Tag Archive: KnessetJeremy


Midgam conducted two polls broadcast by Channel 10 on April 17 2014.

The first poll added Kachalon as an option, has Likud & Beitenu running together and decided to run Ra’am-Ta’al & Balad together on a joint list.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

30 [31] Likud Beitenu

16 [15] Labor

12 [--] Kachalon Party

11 [12] Bayit Yehudi

10 [19] Yesh Atid

09 [11] Shas

08 [06] Meretz

08 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

07 [07] Ra’am-Ta’al & Balad

04 [06] Movement

04 [04] Hadash

01 [02] Kadima

58 [61] Right-Religious

50 [59] Center-Left-Arab

The second poll ran Kachalon & Beitenu together and decided to run Ra’am-Ta’al & Balad together on a joint list.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

23 [11] Yisrael Beitenu + Kachalon

19 [20] Likud

18 [15] Labor

10 [19] Yesh Atid

10 [12] Bayit Yehudi

10 [11] Shas

08 [06] Meretz

08 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

07 [07] Ra’am-Ta’al & Balad

04 [04] Hadash

03 [06] Movement

00 [02] Kadima

70 [61] Right-Religious

50 [59] Center-Left-Arab

Midgam conducted two polls of 500 people with a margin of error of 3.9% on April 9-10 and was published by Yediot Achronot on April 14 2014.

The polls used the new threshold of 3.25%.

The first poll added Kachalon as an option and decided to run Ra’am-Ta’al & Balad together on a joint list.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

29 [31] Likud Beitenu

16 [15] Labor

12 [12] Bayit Yehudi

11 [--] Kachalon Party

10 [19] Yesh Atid

10 [06] Meretz

09 [11] Shas

08 [07] Ra’am-Ta’al & Balad

07 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

04 [06] Movement

04 [04] Hadash

00 [02] Kadima

57 [61] Right-Religious

52 [59] Center-Left-Arab

The second poll ran Likud and Beitenu as different parties, added Kachalon as an option and decided to run Ra’am-Ta’al & Balad together on a joint list.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

22 [20] Likud

16 [15] Labor

11 [12] Bayit Yehudi

10 [19] Yesh Atid

10 [11] Yisrael Beitenu

10 [06] Meretz

10 [--] Kachalon Party

08 [11] Shas

08 [07] Ra’am-Ta’al & Balad

07 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

04 [06] Movement

04 [04] Hadash

00 [02] Kadima

58 [61] Right-Religious

52 [59] Center-Left-Arab

Knesset Jeremy Analysis: This is the first poll of the Knesset term where Likud Beitenu running together comes out under 30 seats. Seven parties in double digits. Kachalon is running in the low double digits in the results of every polling company. The difference of opinion seems to come on where the votes are coming from. The raising of the threshold does not seem to make such an impact in this poll.

Dialgoue conducted a poll that was published by Haaretz on April 11 2014.

The poll uses the old threshold of 2% instead of the new threshold of 3.25%. It also does not include Kachalon’s new party.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

37 [31] Likud Beitenu

15 [15] Labor

15 [12] Bayit Yehudi

14 [19] Yesh Atid

09 [06] Meretz

09 [11] Shas

07 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

05 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al

04 [04] Hadash

03 [06] Movement

03 [03] Balad

00 [02] Kadima

68 [61] Right-Religious

53 [59] Center-Left-Arab

Knesset Jeremy Analysis: Hard to take analyze a poll with old threshold.

Panels conducted a Kachalon scenario poll that was broadcast by Knesset Channel April 10th 2014.

The poll used the new threshold (3.25%).

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

32 [31] Likud Beitenu

19 [15] Labor

13 [19] Yesh Atid

13 [12] Bayit Yehudi

13 [--] New Kachalon Party

12 [06] Meretz

07 [11] Shas

07 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

04 [04] Hadash

00 [15] Movement, Ra’am-Ta’al, Balad and Kadima don’t pass threshold.

59 [61] Right-Religious

48 [59] Center-Left-Arab

Knesset Jeremy Analysis: These numbers would be different if they polled all Arab parties together.

Jeremy Saltan on Galay Yisrael Radio: Breakdown of Peace Talks and Racism near Jerusalem in Mevasseret Tzion.

http://www.jewishpress.com/tv/radio/breakdown-of-peace-talks-and-racism-in-a-jerusalem-neighborhood/2014/04/10/

or

http://yishaifleisher.com/radio/radio-breakdown-peace-talks-racism-jerusalem-neighborhood/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=radio-breakdown-peace-talks-racism-jerusalem-neighborhood

 

Knesset insider Jeremy Man Saltan discusses the breakdown of negotiations between Israel and Arab leadership and the root causes behind the end of the negotiations. He moves on to talk about how American Secretary of State John Kerry’s idea of ending the conflict in nine months has been an absolute failure and ends with a discussion about how racist Purim costumes near Jerusalem in Mevasseret Tzion, have caused the issue of racism to be brought to the forefront.

Midgam conducted two Kachalon scenario polls on April 8th 2014 that was broadcast by Channel 10 News.

The polls use the new threshold (3.25%).

First poll is with Likud Beitenu together:

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

33 [31] Likud Beitenu

14 [15] Labor

13 [12] Bayit Yehudi

12 [19] Yesh Atid

10 [--] New Kachalon Party

08 [06] Meretz

07 [11] Shas

07 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

04 [06] Movement

12 [12] New Hadash- Ra’am-Ta’al-Balad Party

00 [02] Kadima
60 [61] Right-Religious

50 [59] Center-Left-Arab


Second poll with Likud and Beitenu separate:


Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

28 [20] Likud

14 [15] Labor

13 [12] Bayit Yehudi

11 [19] Yesh Atid

11 [--] New Kachalon Party

08 [06] Meretz

07 [11] Shas

07 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

05 [11] Beitenu

04 [06] Movement

12 [12] New Hadash- Ra’am-Ta’al-Balad Party

00 [02] Kadima
60 [61] Right-Religious

49 [59] Center-Left-Arab

Knesset Jeremy Analysis: Likud is not taking a hit with the probable Kachalon return to politics. Although, if they run separately, Beitenu drops to 5 seats which is close to the new threshold he helped push through. Irony, huh? Labor is the real loser of the Kachalon return and barely keeps possession of second place. Many Israelis identify with Kachalon’s economic positions and Herzog’s emphasis on the diplomatic issues means little to many Israelis who care more about their daily lives. Kachalon is also more to the right when it comes to diplomatic/defense/national security issues, so this is a victory for the right in disguise. Yesh Atid does not suffer any further from a new player fighting over the centrist vote, although I expect that to change. Meretz who had enjoyed a recent bump loses a handful of seats to Kachalon as well. Shas keeps going down. Livni’s Movement Party actually passes the threshold. With the new threshold, only Kadima fails to pass it. Although things might change down the road, taking this one poll for what it is if I were Netanyahu, I might be happy to see a Kachalon Party.

Galay Yisrael Radio Interview from last night:

Knesset insider Jeremy Man talks about the three main bills that were presented in the Knesset right before the begin of their recess. Listen as Yishai and Man Saltan discuss the specifics of these bills and how everything shook out after votes in the Knesset. Additionally, some notes on housing.

http://yishaifleisher.com/radio/radio-jeremy-man-saltan-wrapping-knesset-session-voting-results/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=radio-jeremy-man-saltan-wrapping-knesset-session-voting-results

Panels Poll questions broadcast on Knesset Channel March 20 2014

Are you pleased or not pleased with the party you voted for in the 2013 election?

Likud Beitenu voters: 61% pleased, 28% not pleased.

Yesh Atid voters: 25% pleased, 75% not pleased.

Labor voters: 64% pleased, 36% not pleased.

Bayit Yehudi voters: 71% pleased, 29% not pleased.

Which subject should the next Knesset session focus on?

70% Cost of living, 18% negotiations with Palestinians, 8% Iranian threat, 1% Jewish conversion issue

Panels conducted two polls last weekend for Sof Shavua, the sister paper of the Jerusalem Post.
One poll with the new threshold of 3.25% and one poll with the 2% threshold.

New Threshold (3.25%)

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

36 [31] Likud Beitenu

20 [15] Labor

15 [12] Bayit Yehudi

12 [19] Yesh Atid

11 [06] Meretz

07 [11] Shas

07 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

04 [06] Movement

04 [04] Hadash

04 [--] Strong Israel

00 [03] Balad

00 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al

00 [02] Kadima

69 [61] Right-Religious

51 [59] Center-Left-Arab

 

Old Threshold (2%)

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

34 [31] Likud Beitenu

19 [15] Labor

14 [12] Bayit Yehudi

11 [19] Yesh Atid

10 [06] Meretz

07 [11] Shas

07 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

04 [06] Movement

04 [04] Hadash

04 [03] Balad

03 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al

03 [--] Strong Israel

00 [02] Kadima

65 [61] Right-Religious

55 [59] Center-Left-Arab

Knesset Jeremy Analysis: Surprisingly, Strong Israel comes in with 4 mandates in the new poll.
Ra’am-Ta’al, Balad and Kadima do not pass the new threshold. The right-religious block grows to 69 seats under the new threshold, compared to 65 with the old threshold. Panels points out that not everyone is aware of the new threshold and that we do expect merging of the smaller parties in the near future.

Following the opposition boycott of the planned 21-hour session, as opposed to the planned 23-hour session for the Electoral Reform Bill, Speaker Edelstein re-opened up the session as planned at 10 AM.

Chairwoman Shaked (Bayit Yehudi) gave a speech highlighting certain aspects of the bill. She stated that around 22,000 Haredim will get an exemption for service in order for them to enter the workforce. She noted that the Haredim are 400 people away from meeting their target goals for this year in the army and 600 people away for national service target goals. She pointed out there are already thousands of Haredim serving in both and that the Haredim are expected to meet the target goals for this year by July. She said that those who don’t want to learn should go to army or national service and allow their friends who want to learn to be able to do so. She pointed out there are currently 800 haredim doing combat service. Every haredi combat soldier is counted as 1.5 toward enlistment goal numbers. She talked about the accomplishments of Haredim in the military, national service and the workforce while still devoting time to learning Torah. She praised the Ministry Economy plan for training and employing Haredim.

Minister Piron (Yesh Atid) gave a long speech that included quotes from Opposition Leader Herzog’s grandfather who was an Israeli Chief Rabbi.

Speaker Edelstein announced that all coalition MKs removed their objections. All of the opposition objections were removed because the objecting MKs were not in the building.

You can read more about the content bill here: http://knessetjeremy.com/2014/03/11/the-shaked-hardei-draftserviceemployment-bill/

National Service Bill passed its second reading 66-1 (with an MK present that was present but didn’t vote), 67-1, 67-0 (1 didn’t vote), 67-1. A government objection was accepted 68-0.
It passed in its third reading 67-1.

Amendment to the Security Service Bill passed its second reading 67-1 and third reading 67-1.

Minister Peri (Yesh Atid) thanked the Knesset for approving the bill.

Speaker Edelstein closed the session and said they would re-convene in 20 minutes for the regular Wed Knesset session.

The only coalition MK who voted against the bill is Bayit Yehudi MK Yoni Chetboun.
The 52 opposition MKs went through with their boycott. The official Knesset protocol will show that not one opposition MK gave a speech against the bill and not one opposition MK voted against the bill.

Shaked Law (for good and for bad) is complete.

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