Panels conducted two polls last weekend for Sof Shavua, the sister paper of the Jerusalem Post.
One poll with the new threshold of 3.25% and one poll with the 2% threshold.

New Threshold (3.25%)

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

36 [31] Likud Beitenu

20 [15] Labor

15 [12] Bayit Yehudi

12 [19] Yesh Atid

11 [06] Meretz

07 [11] Shas

07 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

04 [06] Movement

04 [04] Hadash

04 [–] Strong Israel

00 [03] Balad

00 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al

00 [02] Kadima

69 [61] Right-Religious

51 [59] Center-Left-Arab

 

Old Threshold (2%)

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]

34 [31] Likud Beitenu

19 [15] Labor

14 [12] Bayit Yehudi

11 [19] Yesh Atid

10 [06] Meretz

07 [11] Shas

07 [07] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ

04 [06] Movement

04 [04] Hadash

04 [03] Balad

03 [04] Ra’am-Ta’al

03 [–] Strong Israel

00 [02] Kadima

65 [61] Right-Religious

55 [59] Center-Left-Arab

Knesset Jeremy Analysis: Surprisingly, Strong Israel comes in with 4 mandates in the new poll.
Ra’am-Ta’al, Balad and Kadima do not pass the new threshold. The right-religious block grows to 69 seats under the new threshold, compared to 65 with the old threshold. Panels points out that not everyone is aware of the new threshold and that we do expect merging of the smaller parties in the near future.

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