
06 [07] Shas (Deri)
06 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
06 [01] Taal (Tibi)
05 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
05 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
00 [05] Bayit Yehudi
04 [–-] Yachad (Eli Yishai), Telem (Yaalon), Zehut (Feiglin), Green Leaf, Eretz Chadasha (Eldad Yaniv), Otzma (Marzel) and Ofek Chadash (as other) under 3.25% threshold

61 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
59 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B.

Do you think the Prime Minister was correct for attacking the AG?

57% No, 27% Yes, 16% Don’t know

Knesset Jeremy’s Weekly Polling Average – The Israeli Poll of Polls

Current update: Sunday January 20th 2018.

PlacePartyWeek 3-4 AVGChangeWeek 2 AVGCurrent
1stLikud31.52.728.830
2ndYesh Atid130.312.711
3rdIsrael Resilience12.3-0.512.80
4thJoint List-Taal11.3-0.411.713
5thHaYamin HeHadash8-0.88.83
6thLabor7.8-0.48.218
7thUTJ6.80.16.76
8thMeretz5.2-0.35.55
9thKulanu5-0.55.510
10thShas5057
11thYisrael Beitenu4.70.24.55
12thGesher4.5-0.34.81
13thBayit Yehudi2.2-0.62.85
14thLivni20.51.56
15thOther0.700.70
Right-Religious63.8162.866
Center-Left-Arab56.2-157.254

Note #1: The electoral voting threshold is equivalent to 3.25 percent of total votes, equivalent to approximately four parliamentary seats. Parties currently polling below the threshold, including parties listed as “other” are weighted down to zero in the polling average to allow this polling model to maintain a simplified 120-seat framework.

Note #2: Taal was polled separately from The Joint List in just two of the last seven polls. The two lists were averaged together for this week.

Note #3: This week’s average is based on the two polls that were conducted during week three and the five polls that were conducted during week four.

Note #4: Read – Israeli politics ‘101’: Electing a prime minister and forming a government coalition – at: https://www.jns.org/israeli-politics-101-electing-a-prime-minister-and-forming-a-coalition/

Compiled for the Jewish News Syndicate (JNS.org)

Midgam conducted a poll of 1007 people with a 3.1% margin of error for Channel 12 that was broadcast on Jan 19 2019. The scenario poll of a Lapid-Livni list was conducted Jan 14-16.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

32 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
17 [17] Yesh Atid (Lapid) + Livni Party
12 [-–] Israel Resilience (Gantz)
08 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
08 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [12] The Joint (Arab) List
06 [01] Taal (Tibi)
06 [07] Shas (Deri)
05 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
05 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
04 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
04 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
00 [05] Bayit Yehudi
00 [–-] Yachad (Eli Yishai), Telem (Yaalon), Zehut (Feiglin), Green Leaf, Eretz Chadasha (Eldad Yaniv), Otzma (Marzel) and Ofek Chadash (as other) under 3.25% threshold

62 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
58 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B.

Is Gantz doing the right thing by not making his political views known?

44% No, 34% Don’t know, 22% Yes

Of the following parties – which one do you object to the most?

20% Meretz, 12% Shas, 12% Likud, 7% Yesh Atid, 5% UTJ,5% HaYamin HeHadash, 3% Labor, 3% Bayit Yehudi, 3% Livni Party

Poll #1: Maagar Mochot conducted a poll of 500 people for Radio 103 FM that was boradcast on Jan 18 2019.

What are the considerations guiding the attorney general, which is expected to decide soon in the prime minister’s investigation files, are they professional considerations or not professional?

71% professional, 29% Non-professional

Poll #2: Panels conducted a poll of 523 people with a 4.3% margin of error for Maariv that was published on Jan 18 2019.

Has the sexual bribery scandal that was exposed in recent days damaged your faith in the judicial system?

35% Great extent, 34% Certain extent, 13% Small extent, 11% Didn’t hear about scandal, 7% No extent

What is your level of confidence in the legal and justice system in Israel?

55% Low, 39% High, 6% No opinion

Note #1: 65% on the right, 42% on the center and 32% on the left answered low.

Note #2: 68% on the left, 53% on the center and 29% on the right answered high.

Panels conducted a poll of 539 people with a 4.3% margin of error for Walla that was published on Jan 17 2019.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

33 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
15 [11] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
12 [-–] Israel Resilience (Gantz)
10 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
09 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
08 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
05 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
05 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
04 [07] Shas (Deri)
04 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
04 [05] Bayit Yehudi
04 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
00 [06] Livni Party
00 [–-] Yachad (Eli Yishai), Telem (Yaalon), Zehut (Feiglin), Green Leaf, Eretz Chadasha (Eldad Yaniv), Otzma (Marzel) and Ofek Chadash (as other) under 3.25% threshold

66 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
54 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B.

Scenario Poll: Lapid + Gantz

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

33 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
28 [11] Yesh Atid (Lapid) + Israel Resilience (Gantz)
10 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
08 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
07 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
05 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
05 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
05 [05] Bayit Yehudi
04 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
04 [07] Shas (Deri)
04 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
00 [06] Livni Party – under 3.25% threshold
00 [–-] Yachad (Eli Yishai), Telem (Yaalon), Zehut (Feiglin), Green Leaf, Eretz Chadasha (Eldad Yaniv), Otzma (Marzel) and Ofek Chadash (as other) under 3.25% threshold

66 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
54 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B.

Where do you place Gantz on the political map?

40% Center, 26% Don’t know, 23% Left, 11% Right

Midgam conducted a poll of 1007 people with a 3.1% margin of error for Channel 12 that was broadcast on Jan 16 2019.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

32 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
14 [11] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
13 [-–] Israel Resilience (Gantz)
09 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
08 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [12] The Joint (Arab) List
06 [01] Taal (Tibi)
06 [07] Shas (Deri)
06 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
05 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
04 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
04 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
00 [06] Livni Party
00 [05] Bayit Yehudi
00 [–-] Yachad (Eli Yishai)
00 [–-] Telem (Yaalon)
00 [–-] Zehut (Feiglin)
00 [–-] Green Leaf
00 [–-] Eretz Chadasha (Eldad Yaniv)
00 [–-] Otzma (Marzel) and Ofek Chadash (as other) under 3.25% threshold

63 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
57 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B.

Note #1: In this poll there is a combined 7.3% of votes under the threshold – that would be around 320,000 votes
Note #2: 20% are undecided on their vote and could change their minds (22% Center, 17% Left, 15% Right)(25% female, 15% Male).
Note #3: Undecided voters – 19% Israel Resilience, 15% Labor, 12% Yesh Atid, 11% Likud, 10% Livni, 8% Meretz, 8% Gesher
Note: 79% are sure they will vote on eleciton day.

Who is more suited for Prime Minister?

36% Netanyahu, 28% Gantz, 22% Neither, 14% Don’t know

38% Netanyahu, 30% Neither, 21% Lapid, 11% Don’t know

TNS conducted a poll of 527 people for Channel 11 that was broadcast on Jan 16 2019.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

31 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
13 [-–] Israel Resilience (Gantz)
12 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
10 [11] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
07 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
07 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
06 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
06 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
05 [07] Shas (Deri)
05 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
04 [06] Livni Party
04 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
04 [05] Bayit Yehudi
00 [–-] Telem (Yaalon)
00 [–-] Yachad (Eli Yishai), Zehut (Feiglin), Green Leaf, Eretz Chadasha (Eldad Yaniv), Otzma (Marzel) and Ofek Chadash (as other) under 3.25% threshold

63 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
57 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B.

Scenario Poll: Joint UTJ+Shas list

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

29 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
13 [13] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
13 [-–] Israel Resilience (Gantz)
12 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
10 [11] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
07 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
07 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
06 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
06 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
05 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
04 [06] Livni Party
04 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
04 [05] Bayit Yehudi
00 [–-] Telem (Yaalon)
00 [–-] Yachad (Eli Yishai), Zehut (Feiglin), Green Leaf, Eretz Chadasha (Eldad Yaniv), Otzma (Marzel) and Ofek Chadash (as other) under 3.25% threshold

63 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
57 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B.

Where would you place Benny Gantz on the political map?

36% Center, 26% Left, 26% No Opinion, 12% Right

Shiluv Poll of Haredim

Shiluv conducted a poll for HaMishpacha that was published on Jan 16 2019.

Should the Haredi parties run on a joint list?

Yes: 71% of Sephardim, 58% of Haredalim, 52% of Hasidim, 42% of Lithuanians
No: 22%. That includes 16% of Lithuanians, 11% of Sephardim and 9% of Hasidim

Will you vote for a joint Haredi list?

Yes: 81% of Sephardim 74% of Hasidim 68% of Haredalim and 61% of Lithuanians

Who would you vote for today?

51% for United Torah Judaism, 22% for Shas, 4% for Yahad and 4% for Bnei Torah

79% of Lithuanians and 68% of Hasidim will vote for United Torah Judaism, 65% of the Sephardim will vote for Shas

Should Netanyahu resign when an indictment is filed against him?

No: 65% of Sephardim, 55% of Hasidim, and 50% of Lithuanian
Yes: 18% of Hasidim, 12% of Lithuanians and 11% of Sephardim

Are you right or left?

Haredi public: 57% right, 13% center, 1% left
Right: 70% of Sephardim, 67% of hardalim, 60% of Hasidim, 42% of Lithuanians
Left: 2% Lithuanians, 1% Sephardim, 1% Hasidim

Last 2 Radio 103 FM Polls

Maagar Mochot conducted a poll for Radio 103 FM that was broadcast on Jan 11 2019.

Did the Netanyahu speech change your opinion of him?

45% No change, 36% Negatively affected, 14% Strengthened their support, 5% Don’t know

Likud voters: 13% Negatively affected

Who is the most suitable candidate to serve as prime minister?

44% Netanyahu, 21% Gantz, 20% Don’t know, 10% Lapid, 5% Gabbai

Maagar Mochot conducted a poll for Radio 103 FM that was broadcast on Jan 4 2019.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

29 [30] Likud (Netanyahu)
13 [11] Yesh Atid (Lapid)
12 [-–] Israel Resilience (Gantz)
10 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
08 [03] Hayamin Hehadash (Bennett & Shaked)
07 [18] Labor (Gabbai)
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [10] Kulanu (Kahlon)
06 [05] Meretz (Zandberg)
05 [05] Yisrael Beitenu (Liberman)
05 [01] Gesher (Orly Levy)
04 [07] Shas (Deri)
04 [06] Livni Party
00 [05] Bayit Yehudi
00 [–-] Yachad (Eli Yishai), Telem (Yaalon) , Zehut (Feiglin), Otzma (Marzel), Eretz Chadasha (Eldad Yaniv), Green Leaf, Ofek Chadash (as other) under 3.25% threshold

59 [66] Current Right-Religious Coalition+Y.B.
57 [54] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition+Gantz-Y.B.

Question for Likud voters: Would an indictment would you reconisder voting Likud?

30% Yes.

Smith conducted a poll of 420 Haredi people for Bechadrai Chedarim that was published on Jan 10 2019.

The poll found that a Joint Haredi List would receive 15 seats compared to 12 on their own.

If the parties remained in the current situation so UTJ would receive 7 seats and Shas 6.5 seats compared to 0 for Yachad that stands on 3% (under 3.25% electoral threshold).

If UTJ split into two so Shas would receive 6.5 seats, Degel HaTorah would receive 4.5 seats, Agudat Yisrael would receive 3.5 seats, with Yachad not passing the threshold.

In the 20th Knesset Shas won 7 seats and UTJ 6.