Smith conducted a poll that was published in Globes on May 1st.
Current Knesset seats in [brackets]
35 [31] Likud Beitenu
19 [15] Labor
14 [19] Yesh Atid
12 [12] Bayit Yehudi
10 [11] Shas
10 [06] Meretz
08 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
04 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al
04 [04] Hadash
04 [03] Balad
00 [06] Movement
00 [02] Kadima
65 [61] Right-Religious
55 [59] Center-Left-Arab
Knesset Jeremy Analysis: Likud Beitenu remains at the top. Hadash, Ra’am-Ta’al and Balad all pass the new threshold but Livni’s party does not.
Which candidate is suitable to be the next Prime Minister?
36% none of the above, 32% Netanyahu, 13% Herzog, 8% Liberman, 6% Kachalon, 5% Lapid
So Livni would be out of her job at Knesset – yeah at last. If this scenario would only be fulfilled…
Not that the final result will look anything like this, but, if it did, Livni’s party being obliterated by a the electorate would curtail Netanyahu’s flexibility in forming a coalition- it’s either a pure right/religious coalition, an extremely unlikely unity government with Labor and Yesh Atid, or new elections. I assume the poll didn’t ask about Bennett as PM. If they did, I’d bet he would do better than Lapid’s 5%.
yes, i also found it strange that for example Kachalon gets a PM-rating but not Bennett.
And Happy Independence Day, Israel. Greetings from gM (in northern Europe).