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A poll conducted by statnet of 654 people with a margin of error of 4.4% on Jan 21st 2016 was broadcast by Channel 10. Additional scenario polls were taken as well.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

27 [30] Likud

16 [11] Yesh Atid

15 [24] Zionist Union

14 [13] The Joint (Arab) List

13 [08] Bayit Yehudi

10 [06] Yisrael Beitenu

07 [10] Kulanu

07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

07 [07] Shas

04 [05] Meretz

71 [67] Right-Religious

49 [53] Center-Left-Arab

Scenario Poll #1: If Ashkenazi led Zionist Union

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

27 [30] Likud

18 [24] Zionist Union led by Ashkenazi

15 [11] Yesh Atid

13 [13] The Joint (Arab) List

13 [08] Bayit Yehudi

09 [06] Yisrael Beitenu

07 [10] Kulanu

07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

07 [07] Shas

04 [05] Meretz

70 [67] Right-Religious

50 [53] Center-Left-Arab

Scenario Poll #2: If Ashkenazi is #2 in Yesh Atid

26 [30] Likud

19 [11] Yesh Atid led by Lapid & Ashkenazi

14 [24] Zionist Union led by Herzog & Livni

13 [13] The Joint (Arab) List

13 [08] Bayit Yehudi

09 [06] Yisrael Beitenu

07 [10] Kulanu

07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

07 [07] Shas

05 [05] Meretz

69 [67] Right-Religious

51 [53] Center-Left-Arab

Scenario Poll #3: Merger of Yesh Atid (Lapid), Kulanu (Kahlon) and Ashkenazi into one big center party.

29 [21] New Yesh Atid-Kulanu-Ashkenazi Party

24 [30] Likud

13 [24] Zionist Union

13 [13] The Joint (Arab) List

12 [08] Bayit Yehudi

10 [06] Yisrael Beitenu

07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

07 [07] Shas

05 [05] Meretz

Who is most suited to be Prime Minister?

35% Netanyahu, 11% Bennett, 11% Liberman, 9% Ashkenazi, 9% Herzog, 19% none.

Knesset Jeremy Analysis: If Ashkenazi enters politics it has a one to two seat change on the blocs. Regardless the Anti-Netanyahu alliance of Yesh Atid-Zionist Union-Meretz-Joint List fails to get close to forming a bloc large enough to block Netanyahu in a stage 2 situation by the President residence.

In the unlikely scenario of a mega-Lapid-Kahlon-Ashkenazi-party, the party would still fall short of a coalition even after signing coalition agreements with Zionist Union, Meretz and Yisrael Beitenu. The likelihood of the 50-seat-bloc of Likud and the religious parties joining a coalition with Lapid would be extremely low and the Arab parties are against joining any Zionist government.

Panels conducted a poll that was broadcast by the Knesset Channel on Jan 11 2016.

What grade do you give Yesh Atid Chairman Yair Lapid?

30% Average, 27% Bad, 26% Good, 10% Very Good, 7% Don’t know

Does the fact that Lapid has recruited himself to be Israel’s public diplomacy agent overseas added to his value?

52% Yes, 39% No, 9% Don’t Know

How does Lapid’s decision to get closer to the Haredim (ultra-orthodox) change the chances you will vote for him?

51% No change, 36% Lower chance I vote for him, 10% Higher chance I vote for him, 3% Don’t know

If the elections were conducted today – would you consider voting for Yesh Atid led by Lapid?

61% No, 25% Yes, 14% Don’t Know

Of the following leaders, which one is most suited to serve as Prime Minister?

24% Benjamin Netanyahu, 16% Yair Lapid, 11% Naftali Bennett, 10% Issac Herzog, 7% Avigdor Liberman, 4% Moshe Kahlon, 7% Don’t Know, 21% None of the Above

Midgam conducted a poll of 705 people with a 5.4% error rate for the Channel 2 that was broadcast Jan 9 2016.

How pleased are you from the conduct the following ministers?

Top 5: Health Minister Litzman (UTJ) 56.1%, Transportation Minister Katz (Likud) 50.5%, Defense Minister Yaalon (Likud) 50.5%, Justice Minister Shaked (Bayit Yehudi) 46.9%, Education Minister Bennett (Bayit Yehudi) 45.5%.

Bottom 5: Periphery Minister Deri (Shas) 18.9%, Prime Minister Netanyahu (Likud) 32.1%, Finance Minister Kahlon (Kulanu) 37%, Culture Minister Regev (Likud) 37.8%, Homeland Security Minister Erdan (Likud) 38%.

Note: Currently there are 20 ministers including the Prime Minister serving in the Israeli cabinet. The results for the other ten ministers that were not listed are under 45.5% and above 38%.

Poll on Settlers & Hilltop Youth

Panels conducted a poll for the Knesset Channel that was broadcast Jan 4 2016.

How has “Price Tag” events changed your opinion of settlers?

59% Hurt, 36% Didn’t change, 2% Increased

Are the “Hilltop Youth” a result of the settlement enterprise?

41% No, 39% Yes, 20% Don’t know

Do you believe Judea and Samaria Council leaders when they condemn the “Hilltop Youth”?

41% Yes, 36% No, 23% Don’t know

Are the Judea and Samaria Council leaders responsible for what is called “Hilltop Youth”?

48% Yes, 34% No, 18% Don’t know

What do the settlers need to do to regain your trust?

42% Act against the gangs, 28% We believe in them, 13% Don’t bother, 9% Don’t know, 8% Condemn

Panels conducted a poll for the Knesset Channel that was published Dec 31 2015.

Is it correct to investigate the Prime Minister’s wife Sarah Netanyahu in the Prime Minister Residence case?

66% Yes, 19% No, 15% Don’t know

Should Prime Minister Netanyahu also be investigated by the police in this case?

38% No, 38% Yes, 24 Don’t know

Likud supporters: 62% No, 25% Yes, 13% Don’t know

Is there truth that Sara Netanyahu broke the law or are disgruntled ex-workers out to get her?

48% Truth, 27% Don’t know, 25% Out to get her

Likud supporters: 40% Out to get her, 38% Truth, 22% Don’t know

If charges are filed against Sarah Netanyahu, should Prime Minister Netanyahu resign from his position?

46% No, 39% Yes, 15% Don’t know

How will Minister Chaim Katz’s election as Likud Central Committee Chairman influence Benjamin Netanyahu’s ability to control the Likud movement?

33% Won’t influence, 33% Don’t know, 22% Will make things more difficult for Netanyahu, 12% Will make things easier for Netanyahu

Of the following candidates who could defeat Prime Minister Netanyahu in the Likud Leadership race?

44% No one, 34% Saar, 4% Yisrael Katz, 4% Yaalon, 1% Chaim Katz

Should the position of Israeli Prime Minister be limited to two terms?

56% Yes, 26% No

Likud supporters: 57% No, 37% Yes

Is Prime Minister Netanyahu’s move to make the Likud Leadership Primary early a democratic move?

46% No, 32% Yes, 22% Don’t know

Likud supporters: 52% Yes, 38% No, 10% Don’t know

Is Aryeh Deri’s return to the Interior Ministry appropriate?

68% No, 21% Yes

Panels conducted a poll of 527 people with a 4.3% error margin for Maariv & The Jerusalem Post that was published Jan 1 2016.

Who is your person of the year?

29% Putin, 16% Merkel, 15% Netanyahu, 3% Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi, 2% Pope Francis, 2% Obama, 33% don’t know.

What is the country’s biggest problem?

45% wave of terrorism, 33% cost of living & socioeconomic gaps, 8% the diplomatic stalemate, 4% Right-Left relations, 4% international isolation, 2% religious-secular relations, 4% don’t know.

Could a diplomatic agreement currently be reached with the Palestinians?

68% no, 22% yes, 10% don’t know.

What is currently the biggest danger to Israeli security?

47% Palestinians, 24% Islamic State & radical Islam, 13% Iran, 7% Jewish terrorism, 6% Hezbollah, 3% don’t know.

Do you believe the current terrorist wave can be stopped?

65% yes, 28% no, 7% don’t know.

Will Iran keep its commitments from the Iranian nuclear deal?

79% No, 15% don’t know, 6% yes.

What was the most important item on the international agenda in 2015?

50% struggle to stop Islamic State, 25% Syrian refugee crisis, 10% US presidential election, 6% war in Syria and Iraq, 5% Iranian nuclear program, 4% don’t know.

Will there be elections in 2016?

46% Probably Not, 27% Probably Yes, 13%  Don’t know, 9% For sure not, 5% For sure yes

The second public poll of seats since the Knesset Election in March 2015 was conducted by Midgam for Yediot Achranot and was published on Jan 1 2016. It was the last poll conducted in 2015.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

25 [30] Likud

18 [24] Zionist Union

18 [11] Yesh Atid

13 [13] The Joint (Arab) List

12 [08] Bayit Yehudi

08 [06] Yisrael Beitenu

07 [10] Kulanu

07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

06 [07] Shas

06 [05] Meretz

65 [67] Right-Religious

55 [53] Center-Left-Arab

Note: Midgam was in the middle of the pack in terms of accuracy among the nine major polling companies in predicting the 2015 Knesset results, producing a projection that was off by 19 seats. However, Midgam was among the least accurate in predicting the blocs by giving the Center-Left-Arab bloc three more seats than they would actually win.

Knesset Jeremy Analysis: The most interesting takeaways from this poll is that Herzog and Lapid are now tied and that Bayit Yehudi is pulling seats from Likud.

Scenario Poll: Saar-Kahlon Party

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

21 [30] Likud

18 [24] Zionist Union

18 [11] Yesh Atid

13 [13] The Joint (Arab) List

12 [10] Saar-Kahlon Party

11 [08] Bayit Yehudi

08 [06] Yisrael Beitenu

07 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

06 [07] Shas

06 [05] Meretz

65 [67] Right-Religious

55 [53] Center-Left-Arab

Knesset Jeremy Analysis: In the scenario poll a Saar-Kahlon party would fail to gain any seats from the center and would take away votes from Likud and Bayit Yehudi.

The first public poll of seats since before the Knesset Election in March 2015 was conducted by Maagar Mochot, a poll of 516 people during the 29th and 30th of November 2015 for 103 FM Radio

31 [30] Likud

20 [24] Zionist Union

15 [11] Yesh Atid

13 [13] The Joint (Arab) List

09 [08] Bayit Yehudi

08 [07] Shas

08 [06] Yisrael Beitenu

06 [06] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

05 [10] Kulanu

05 [05] Meretz

67 [67] Right-Religious

53 [53] Center-Left-Arab

 

Note: Maagar Mochot tied for last among the top-nine polling companies in predicting the 2015 Knesset results, producing a result that was off by 23 seats. However, Maagar Mochot was tied in first place in predicting the blocs with only one seat off, predicting an extra seat for the Center-Left-Arab bloc.

Knesset Jeremy Analysis: There are two movements that can be seen in this poll and it is part of an overall trend. Four seats in the Center-Left Bloc move from Opposition Leader Herzog’s Zionist Union to Yair Lapid’s Yesh Atid. Finance Minister Moshe Kahlon loses five seats, two to Yisrael Beitenu and one each to Shas, Likud and Bayit Yehudi. The trend here is a slight movement of the Israeli electorate to the right since March.

Panels conducted a poll that was broadcast by the Knesset Channel on December 3rd 2015

Have the security forces done enough to deal with Jewish terrorism?

47% Not doing enough, 43% Doing enough

Do the security forces have enough legal tools to deal with Jewish terrorism?

56% There is enough tools, 30% Not enough tools

Are the security forces not doing enough because of politician pressure?

48% Not an issue, 41% An issue

Do you think MK Yinon Magal should have resigned because of the allegations against him?

54% Should resign, 34% Shouldn’t resign

Are you pleased with how Minister Naftali Bennett handled the Yinon Magal Story?

40% Pleased, 36% Not pleased

Do you think Minister Avi Gabai should have testified in the Knesset Economic Affairs Committee?

59% Yes, 15% No

Do you understand the Gas Deal?

63% Don’t understand, 35% Understand

Are you for the Gas Deal?

41% No, 26% Yes

Should the electoral system in Israel be changed?

56% Yes, 30% No

Should Israeli citizens who are living overseas be allowed to vote in Knesset elections?

54% No, 39% Yes

What is your position on the campaign financing law for the primaries?

56% Bad system that should be changed, 14% Good system that should be kept

What is the correct way to choose a Knesset list?

55% Primaries, 25% Chairperson or Central Committee

Panels conducted a poll that was broadcast by Knesset Channel on November 5th 2015:

What grade do you give Aryeh Deri on his conduct during the gas crisis?

60% Bad, 18% Average, 7% Good

Among Shas voters: 43% Good, 35% Bad, 21% Average

Did Deri do the right thing by quitting his job as Economy Minister?

44% No, 32% Yes, 24% Don’t Know

Will Deri’s new appointment help the poor?

68% No, 22% Yes

What grade do you give Deputy Foreign Minister Hotovelly?

39% Good, 26% Bad, 23% Average

Do you agree with Knesset Ethics Committee against MK Tibi?

65% Yes, 26% No

Do you agree with Knesset Ethics Committee against Minister Elkin?

50% No, 40% Yes

Should Liberman join the government?

45% Yes, 41% No

Yisrael Beitenu voters: 55% Yes, 45% No

Should there be an early election for the Labor Party primaries?

31% Yes, 26% No

Labor voters: 52% Yes, 41% No

If the Labor primaries were today, who would you vote for?

None 32%, Yachimovich 30%, Ashkenazi 11%, Herzog 10%, Huldai 6%, Peretz 3%, Bar-Lev 2%

Labor voters: Yachimovich 32%, Herzog 27%, Ashkenazi 14%, Huldai 9%, Peretz 2%, Bar-Lev 2%, None 5%

Do you support the E.U. decision to label settlement products?

78% No, 18% Yes

Will labeling settlement products harm the Israeli economy?

66% Yes, 27% No

Will labeling settlement products harm the Palestinian economy?

59% Yes, 28% No

Why is the E.U. labeling settlement products?

32% Opposition to Israeli policy in Judea and Samaria, 31% Anti-Semitism, 28% Hostility to Israel, 6% Advance a diplomatic process

How do you define Israeli society?

54% Secular with an inclination towards traditional, 30% Traditional, 5% Moderately religious, 3% Secular, 2% Extremely religious

How do you define the Israeli state?

51% Secular with an inclination towards traditional, 26% Traditional, 5% Secular

Do you aspire that the Israeli state will become a Halacha State?

71% No, 26% Yes

Do you support ministers making decisions according to Jewish Halacha?

74% No, 23% Yes

Do you support MKs using Halacha as a source for legislation?

50% No, 41% Yes

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