Archive for November, 2017


HaMidgam Project conducted a poll of 700 people with a 3.7% margin of error that was broadcast by Channel 10 on November 26 2017.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

24 [30] Likud
24 [11] Yesh Atid
17 [24] Zionist Union
12 [08] Bayit Yehudi
11 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
09 [10] Kulanu
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
07 [05] Meretz
05 [06] Yisrael Beitenu
04 [07] Shas
00 [–-] Yachad, Yaalon, Zehut (as other) under threshold

61 [67] Current Right-Religious Coalition
59 [53] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

Updated Knesset Jeremy Polling Average: https://knessetjeremy.com/knessetjeremy-polling-average-the-israeli-poll-of-polls/

3 Knesset Polls:

Poll #1: Likud

Panels conducted a poll that was broadcast by the Knesset Channel on November 20 2017.

How should MKs from the Likud act in connection to the Prime Minister’s investigations?

General Public: 70% Relate in a practical way, 15% Ignore, 9% Don’t know, 6% Attack
Likud Voters: 49% Relate in a practical way, 29% Ignore, 20% Attack, 2% Don’t know

Should MKs Bitan and Amsalam keep their aggressive line towards Netanyahu’s critics or should they stop it and focus on coalition issues?

General Public: 67% Stop, 17% Keep going, 16% Don’t know
Likud Voters: 47% Stop, 44% Keep going, 9% Don’t know

Are the attempts by Likud MKs to propose laws that will limit the police and harm the Commissioner the right course of action?

General Public: 60% No, 21% Don’t know, 19% Yes
Likud Voters: 42% Yes, 31% No, 27% Don’t know

Do you support the new bill to limit the State Comptroller?

General Public: 59% No, 20% Yes, 21% Don’t know
Likud Voters: 50% Yes, 33% No, 17% Don’t know

Do you agree with the argument that the Israeli law enforcement and justice system are conducing a persecution campaign against Likud MKs and Ministers?

General Public: 55% No, 34% Yes, 11% Don’t know
Likud Voters: 75% Yes, 22% No, 3% Don’t know

How would you generally define the relationship between the Israeli media and Prime Minister Netanyahu?

General Public: 52% Hostile, 34% Fair, 8% Don’t know, 6% Supportive
Likud Voters: 86% Hostile, 8% Fair, 6% Supportive, 0% Don’t know

How would you advise the Likud MKs to act towards the press?

General Public: 62% Stop attacking, 25% Keep attacking, 13% Don’t know
Likud Voters: 68% Keep attacking, 32% Stop attacking, 0% Don’t know

 

Poll #2 Security Issues

Midgam conducted a poll that was broadcast by the Knesset Channel on November 16 2017.

Do you think that the concessions that Menachem Begin gave for the peace agreement with Egypt were justified?

65% Yes, 20% Don’t know, 15% No

Will a peace agreement with Egypt, Jordan, Saudi Arabia and the Palestinians justify significant concessions in Judea and Samaria?

48% No, 39% Yes, 13% Don’t know

Should Israel exploit the tension between Saudi Arabia and Iran to advance ties with Saudi Arabia?

64% Yes, 20% No, 16% Don’t know

Should Israel use military force to prevent Iran and Hezbollah from establishing a presence next to the Israeli-Syrian border?

65% Yes, 19% No, 16% Don’t know

Utilizing dialogue with Russia and their influence in Syria, can we prevent Iran and Hezbollah from reaching the border?

44% Yes, 34% No, 22% Don’t know

If France utilizes their influence in Lebanon, can they succeed in preventing Iran and Hezbollah from taking over Lebanon?

53% No, 27% Yes, 20% Don’t know

If an American initiative for peace between Israel and the Palestinians reaches advanced stages, will our relationship with the Sunni states be strengthened?

43% Yes, 36% No, 21% Don’t know

 

Poll #3: Democracy

Midgam conducted a poll that was broadcast by the Knesset Channel on November 9 2017.

Do you believe there is a problem of incitement directed towards a part of the public?

68% Yes, 18% No, 14% Don’t know

As long as there are no steps to cancel laws against leftist NGOs, is there any significance to the Prime Minister’s call for national reconciliation?

27% Think so, 24% Think not, 17% Not at all, 16% For sure, 16% Don’t know

Does the attempt to label the political left as not legitimate harm Israeli democracy?

28% For sure, 28% Think so, 22% Not at all, 14% Think not, 11% Don’t know

Are the attempts by the coalition to limit the Supreme Court’s ability to defend the rights of minorities harming Israeli democracy?

29% For sure, 27% Think so, 19% Think not, 16% Don’t know, 9% Not at all

From a democratic perspective is it legitimate to limit the ability to investigate a sitting Prime Minister?

58% No, 29% Yes, 13% Don’t know

Is it legitimate to limit investigations of a sitting Prime Minister when there are no term limits?

67% No, 20% Yes, 13% Don’t know

If the investigations lead to indictments against the Prime Minister and his wife should the Prime Minister resign?

48% Yes in the case of an indictment against him, 29% Yes in the case of an indictment against his wife, 12% No, 11% Don’t know

In you opinion should Netanyahu take responsibility for his wife’s behavior in the Prime Minister’s Residence?

60% Yes, 27% No, 13% Don’t know

HaMidgam Project conducted a poll of 602 people that was broadcast by Walla on November 19 2017. They also conducted a scenario poll.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

27 [30] Likud
21 [11] Yesh Atid
19 [24] Zionist Union
11 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
10 [08] Bayit Yehudi
08 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
07 [10] Kulanu
07 [06] Yisrael Beitenu
07 [05] Meretz
03 [07] Shas
00 [–-] Yachad, Yaalon, Zehut (as other) under threshold

59/62 [67] Current Right-Religious Coalition
58 [53] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

Note #1: 28% Have not made up their mind yet and 7% don’t plan on voting.

Scenario Poll: Yesh Atid + Kulanu + Ashkenazi on a joint list.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

33 [21] Yesh Atid + Kulanu + Ashkenazi
26 [30] Likud
17 [24] Zionist Union
11 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
09 [08] Bayit Yehudi
07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
07 [06] Yisrael Beitenu
07 [05] Meretz
03 [07] Shas
00 [–-] Yachad, Yaalon, Zehut (as other) under threshold

Note #2: 15% Have not made up their mind yet and 7% don’t plan on voting.

Who is most suited to be Prime Minister?

Netanyahu 31%, None 27%, Lapid 14%, Kahlon 9%, Gabbay 7%, Barak 7%, Don’t know 6%

Note #3: This model does not reach 120 seats because Shas is below the electoral threshold. Therefore, this poll will not be included in the KnessetJeremyPollingAverage. I will consider changing my decision based on the number of polls that fall under this category as we move forward.

Poll #1: Palestinians

Panels conducted a poll that was broadcast by the Knesset Channel on October 16 2017.

Is the agreement between Fatah and Hamas good or bad for Israel?

42% Bad, 40% Don’t know, 18% Good

How should Israel act in response to the agreement between Fatah and Hamas?

51% Act Secretly, 25% Respond Publicly, 24% Don’t know

Netanyahu decided to allow limited building in the settlements to prevent a confrontation with the United States President. Do you support the decision?

55% Yes, 32% No, 13% Don’t know

The settler leaders are calling for removing all limitations on building in Judea and Samaria. Would you support such a step?

56% No, 28% Yes, 16% Don’t know

Do you agree with the argument that settlements are an obstacle to peace?

48% Yes, 46% No, 6% Don’t know

If the State of Israel reaches an agreement with the Palestinians, would you agree to evacuate settlements that are outside the blocs?

50% Yes, 34% No, 16% Don’t know

Poll #2 Iran

Midgam conducted a poll that was broadcast by the Knesset Channel on October 17 2017.

Will the United States President go through with his threat and place sanctions on Iran?

42% No, 39% Yes, 19% Don’t know

If Trump does sanction Iran, will Europe, Russia and China join him?

63% No, 21% Yes, 16% Don’t know

If the other countries don’t join the sanctions regime will that lead to the Iranians breaking the Iran Nuke deal?

54% Yes, 24% Don’t know, 22% No

Will the United States Congress support the decision of Trump against Iran?

42% Yes, 42% No, 16% Don’t know

Is the main reason for acting against the Iran deal concern for world peace and the US-Israel relationship or Is it simply because President Obama was the one who made the agreement?

43% World Peace, 36% Obama, 21% Don’t know

What do you think of Republican Senator Corker’s statement that Trump might cause a third world war?

42% True, 32% Not true, 26% Don’t know

Poll #3: Lapid

Panels conducted a poll that was broadcast by the Knesset Channel on October 23 2017.

What is your position about voting Yesh Atid in the next election?

45% Won’t vote for them no matter what, 18% Might possibly vote for them, 16% Most likely won’t vote for them, 11% For sure will for the them, 10% Don’t know

How should Lapid prepare for the next elections?

55% Open Primaries, 25% Don’t know, 20% Remain a one-man-party.

Does Avi Gabbay and The Zionist Union present a threat to Yesh Atid in the next elections?

38% Yes, 29% Maybe, 19% Don’t know, 14% No,

Question for Yesh Atid Voters: Would you consider voting for Avi Gabbay and The Zionist Union?

50% Won’t vote for them at all, 28% Most likely won’t vote for them, 17% Might possibly vote for them, 3% For sure will vote for them, 2% Don’t know

How should Yesh Atid conduct itself in the next elections?

28% Don’t know, 28% Run independently, 26% Run with Zionist Union, 18% Run with Kulanu

Is Yesh Atid doing its job as an opposition party?

52% No, 25% Yes, 23% Don’t know

Is Yair Lapid doing the right thing by turning the struggle of drafting Haredim into the army as his main flag?

47% No, 39% Yes, 14% Don’t know

Poll #4: Rivlin

Panels conducted a poll that was broadcast by the Knesset Channel on October 30 2017.

Are you pleased with the way Reuven Rivlin is conducting himself as President?

61% Yes, 28% No, 11% Don’t know

Was Rivlin’s speech at the start of the Knesset session a suitable speech?

45% Yes, 30% No, 25% Don’t know

There are those that claim President Rivlin is getting revenge on Netanyahu because he didn’t support his presidential candidacy. Do you agree?

40% No, 30% Yes, 30% Don’t know

Do you support the continuation of the Israeli Presidential office?

62% Yes, 26% No, 12% Don’t know

Do you agree with the opinion that says the President should not express his opinion on the topics of the day?

50% No, 41% Yes, 9% Don’t know

Would you support President Rivlin returning to politics after his term as President is over?

38% No, 32% Yes, 30% Don’t know

Poll #1: Midgam conducted a poll of 503 people with a 4.4% margin of error that was broadcast by Channel 2 News (Channel 12 and 13) on November 1 2017. The poll was conducted on October 31 and November 1.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

24 [30] Likud
21 [24] Zionist Union
20 [11] Yesh Atid
12 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
12 [08] Bayit Yehudi
08 [10] Kulanu
08 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
06 [06] Yisrael Beitenu
05 [05] Meretz
04 [07] Shas
00 [–-] Yachad, Yaalon, Zehut (as other) under threshold

62 [67] Current Right-Religious Coalition
58 [53] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

Poll #2: HaMidgam Project conducted a poll that was broadcast by Channel 10 on November 1 2017.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

26 [30] Likud
22 [11] Yesh Atid
19 [24] Zionist Union
12 [13] The Joint (Arab) List
11 [08] Bayit Yehudi
08 [05] Meretz
07 [10] Kulanu
06 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
05 [06] Yisrael Beitenu
04 [07] Shas
00 [–-] Yachad, Yaalon, Zehut (as other) under threshold

61 [53] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition
59 [67] Current Right-Religious Coalition