Two telephone polls conducted on 18 January 2011 among a random sample of 501 respondents with a sampling error of 4.5%. Army Radio aired the results and Channel 10 broadcasted the results the following day. The difference between the two polls was in one poll Livni was leading Kadima and in the other Mofaz was the party chairman. The poll shows that a Mofaz led Kadima would lose four seats, two to the Likud, and a seat each to Labor and Yair Lapid. If Livni leads Kadima the Nationalist Camp nets 67 seats and the Center-Left-Arab Camp nets 51. If Mofaz leads Kadima the Nationalist Camp nets 69 seats and the Center-Left-Arab Camp nets 49.

Sceneario 1:

26 [27] Likud
17 [15] Yisrael Beitenu
14 [08] Labor
13 [28] Livni Kadima
07 [---] Yair Lapid Party
07 [11] Shas
06 [05] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
05 [04] National Union
04 [03] Jewish Home
03 [---] Aryeh Deri Party
03 [03] Meretz
02 [05] Independence
02 [---] Am Shalem (MK Amsellem)
11 [11] Hadash, Ra’am-Ta’al and Balad

Sceneario 2:

28 [27] Likud
17 [15] Yisrael Beitenu
15 [08] Labor
09 [28] Mofaz Kadima
08 [---] Yair Lapid Party
07 [11] Shas
06 [05] Yahadut Hatorah/UTJ
05 [04] National Union
04 [03] Jewish Home
03 [---] Aryeh Deri Party
03 [03] Meretz
02 [05] Independence
02 [---] Am Shalem (MK Amsellem)
11 [11] Hadash, Ra’am-Ta’al and Balad

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