Archive for November, 2016


Panels conducted a poll that was broadcast by the Knesset Channel on November 21st 2016.

Should the residents of Amona resist evacuation?

57% Must leave themselves, 28% Should resist evacuation, 15% Don’t know

Right wing voters: 46% Should resist evacuation, 36% Must leave themselves, 18% Don’t know

Do you support active resistance to the evacuation?

64% No, 19% Yes, 17% Don’t know

Do you agree that the argument the government sent the residents to Amona means they need to take care of them?

79% Yes, 14% No, 7% Don’t know

What would you advise the leaders of the right to focus on?

81% Civil and social issues, 10% Don’t know, 9% Settlements in Judea and Samaria

Right wing voters: 72% Civil and social issues, 16% Settlements in Judea and Samaria, 12% Don’t know

Midgam conducted a poll that was broadcast by the Knesset Channel on November 17th 2016.

Are you pleased with the results of the United States elections?

46% Yes, 33% No, 21% Don’t know

Do you believe Trump will move the US Embassy to Jerusalem?

39% No, 32% Yes, 29% Don’t know

Do you believe Trump will allow Israel to create new settlements in Judea and Samaria?

44% Yes, 29% Don’t know, 27% No

Do you believe Trump will allow Israel to annex the Jewish settlement blocs into Israel?

35% Yes, 33% No, 32% Don’t know

Do you believe Trump will deal with the Iranian threat better than Obama?

42% Yes, 35% No, 23% Don’t know

Do you believe Trump will send US forces to fight against ISIS?

48% Yes, 32% No, 20% Don’t know

Do you think that Trump’s attitude towards Muslims will strengthen Israel’s standings in American public opinion?

37% No influence, 32% Strengthen, 21% Don’t know, 10% Weaken

Midgam conducted a poll that was broadcast by the Knesset Channel on November 10th 2016.

Is it justified for the Knesset to pass laws that cancel decisions made by the Supreme Court?

68% No, 24% Yes, 8% Don’t know

Are you for or against the Outpost Bill that will legalize Jewish settlement in Judea and Samaria on private Palestinian land against the decision of the Supreme Court?

51% Against bill, 38% For bill, 11% Don’t know

Are actions taken against the freedom of the press signs that point towards a facist society?

61% Yes, 25% No, 14% Don’t know

Are actions taken against the independence of the Supreme Court signs that point towards a fascist society?

57% Yes, 32% No, 11% Don’t know

Should the courts defend the minorities in democratic countries even if their positions are not accepted by the majority?

77% Yes, 12% Don’t know, 11% No

Is it possible to wipe out the freedom of the press in Israel?

68% No, 25% Yes, 7% Don’t know

Is it possible to wipe out the independence of the courts in Israel?

50% No, 38% Yes, 12% Don’t know

Panels conducted a poll that was broadcast by the Knesset Channel on November 7th 2016.

What grade would you give Moshe Kalon as Finance Minister?

42% Average, 26% Good, 22% Bad, 10% Don’t know

What subject is the most important subject for Moshe Kahlon to work on?

76% Housing prices, 11% Appointing judges to the high court, 8% Public Broadcasting (New and Old)

Is Kahlon correct in his opposition to closing the new public broadcasting authority?

49% Yes, 28% Don’t know, 23% No

Do you trust Moshe Kahlon to not back down on this issue with Netanyahu?

54% No, 31% Yes, 15% Don’t know

Do you recommend to Kahlon to stay at the head of Kulanu or go back to the Likud?

50% Stay in Kulanu, 27% Go back to Likud, 23% Don’t know

Right voters: 43% Go back to Likud, 38% Stay in Kulanu, 19% Don’t know

How do you classify Kahlon as a politician?

54% Right, 28% Center, 6% Left

Should Kahlon remain as a figure that is identified with the right or should he go towards a new center bloc?

46% Stay in right, 42% Go to new center bloc, 12% Don’t know

Midgam conducted a poll that was broadcast by the Knesset Channel on November 3rd 2016.

Are you for or against the Zionist Union joining the Government?

46% Against, 30% For, 24% Don’t know

Would Zionist Union joining the coalition allow the advancement of a diplomatic process of two states for two peoples?

54% No, 23% Yes, 22% Don’t know

Would Zionist Union joining the coalition help prevent the government from harming the standing of the judicial branch of government and the Supreme Court’s authority?

52% No, 28% Don’t know, 19% Yes

Both Netanyahu and Herzog deny there are negotiations on the Zionist Union joining the government. Do you believe these denials?

59% No, 23% Don’t know, 17% Yes

Supreme Court bypass laws are meant to cancel Supreme Court decisions when they are against the government position. Do you support these types of bills?

31% Yes, 21% No, 18% Don’t know

Today the Attorney General can prevent decisions made by the executive and legislative branches of government if they are not constitutional. Justice Minister Shaked wants to pass a law to repeal that. Do you support the bill?

49% No, 32% Yes, 19% Don’t know

Panels conducted a poll that was broadcast by the Knesset Channel on October 31st 2016.

Are you pleased with the conduct of Avigdor Liberman as Defense Minister?

48% No, 40% Yes, 12% Don’t know

Did Liberman’s decision to grant an interview to a Palestinian paper indicate that he has changed his views?

56% No, 27% Yes, 17% No opinion/Don’t know

Is Avigdor Liberman a worthy candidate to serve as Prime Minister?

68% No, 18% Don’t know, 14% Yes

Right voters: 64% No, 22% Yes, 14% Don’t know

Should Liberman stay as the leader of Yisrael Beitenu or try his luck competing against Netanyahu inside the Likud?

55% Stay in Yisrael Beitenu, 27% Don’t know, 18% Go into Likud

Right voters: 63% Stay in Yisrael Beitenu, 21% Go into Likud, 16% Don’t know

How does it influence your opinion of Liberman the fact that former senior Yisrael Beitenu party leaders were charged for criminal crimes?

45% Hurts him, 35% Doesn’t influence, 16% Don’t know, 4% Strengthens

Panels conducted a poll of 519 people with a 4.5% margin of error on November 15th 2016 that was published by the Jerusalem Post on November 21st 2016.

Do you think President-elect Donald Trump will honor his campaign promise and move the US embassy to Jerusalem?

49% No (38% probably not, 11% for sure not), 38% Yes (32% probably, 6% for sure), 13% Don’t know

Note: Right: 48% Yes, 42% No, 10% Don’t know. Center: 57% No, 31% Yes, 12% Don’t know. Left: 63% No, 23% Don’t know, 14% Yes

Do you feel that Prime Minister Netanyahu is navigating Israel correctly in regards to diplomatic relations with other countries?

44% Yes, 41% No, 15% Don’t know

Note: Right: 66% Yes, 20% No, 14% Don’t know. Center: 59% No, 27% Yes, 14% Don’t know. Left: 85% No, 11% Don’t know, 4% Yes.

Do you believe that in 2017 the UN will decide on a one-sided resolution recognizing a Palestinian state?

45% No (36% Probably not, 9% For sure not), 33% Yes (Probably, For sure), 22% Don’t know

Note: Right: 54% No, 25% Yes, 21% Don’t know. Center: 41% Yes, 38% No, 21% Don’t know. Left: 46% Yes, 32% No, 22% Don’t know

Would you define Donald Trump as a true friend of Israel?

44% Yes, 38% Don’t know, 18% No

Note: Right: 59% Yes, 31% Don’t know, 10% No. Center: 50% Don’t know, 33% Yes, 17% No.  Left: 44% No, 39% Don’t know, 17% Yes

Geocartography conducted a poll of 500 people with a 4.4% margin of error on November 3rd 2016. The poll was published in various media outlets including the Jerusalem Post on November 6th 2016.

In the event that you had an opportunity to vote for President of the United States of America, who would you vote for?

37% Clinton, 34% Trump, 29% Other answers

Breakdown by Israeli party affiliation:

Meretz: 78% Clinton, 11% Trump, 11% Other answers
Zionist Union: 68% Clinton, 19% Trump, 13% Other answers
Yesh Atid: 48% Clinton, 22% Trump, 30% Other answers
Shas: 40.8% Clinton, 39.2% Trump, 20% Other answers
Yisrael Beitenu: 38% Clinton, 34% Trump, 22% Other answers
Kulanu: 34% Clinton, 25% Trump, 41% Other answers
Bayit Yehudi: 25% Clinton, 54% Trump, 21% Other answers
Likud: 24% Clinton, 59% Trump, 17% Other answers
UTJ: 11% Clinton, 88% Trump, 1% Other answers

Smith conducted a poll that was broadcast by Reshet Bet Radio on Oct 4 2016.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

26 [30] Likud

21 [11] Yesh Atid

13 [24] Zionist Union

13 [13] The Joint (Arab) List

12 [08] Bayit Yehudi

08 [06] Yisrael Beitenu

07 [10] Kulanu

07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

07 [07] Shas

06 [05] Meretz


67 [67] Current Right-Religious Coalition

53 [53] Current Center-Left-Arab Opposition

Keevoon Global Research conducted a poll of 1,140 people on Oct 31-Nov 2 with a 3% margin of error for the iVoteIsrael NGO that was published on Nov 3 2016.

Estimates put the final number of Israeli voters who participated in US election at about 30,000.

Which candidate did you vote for President?

49% Trump, 44% Clinton, 5% Other/abstain, 2% Johnson, 0% Stein

Vote by age: Clinton leads with 18-24, 25-34 and 35-44 brackets. Trump leads with 45-54, 55-64 and 65+ brackets. Clinton best is 25-34 and Trump best is 65+.

Vote by gender:

Males: 59% Trump, 33% Clinton, 8% Other
Females: 52% Clinton, 42% Trump, 6% Other

Vote by religiosity:

Secular: 75% Clinton, 22% Trump, 3% Other
Traditional: 54% Clinton, 40% Trump, 6% Other
Religious: 63% Trump, 27% Clinton, 10% Other
Ultra-orthodox: 85% Trump, 11% Clinton, 4% Other

What is your party affiliation?

33% Democrat, 27% Republican, 22% Don’t remember, 18% Independent or no party

Dem registered voters: 72% Clinton, 25% Trump, 3% Other
GOP registered voters: 83% Trump, 10% Clinton, 7% Other
Independents/not registered with party: 45% Trump, Clinton 44%

Top 10 States Breakdown:

35% New York: Trump 52%, Clinton 39%, Other 9%
10% New Jersey: Trump 62%, Clinton 28%, Other 10%
8% California: Trump 52%, Clinton 41%, Other 7%
6% Maryland: Trump 58%, Clinton 38%, Other 4%
6% Pennsylvania: Clinton 55%, Trump 43%, Other 2%
5% Illinois: Clinton 62%, Trump 29%, Other 9%
5% Florida: Trump 61%, Clinton 39%, Other 0%
4% Ohio: 44% Trump, 44% Clinton, 12% Other
4% Massachusetts: Clinton 63%, Trump 26%, 11% Other
4% Michigan:  Clinton 53%, Trump 47%, Other 0%

What is the most important issues that influenced your vote for President?

43% Foreign Policy including Israel, 31% Other, 10% Influence on the Supreme Court, 7% Jobs/Economy, 6% Terrorism/National Security, 2% Healthcare, 1% Illegal Immigration

Foreign Policy voters: 64% Trump, 17% Clinton. Other: Clinton voters 54%.

What was the main quality or reason you considered in your choice for President?

49% Danger of electing other candidate, 11% Experience in government, 10% Leadership, 9% Character, 8% Vision, 6% Experience in business/Political outsider, 6% Other, 0% Endorsements/Campaign advisers

Trump voters: 60% Danger of electing other candidate, 12% Experience in business/Political outsider, 9% Leadership, 9% Vision, 6% Other, 3% Character, 0% Experience in government, 0% Endorsements/Campaign advisers

Clinton voters: 39% Danger of electing other candidate, 25% Experience in government, 14% Character, 11% Leadership, 7% Vision, 3% Other, 1% Experience in business/Political outsider, 0% Endorsements/Campaign advisers

Regardless of who you voted for, do you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of:

Pence: 43% Favorable, 27% Unfavorable, 30% Don’t know (+16)
Clinton: 34% Favorable, 64% Unfavorable, 2% Don’t know (-30)
Trump: 32% Favorable, 65% Unfavorable, 3% Don’t know (-33)
Kaine: 23% Favorable, 36% Unfavorable, 41% Don’t know (-13)

Immigration to the United States was a major campaign issue during this election. Which comes closer to your view? Immigrants today…

40% Strengthen the US through hard work and talents, 29% Represent a threat to US national security, 19% Don’t know, 12% Are a burden to the US by taking jobs, housing and healthcare

When it comes to U.S. foreign policy, what do you think is the most important issue that the new President should focus on?

54% Fighting global terror, 18% Iranian nuclear threat, 9% Other, 8% Military involvement in Ukraine and Syria, 6% Protect the US against cyber-attacks, 3% Palestinian peace process, 2% North Korea nuclear threat

Few Additional findings:

Note #1: 72% of Clinton voters voted the same party as President for Senate/Congress compared to 59% for Trump voters. 1% Only voted for Senate/Congress and not President. 5% don’t remember what they did.

Note #2: The worst on the Favorable/Unfavorable is the outgoing President. A majority found President Barack Obama unfavorable including 51% who found him very unfavorable.

Note #3: A majority opposes the P5+1 Iran Nuclear Deal Framework Agreement including 64% who oppose it strongly. Just 8% don’t know or have a position on the issue.

Note #4:  Israelis think that funding for the iron dome missile defense program is more important than preventing Iran from obtaining Nuclear weapons.

Question to 197 respondents who registered but did not vote: What was the main reason you did not vote in this election?

50% Did not get my ballot on time, 21% Didn’t like either presidential candidate, 17% Other, 8% Voting wasn’t worthwhile in my state, 4% Both candidates were equally good/bad

Exit Polls in 2008 and 2012:

2008: 76% McCain, 24% Obama
2012: 85% Romney, 14% Obama

Demographic breakdown:

Gender: 50% Male, 50% Female
Age: 28% 61+, 25% 55-64, 17% 25-34, 14% 45-54, 12% 35-44, 4% 18-24
Are you a: 90% Israeli citizen, 7% Permanent resident, 2% Tourist, 2% Student
How long have you been in Israel: 58% 15+ years, 19% 8-14 years, 15% 4-7 years, 6% 1-3 years, 2% Less than a year
How do you define yourself: 50% Orthodox, 18% Secular, 16% Traditional, 8% Ultra-orthodox, 6% Prefer not to answer, 2% Not jewish
Where do you live: 52% Jerusalem/Mevasseret/Gush Etzion/Beitar/Bet Shemesh/Maale Adumim, 30% Tel Aviv/Modiin/Raanana/Hertzliya/Ariel/Rechovot/Petach Tikva/Netanya, 8% Other, 8% Haifa/Tiberius/North, 2% Beer Sheva/Eilat/South